HJK Helsinki vs Jaro Prediction 16 August 2026
🔊 In June, Jaro hosted HJK and led 2:1 after the first half. The visitors then scored four goals in a row and took all three points (5:2). That said, HJK have a fresh stumble of their own: on Thursday they were knocked out of the Conference League qualifying, losing to Motherwell on aggregate (1:3). Now the same pair meet in Helsinki, and Jaro have no away wins in the Veikkausliiga this season at all.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 13 June 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 2:5. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Jaro):
- ball possession percentage: 52% vs 48%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 3;
- fouls: 10 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 5 vs 6.
📊 The sides have played three official matches. The statistics are as follows:
- goals: 10 against 5;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.33, in the 2nd half - 3.67;
- average total goals in the match - 5.
Head-to-head statistics HJK Helsinki - Jaro
HJK Helsinki Team Overview
HJK are Finland's most decorated club with 33 championship titles. However, their last title came in 2023, and last season they finished fifth. In the winter, the team was taken over by Joonas Rantanen, who had spent two years at Ilves before that. HJK currently have 31 points after 19 rounds and sit third, nine points behind KuPS. Dreams of the title are already a thing of the past, but on September 5 the club play the Finnish Cup final against Inter Turku.
Match Results: HJK Helsinki
Jaro Team Overview
Jaro are a club from Pietarsaari who finished seventh last season. Swedish coach Jens Carlsson was brought in to turn things around - he had worked as an assistant to Olof Melberg and Henrik Larsson at Helsingborg before taking charge of Bodø/Glimt's reserve side. The rebuild is proving difficult: 11th place, three wins all season and 38 goals conceded - only bottom side Mariehamn have a worse record. Away from home the numbers are even harsher: nine matches, four goals scored and 23 conceded. Jaro last picked up a point on the road on 24 April, and have lost seven in a row since. No one has scored more than three goals for the club this season - Herman Sjögrells and Rudy Wikström have exactly three each.
Match Results: Jaro
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 3;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 1; for visitors away - 0; number of draws - 0;
- Average first-half total: 1.33;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.67, while the visitors net 0.67.
First-Half Stats: HJK Helsinki (home) vs Jaro (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 9 vs 9;
- wins: 4 (44.44%) vs 2 (22.22%);
- losses: 3 (33.33%) vs 5 (55.56%);
- draws: 2 (22.22%) vs 2 (22.22%);
- Average goals scored: 1.22 vs 1.44;
- Average goals conceded: 0.56 vs 1.11.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 6 vs 4;
- losses: 1 vs 4;
- draws: 3 vs 2;
- Average first-half total: 0.9 (scored - 0.8, conceded - 0.1) vs 1.8 (scored - 0.8, conceded - 1).
- Jaro conceded in the 1st half in 7 of last 8 away games.
- Jaro conceded in the 1st half in 6 of last 7 away games (Veikkausliiga).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 3.33, the guests - 1.67;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 5;
- both teams scored: overall - 2; at the home team's field - 1.
Statistics: HJK Helsinki vs Jaro
- average total in the tournament: 2.74 vs 2.95;
- average total goals scored: 1.53 vs 0.95;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.63 vs 0.68;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.89 vs 0.26;
- HJK Helsinki: average total at home in the tournament - 1.44;
- Jaro: average total away in the tournament - 0.44;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.5 (home - 2.2) vs 1.1 (away - 0.75).
- Over 2.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 Jaro away games.
Prediction on corners
H2H
- average Over/Under corners in H2H matches - 10.34 (4.67 - for home team and 5.67 - for away team);
- average Over/Under corners at home team's field - 13 (6 - for home team and 7 - for away team).
HJK Helsinki: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.84; at home field - 5.56;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.9; at home field - 4.2.
Jaro: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.63, away - 3.89;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4; away - 4.25.
- HJK Helsinki have taken under 6.5 corners in last 5 home games.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 3;
- both teams scored all-time - 2 times;
- on the home team’s field - 1 times.
Statistics: HJK Helsinki vs Jaro
- number of matches played in the tournament: 19 vs 19;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 7 vs 10;
- number of BTTS matches for HJK Helsinki at home - 3 (33%);
- number of BTTS matches for Jaro away - 3 (33%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 3 vs 7;
- BTTS matches for HJK Helsinki at home - 3 (60%);
- BTTS matches for Jaro away - 2 (50%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (19/115, 16.5%);
- HJK Helsinki at home most often finish matches: 1:0 (3/9, 33.3%);
- Jaro away most often play: 2:0 , 5:0 (2/9, 22.2%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
2:0 - 12.03% (odds 6.5)
1:0 - 11.34% (odds 8)
2:1 - 10.37% (odds 7.5)
Editor's Pick
HIK haven't been scoring heavily at home for a while: fewer than three goals per game in 7 of their last 8 home league matches. Looking at the league as a whole, the run stretches to six matches in a row. The overall score has also stayed within limits - fewer than four goals in 10 of their last 11 home league matches. The hosts don't usually need to push forward either: Jaro have scored fewer than two goals in 8 of their last 9 away league matches. On top of that, this is the hosts' third match in eight days, and there's no reason to expect them to be fresh after Scotland. We don't expect more than two goals from HIK. The bet is HIK individual total under 2.5. Score prediction - 2:1.
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Betting Tips: HJK Helsinki - Jaro
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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