Bahia Ba vs Flamengo Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 5 October 2025
🔊 In the 27th round of Brazil's Serie A, Bahia will host the league leaders Flamengo at their home stadium. The team from Salvador is pushing for a top-six finish and will look to leverage their home crowd to challenge the favorites. The visitors, on the other hand, are in excellent form, consistently picking up points as they continue their title chase. In head-to-head encounters, Flamengo clearly have the upper hand, having defeated Bahia in 12 consecutive matches, including a 1-0 victory in the first round. A tense match is expected, but the visitors remain the favorites.
Head-to-Head
The last official clash between these teams took place on 11 May 2025 and ended with a 1-0 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that encounter (Flamengo were the home side):
- possession: 59% vs 41%;
- corners: 8 vs 2;
- fouls: 11 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
- shots on target: 4 vs 4.
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Bahia and Flamengo:
- 26 matches played;
- home wins - 4, away wins - 18, draws - 4;
- goals scored - 28 for Bahia, 54 for Flamengo;
- average total goals in the first half - 1.46, in the second half - 1.69;
- average total goals per match - 3.15.
Head-to-head statistics Bahia Ba - Flamengo
Bahia Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Serie A tournament (home team - Botafogo, away team - Bahia). The match ended with a scoreline of 2-1.
Here are the match statistics (Bahia vs Botafogo):
- possession: 49% vs 51%;
- corners: 4 vs 6;
- fouls: 10 vs 19;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 4;
- shots on target: 2 vs 7.
🔵 In their last outing, Bahia fell to Botafogo in Rio de Janeiro (1-2). This marks their fourth defeat in the past six matches, with just one win and one draw in that stretch. Currently, Bahia are fighting for a top-6 spot, sitting in 6th place with 40 points, but points are hard to come by. However, on their home turf, the team shows much more confidence: in 12 league matches, Bahia have secured eight wins, drawn three times, and lost only once, making them a formidable opponent even for the league leaders.
Match Results: Bahia
Flamengo Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in the Serie A tournament, where Flamengo hosted Cruzeiro. The match ended in a 0-0 draw.
Here are the match statistics (Flamengo vs Cruzeiro):
- possession: 62% vs 38%;
- corners: 4 vs 2;
- fouls: 16 vs 19;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 5;
- shots on target: 2 vs 5.
🔴 In the latest round, Flamengo drew at home with Cruzeiro (0-0). Filipe Luís's squad are now unbeaten in 12 consecutive league matches, showcasing both stability and confidence. They sit atop the table, three points clear of Palmeiras (who have a game in hand) and four points ahead of Cruzeiro. This unbeaten streak solidifies their status as the leading contender for the title.
Match Results: Flamengo
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 26;
- First-half wins for the home team - 4; for the away team - 4; draws - 4;
- Average first-half total: 1.46;
- Today's home team averages 0.65 goals, while the visitors score 0.81 on average.
First-Half Stats: Bahia (home) vs Flamengo (away)
- Matches played in the tournament: 12 vs 11;
- Wins: 6 (50%) vs 4 (36.36%);
- Losses: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
- Draws: 6 (50%) vs 7 (63.64%);
- Average goals scored: 0.83 vs 0.64;
- Average goals conceded: 0.17 vs 0.09.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Wins: 2 vs 5;
- Losses: 3 vs 1;
- Draws: 5 vs 4;
- Average first-half total: 1.4 (scored - 0.8, conceded - 0.6) vs 1.2 (scored - 1, conceded - 0.2).
- Bahia have lost the first half at home in four consecutive head-to-head matches against this team (Serie A).
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 26;
- Home team wins - 4, Away team wins - 18, Draws - 4.
Statistics: Bahia vs Flamengo
- Matches played in the tournament: 25 vs 25;
- Wins: 11 vs 16;
- Win percentage: 44% vs 64%;
- Losses: 7 vs 2;
- Draws: 7 vs 7.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 4 vs 7;
- Losses: 5 vs 0;
- Draws: 1 vs 3.
- Bahia have covered a +1.5 handicap in 6 of the last 7 head-to-head encounters.
- Bahia have covered a +1.5 handicap in 25 of their last 26 home matches.
- Bahia have covered a +1.5 handicap in 19 of their last 21 Serie A matches.
- Bahia have covered a +1.5 handicap in 12 consecutive home matches in Serie A.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Current home team average goals - 1.08, away team - 2.08;
- Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 3.15;
- Both teams scored: overall - 12 times; at the home team's ground - 5 times.
Statistics: Bahia vs Flamengo
- Tournament average total: 2.52 vs 2.48;
- Average goals scored: 1.32 vs 2;
- First-half average total: 0.56 vs 0.76;
- Second-half average total: 0.76 vs 1.24;
- Bahia's home average total in the tournament - 1.67;
- Flamengo's away average total in the tournament - 1.55;
- Last 10 matches (average total): 1.6 (home - 2) vs 2.1 (away - 1.8).
- Over 1.5 goals have been scored in the last 5 head-to-head matches at the home team's ground (Serie A).
- Over 1.5 goals have been scored in 8 of Bahia's last 9 Serie A matches.
- Over 1.5 goals have been scored in 7 of Bahia's last 8 home Serie A matches.
- Over 1.5 goals have been scored in 8 of Flamengo's last 9 Serie A matches.
- Over 1.5 goals have been scored in Flamengo's last 5 away Serie A matches.
Corners Prediction
Bahia: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 4.2; at home - 4.08;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 4.7; at home - 6.5.
Flamengo: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 6.32, away - 5.64;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 5.9; away - 5.
- Bahia have taken fewer than 4.5 corners in 6 of the last 7 head-to-head encounters (Serie A).
Cards Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches
- Average total yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 3.54 (1.77 for the home team and 1.77 for the away team);
- Average total yellow cards at the home team's ground - 3.75 (2.08 for the home team and 1.67 for the away team).
Bahia: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 2.24; at home - 2.33;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 2.1; at home - 2.
Flamengo: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 1.88, away - 2.18;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 1.9; away - 1.8.
- Total under 5.5 yellow cards has hit in Flamengo's last 6 out of 7 away matches.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 26;
- Both teams scored overall - 12 times;
- At the home team's ground - 5 times.
Statistics: Bahia vs Flamengo
- Total matches played in the tournament: 25 vs 25;
- Total matches this season where both teams scored (BTTS): Bahia -14 vs Flamengo -10;
- BTTS for Bahia at home - 7 (58%);
- BTTS for Flamengo away - 6 (55%).
Last 10 Matches:
- Total BTTS matches: Bahia -6 vs Flamengo -5;
- BTTS for Bahia at home - 1 (25%);
- BTTS for Flamengo away - 2 (40%).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Flamengo head into their away fixture in stellar form, unbeaten in 12 consecutive rounds, while Bahia are looking to bounce back from a rough patch to stay in the top six. In the first round of this season, Flamengo narrowly defeated Bahia, and the head-to-head history shows complete dominance by the visitors-they have won the last 12 matches against Bahia. The tournament motivation is also on Flamengo's side: they are in the title race, whereas Bahia are more focused on maintaining their position in the upper part of the table. Our prediction: Bahia will not score a goal, as has been the case in their last 4 head-to-head matches with Flamengo.
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Betting Tips: Bahia - Flamengo
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