Real Sociedad vs Bournemouth Prediction 17 September 2026

Details
Key points

    🔊 The hosts' final rehearsal before the Europa League ended painfully: Real Sociedad lost 0-3 to Atlético at home, conceding all three goals after the break. Bournemouth had a very different match - they created plenty of chances against Brentford, scored twice, but couldn't hold on and drew 2-2.

    Now both clubs have to switch gears sharply. The Basques are returning to European football after a year away, while for Bournemouth the evening in San Sebastián will be the club's first ever Europa League match. A debut at Anoeta is quite a way to find out how well English boldness travels outside the Premier League.

    🔁 Don't miss any important pre-match updates: we'll be adding information on line-ups, injuries and other developments that could affect the balance of the game.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 The two sides have never met in an official competition. All their previous encounters were friendlies, so those results carry little value for prediction purposes. It is worth noting, though, that in the summer of 2025 the clubs played each other twice in a single day, drawing both times (1-1 and 0-0).

    Head-to-head statistics Real Sociedad - Bournemouth

    0%
    0 Wins
    0%
    0 Draws
    100%
    1 Win
    Total games
    1
    Total Goals Avg
    3
    Both teams scored
    100%
    1
    Total average
    2
    10
    Corner
    3
    3
    Yellow cards
    3
    14
    Fouls
    13
    Last matches
    17.09.26
    UEL
    Real Sociedad
    Real Sociedad
    Bournemouth
    Bournemouth
    1.07
    0.88
    10
    3
    14
    13
    3
    3
    1
    2
    0
    2
    1
    0
    1.07
    0.88
    10
    3
    14
    13
    3
    3
    09.08.25
    Club Friendly Games
    Bournemouth
    Bournemouth
    Real Sociedad
    Real Sociedad
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    09.08.25
    Club Friendly Games
    Bournemouth
    Bournemouth
    Real Sociedad
    Real Sociedad
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    30.07.22
    Club Friendly Games
    Bournemouth
    Bournemouth
    Real Sociedad
    Real Sociedad
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Real Sociedad Team Overview

    It has been an up-and-down season for the Basques. Six La Liga rounds in, they have two wins, a draw and three defeats. They lost to Betis and Real Madrid, then picked up seven points from three matches, before conceding three unanswered goals to Atlético on the eve of the Europa League.

    The defence is a particular concern. Sociedad have conceded 11 goals in the current campaign. The attack has been equally inconsistent: six goals scored and three matches without finding the net. Pellegrino Matarazzo's side are still searching for balance rather than showing it.

    Match Results: Real Sociedad

    Last matches
    20.09.26
    La Liga
    Valencia
    Valencia
    Real Sociedad
    Real Sociedad
    1
    2.1
    2.53
    7
    5
    9
    12
    2
    1
    2
    3
    0
    1
    2
    2
    2.1
    2.53
    7
    5
    9
    12
    2
    1
    W
    17.09.26
    UEL
    Real Sociedad
    Real Sociedad
    Bournemouth
    Bournemouth
    1.07
    0.88
    10
    3
    14
    13
    3
    3
    1
    2
    0
    2
    1
    0
    1.07
    0.88
    10
    3
    14
    13
    3
    3
    L
    13.09.26
    La Liga
    Real Sociedad
    Real Sociedad
    Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    0.39
    1.9
    9
    3
    13
    9
    2
    1
    0
    3
    0
    0
    0
    3
    0.39
    1.9
    9
    3
    13
    9
    2
    1
    L
    07.09.26
    La Liga
    Elche CF
    Elche CF
    Real Sociedad
    Real Sociedad
    1
    2.54
    0.69
    6
    7
    8
    8
    4
    1
    2
    3
    0
    2
    2
    1
    2.54
    0.69
    6
    7
    8
    8
    4
    1
    W
    03.09.26
    La Liga
    Real Sociedad
    Real Sociedad
    Celta de Vigo
    Celta de Vigo
    0.94
    0.61
    11
    3
    14
    12
    2
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0.94
    0.61
    11
    3
    14
    12
    2
    3
    D
    Empty
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    Bournemouth Team Overview

    Marco Rose has a different problem: his side play attractive football but can't seem to turn it into wins. In four Premier League rounds, Bournemouth have picked up three draws and one defeat, though they have scored in every match. In between, they also beat Lincoln 4-0 in the League Cup.

