Millwall vs Middlesbrough Prediction 16 August 2025
🔊 A Championship showdown awaits as Millwall host Middlesbrough. Both teams are eager to solidify their spots near the top of the table and will be looking to deliver their best performances. The "Lions" have earned this status not just because the match is set at their home ground, The Den, but also due to their superior form. Will the hosts delight their fans?
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 12 April 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 1:0. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Millwall):
- ball possession percentage: 40% vs 60%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 4;
- fouls: 21 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 0;
- shots on target: 4 vs 4.
📊Analytical review of previous official games between the teams Millwall and Middlesbrough:
- played 31 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 10, for the away team - 13, draws - 8;
- number of goals (home/away) - 31 against 47;
- average total goals in the match - 2.52.
Head-to-head statistics Millwall - Middlesbrough

Millwall Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the EFL Cup tournament (home team - Newport, away team - Millwall). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:1.
Here's the game statistics (Millwall vs Newport):
- ball possession: 63% vs 37%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 2;
- fouls: 11 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 0;
- shots on target: 7 vs 2.
Millwall are in impressive form and rightfully sit fifth in the Championship standings. The team has strung together six consecutive victories. While their preseason opponents may not have been the toughest, the Lions kicked off their league campaign with a challenging away trip to Norwich and emerged victorious thanks to a late goal from Macaulay Langstaff. In the Cup, Alex Neil rotated his squad, yet they still managed to advance past Newport County without conceding away from home.
Match Results: Millwall

Middlesbrough Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the EFL Cup tournament (home team - Middlesbrough, away - Doncaster Rovers). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:4.
Here are the match stats (Middlesbrough vs Doncaster Rovers):
- ball possession: 63% vs 37%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 2;
- fouls: 13 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- shots on target: 5 vs 5.
The Smoggies are going through a rough patch. With just two wins in their last ten matches, it's a disheartening statistic for the fans. However, Rob Edwards' men kicked off their Championship campaign on a positive note by defeating Swansea. The match itself was rather dull, with both teams failing to muster even half a goal in xG, but unlike their opponents, Middlesbrough managed to find the net. Dael Fry scored the winning goal. In the League Cup game against Doncaster, Fry only came on for the last 30 minutes, along with some other first-team players, and Boro conceded four unanswered goals.
Match Results: Middlesbrough
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 31;
- home team wins - 10, away team wins - 13, draws - 8.
Statistics: Millwall vs Middlesbrough
- matches played in the tournament: 1 vs 1;
- wins: 1 vs 1;
- win percentage: 100% vs 100%;
- losses: 0 vs 0;
- draws: 0 vs 0.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 7 vs 4;
- losses: 3 vs 5;
- draws: 0 vs 1.
- Millwall have won in last 5 home games (Championship).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- the home team scores on average - 1, the guests - 1.52;
- average over/under goals in head-to-head matches - 2.52;
- both teams scored: overall - 16; at the home team's field - 9.
- Millwall have scored under 1.5 goals in 12 of last 13 games against Middlesbrough (Championship).
Prediction on corners
Millwall: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5; at home field - 0;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.9; at home field - 5.5.
Middlesbrough: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 7, away - 0;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.6; away - 4.
- Over 8.5 corners in last 6 Millwall games.
- Over 8.5 corners in last 5 Millwall games (Championship).
- Over 8.5 corners in last 6 Middlesbrough games.
- Over 8.5 corners in last 5 Middlesbrough games (Championship).
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 3.74 (1.87 for home team and 1.87 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 3.38 (1.94 for home team and 1.44 for away team).
Millwall: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4; at home - 0;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.4; at home - 0.75.
Middlesbrough: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2, away - 0;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1; away - 1.25.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 31;
- both teams scored all-time - 16 times;
- on the home team’s field - 9 times.
Statistics: Millwall vs Middlesbrough
- number of matches played in the tournament: 1 vs 1;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 1 vs 0;
- number of BTTS matches for Millwall at home - 0 (0%);
- number of BTTS matches for Middlesbrough away - 0 (0%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 3;
- BTTS matches for Millwall at home - 2 (50%);
- BTTS matches for Middlesbrough away - 1 (25%).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Considering the stats and recent trends, the upcoming match is likely to be a low-scoring affair. The Lions are on a winning streak, while the Smoggies struggle to convert chances away from home. A bet on under 2.5 goals appears to be a reasonable prediction for this encounter. The head-to-head history also suggests that the likelihood of seeing many goals is slim.