Monterrey vs Juarez Prediction 16 August 2026
💥 In the fourth round of the Mexican Liga MX, Monterrey will host league strugglers Juárez at their home stadium. The hosts are looking to consolidate their position in the upper part of the table after two wins at the start of the season. The visitors are currently going through a deep crisis, having suffered three consecutive defeats and sitting at the bottom of the standings. The difference in class and current form makes Monterrey the clear favourite in this match. Nevertheless, the underdogs will try to set up a solid defence in order to claim their first points in the tournament.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams ended 2-2. Here are the comparative stats from that game (Juarez were the home side):
- possession: 56% vs 44%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 1;
- fouls: 4 vs 7;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 8 vs 3.
📊 Statistical preview based on official meetings between Monterrey and Juárez:
- 17 matches played;
- home wins - 11, away wins - 4, draws - 2;
- goals - 37 vs 19;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.24, in the 2nd - 2.06;
- average total goals per match - 3.29.
Head-to-head statistics Monterrey - Juarez
CF Monterrey Team Overview
The last official match was played in the Leagues Cup (home side - Monterrey, away side - Nashville). The match ended 2:1.
The match statistics were as follows (Monterrey vs Nashville):
- possession: 58% vs 42%;
- corner kicks: 11 vs 3;
- fouls: 9 vs 19;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 5 vs 1.
Monterrey have made a confident start to the new championship campaign and currently sit fifth with six points. In the opening three rounds the team have won twice and lost once, scoring six goals and conceding four. The squad is used to playing pragmatically, controlling the tempo of the match and not forcing events unnecessarily. At their home ground, the "striped-and-whites" traditionally dominate and look to minimise dangerous moments at their own goal. Against a clear underdog, the team will surely try to take the win on quality without unnecessary risk.
Match Results: CF Monterrey
Juarez Team Overview
The last official match for the current visitors was in the Leagues Cup (home side - Real Salt Lake, visitors - Juarez). The match ended 3:0.
The match stats were as follows (Juarez vs Real Salt Lake):
- possession: 46% vs 54%;
- corners: 4 vs 3;
- fouls: 15 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
- shots on target: 2 vs 4.
Juárez have had a catastrophic start to the Liga MX season, failing to pick up a single point in three rounds played. The team sit bottom of the table with a goal difference of 1-7. Their attack looks utterly helpless, and critical defensive breakdowns occur on a regular basis. To end their losing run, the coaching staff will need to radically rebuild the team's defensive structure. In an extremely tough away match against the favorites, the visitors will almost certainly make their main priority deep defending and keeping the score down.
Match Results: Juarez
Prediction on corners
CF Monterrey: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.67; at home field - 5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.5; at home field - 5.6.
Juarez: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3, away - 2;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.4; away - 3.
- Over 9.5 corners in 8 of last 9 CF Monterrey home games (Liga MX).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 17;
- both teams scored all-time - 10 times;
- on the home team’s field - 6 times.
Statistics: CF Monterrey vs Juarez
- number of matches played in the tournament: 3 vs 3;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 2 vs 1;
- number of BTTS matches for CF Monterrey at home - 1 (100%);
- number of BTTS matches for Juarez away - 0 (0%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 7 vs 7;
- BTTS matches for CF Monterrey at home - 5 (100%);
- BTTS matches for Juarez away - 4 (67%).
- CF Monterrey have scored and conceded in last 6 home games.
- CF Monterrey have scored and conceded in last 5 home games (Liga MX).
- Juarez have scored and conceded in 13 of last 15 games (Liga MX).
- Juarez have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 away games (Liga MX).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 0:1 (3/27, 11.1%), 1:0 (3/27, 11.1%), 2:1 (3/27, 11.1%), 2:3 (3/27, 11.1%);
- CF Monterrey at home most often finish matches: 3:2 (1/1, 100%);
- Juarez away most often play: 1:0 (1/1, 100%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
2:1 - 10.55% (odds 8)
2:0 - 9.31% (odds 8.5)
1:1 - 9.24% (odds 8.5)
⭐ Editor's Pick
The main statistical trend ahead of this match is the reliable and pragmatic home performance. Total under 3.5 goals has landed in each of Monterrey's last five matches in a row. Juárez are having enormous problems creating and converting chances, managing just one goal in three rounds. The hosts are unlikely to waste extra energy on a big win, preferring to calmly control the match after scoring. Given the visitors' weak attack and the favourite's restrained style, the match will most likely pass without a goal fest. A scoreline of 2-1 is possible.
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Betting Tips: CF Monterrey - Juarez
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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