    The most recent draw was particularly telling. Against Brentford, the hosts created enough chances for several matches, had 10 shots on target, led twice and still couldn't win. The Cherries have plenty of movement going forward, but no stability at the back.

    Match Results: Bournemouth

    Last matches
    20.09.26
    EPL
    Bournemouth
    Bournemouth
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    1.12
    1.53
    3
    3
    11
    12
    1
    2
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    1.12
    1.53
    3
    3
    11
    12
    1
    2
    L
    17.09.26
    UEL
    Real Sociedad
    Real Sociedad
    Bournemouth
    Bournemouth
    1.07
    0.88
    10
    3
    14
    13
    3
    3
    1
    2
    0
    2
    1
    0
    1.07
    0.88
    10
    3
    14
    13
    3
    3
    W
    12.09.26
    EPL
    Bournemouth
    Bournemouth
    Brentford
    Brentford
    2.13
    0.52
    2
    1
    10
    13
    5
    1
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    2.13
    0.52
    2
    1
    10
    13
    5
    1
    D
    08.09.26
    EFL Cup
    Bournemouth
    Bournemouth
    Lincoln City
    Lincoln City
    2.17
    0.36
    10
    0
    11
    10
    2
    3
    4
    0
    1
    0
    3
    0
    2.17
    0.36
    10
    0
    11
    10
    2
    3
    W
    05.09.26
    EPL
    Newcastle United
    Newcastle United
    Bournemouth
    Bournemouth
    0.76
    1.36
    4
    3
    19
    16
    2
    3
    2
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0.76
    1.36
    4
    3
    19
    16
    2
    3
    D
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Latest news

    Real Sociedad

    ❌ Álvaro Odriozola remains in recovery from a cruciate ligament rupture and will not be available for the upcoming match. Igor Zubeldia will miss the game through a muscular injury, while Jon Aramburu is suspended following the red card he received in Real Sociedad's last European match against Manchester United in spring 2025.

    🔁 Update - 17 September, 7:02 UTC:

    • Pellegrino Matarazzo said at a press conference that Real Sociedad have no intention of sacrificing the Europa League for the sake of consistent performances in La Liga. According to him, the European competition is one of the club's main priorities for the season, so there will be no mass resting of key players or wholesale rotation in Europa League matches.

    🔁 Update - 17 September, 12:12 UTC:

    • Pablo Marín has been included in the squad despite not having featured in any official match this season - in fact, this is his first call-up for Sociedad. Last season the midfielder recorded one goal and one assist in 40 matches for the Spanish club.

    Bournemouth

    ❌ Bournemouth have slightly more injury concerns. Julián Araujo, Amine Adli, Elie Junior Kroupi and Veljko Milosavljevic are all unavailable through injury.

    Predicted Lineups

    📋 Real Sociedad predicted starting XI: Marrero - Fort, Sarr, Pacheco, Gómez - Herrera, Soler - Ochieng, Sučić, Guedes, Oyarzabal.

    📋 Bournemouth predicted starting XI: Petrović - Smith, Hill, Silva, Truffert - Cook, Scott - Rayan, Kluivert, Tavernier - Evanilson.

    ⚽ Goals Prediction

    Bournemouth have not managed a quiet match in the Premier League so far. They have scored in all four gameweeks but have also conceded every time. Real Sociedad at home will need to match the visitors' tempo, and Bournemouth have already scored against both Manchester City and Newcastle. Given the current state of both defences, a clean sheet seems unlikely. Our pick: Both Teams to Score - Yes at 1.62*.

    🚩 Corners Prediction

    Both sides here are happy to deliver balls into the box. Over their last six matches, Real Sociedad have accumulated 45 corners; Bournemouth have managed 28 in five. That works out at an average of more than six corners per match for each club. Even in their poor result against Atlético, the Basques put in nine corners. Bournemouth alone racked up 20 across just two home matches against Everton and Lincoln. Set pieces should accumulate quickly here, so we are going with Total Corners - Over 9.5 at 1.53*.

    🟨 Yellow Cards Prediction

    In the current league season, Sociedad have received 1 yellow card while Bournemouth have picked up 15. The combined average works out at more than five bookings per match. On top of that, the Basques regularly foul their way out of quick transitions, and for the Cherries this is their first official match in European competition. The Premier League tempo could run into the hosts' more physical style of play. Our pick: Total Yellow Cards - Over 3.5.

    🎯 Player Bet

    Marcus Tavernier has started the season with three goals in four Premier League gameweeks, scoring against Manchester City, Newcastle and Brentford. Under Marco Rose he is given a lot of freedom alongside Evanilson and regularly arrives in the box late. Right now it is hard to find a Bournemouth player heading into a European debut in better form. We are backing Marcus Tavernier to Score.

    🎲 Risky Bet

    Draws are becoming a habit for Bournemouth - three in a row in the league, with the last two finishing identically at 2-2. Sociedad are dangerous at home but too inconsistent to win matches like this comfortably. Bournemouth, on the other hand, have looked good in play but keep giving opponents a way back into the game. In San Sebastián, these two tendencies could meet in the middle. Our pick: Draw at 3.60*.

    🛡 Safe Bet

    Bournemouth have scored in each of their last five matches. Across four Premier League gameweeks they have found the net seven times, and even in their only defeat - against Manchester City - they still scored. We are playing Bournemouth to Score at 1.22*.

    🔄 If the Match Goes Another Way

    The statistics point towards early action, but a European opener can sometimes suppress that quickly. For Bournemouth this is their first such occasion entirely, and Sociedad, following their defeat to Atlético, may start with a desire to restore defensive order. If the hosts do not allow the visitors to build momentum in the opening attacks, the early minutes could be spent feeling each other out, leaving the main story of the match for the second half. Our bet: Total Goals - Under 0.5 in the 1st Half at 3.00*.

    *Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.

    ⭐️ Editorial Prediction

    The English side's last three league matches have all produced goals, but on each occasion they reached two goals by making the most of specific spells in the game. Sociedad at home are capable of quickly disrupting any rhythm: the Basques have already played out a goalless draw with Celta this season, and their other matches this season have rarely produced a goal-fest.

    In the opening round of the Europa League, the cost of a mistake is higher than usual. We expect a goal from each side, but the match could then close up. Predicted score: 1-1. Bet: Total Goals - Under 2.5.

    Total goals Under (2,5)
    Bovada
    Place a bet+108
    Published: 15/09/2026, 22:28
    Aidar Nizaev
    Aidar Nizaev
    Football expert
    65
    3
    51
    119 predictions
    Statistics for September 2026

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    Betting Tips: Real Sociedad - Bournemouth

    Real Sociedad have not won:
    real-sociedad-2in 6 of last 7 home games.
    Bournemouth have not lost:
    afc-bournemouthin 23 of last 24 games.
    afc-bournemouthin 12 of last 13 away games.
    Bournemouth will not lose
    Everygame
    -333
    Real Sociedad have conceded:
    real-sociedad-2in 14 of last 15 games.
    Bournemouth have scored:
    afc-bournemouthin last 13 games.
    afc-bournemouthin last 6 away games.
    Bournemouth will score goal
    Everygame
    -625
    Bournemouth have scored under 2.5 goals:
    afc-bournemouthin last 11 away games.
    afc-bournemouthin 7 of last 8 games.
    Bournemouth Total goals Under (2,5)
    Everygame
    -357
    Under 3.5 goals scored:
    afc-bournemouthin 10 of last 11 Bournemouth away games.
    Total goals Under (3,5)
    Everygame
    -200
    View more facts

    Real Sociedad - Bournemouth Table position

    UEFA Europa League 26/27
    gWDLGDPForm
    9.
    OFI
    OFI
    11002-03
    10.
    Bournemouth
    Bournemouth
    11002-13
    11.
    Olympique Lyon
    Olympique Lyon
    11002-13
    23.
    Lillestrom
    Lillestrom
    10011-20
    24.
    Real Sociedad
    Real Sociedad
    10011-20
    25.
    AZ Alkmaar
    AZ Alkmaar
    10010-10

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    3 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    5 - Loses
    Wins - 3
    Draws - 5
    Loses - 2
    10 matches
    Scored - 14
    Conceded - 20
    -6
    +4
    15 - Scored
    11 - Conceded
    3
    Wins
    3
    2
    Draws
    5
    5
    Loses
    2
    Goal difference
    14
    Scored
    15
    20
    Conceded
    11
    3.4
    Match goals average
    2.6
    1.4
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.5
    2
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.1
    7
    Both teams scored
    7
    64'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    60'
    View all stats