Dynamo Moscow vs CSKA Prediction
🔊 Who will triumph in the Moscow derby set for the fifth round of the Russian Premier League? Neither side enters as the favorite in this upcoming clash. Despite only a three-point gap between them, the teams leave different impressions. CSKA appear to be the quicker side, poised to contend for top positions, although they face plenty of squad issues. Dynamo Moscow, on the other hand, are struggling to adapt to Valery Karpin's demands. The team needs to turn things around soon, or they might have to reconsider the viability of their current collaboration. We'll explore various scenarios to provide an insightful prediction. Note that the match will take place at VTB Arena.
Head-to-Head
📊 In the span of 41 head-to-head matches, Dynamo Moscow hold the edge with a 41 percent win rate. However, they failed to defeat CSKA last season. In the Russian Premier League, the "Army Men" came out on top twice (2-1, 3-1). Their paths also crossed in the Russian Cup, where the "Red and Blues" secured a home victory (2-1) and settled for a draw away (0-0).
The Moscow derby is typically quite high-scoring. At least one team has found the net in 9 out of their last 10 encounters in the RPL. Therefore, it would be wise to consider the option of both teams to score (yes).
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Dynamo Moscow Team Overview
⚪️ Dynamo have been falling short of expectations this season. The arrival of Valery Karpin stirred excitement, especially among the management. From a branding perspective, it was a win. However, the new season risks being even more disappointing than the last. Currently, the "White-Blues" are sitting in ninth place in the standings. The only match worth noting performance-wise was against Sochi (1-1). The team should have secured a confident victory, but they let it slip away in the closing moments. In other games, their play has been slow, dull, and lacking results. On the upside, they have conceded only three goals in four RPL matches.
🏆 In the Russian Cup, Valery Karpin is giving young players a chance to shine. Midweek, this decision proved costly. Dynamo Moscow conceded three goals to Krasnodar in the first half alone. After the break, first-team regulars were brought on, but nothing changed significantly. Ultimately, the "White-Blues" conceded again, ending with a 0-4 defeat.
Match Results: Dynamo Moscow
CSKA Moscow Team Overview
🔴 Under Fabio Celestini, CSKA are looking solid. You could say they're a team built for speed. They've assembled a squad of young, fast players, and the coach is effectively utilizing their strengths. The only points they've dropped were in a draw against Orenburg (0-0) during the first round, when they struggled with finishing. In contrast, by the fourth round, CSKA thrashed Rubin (5-1). Before that, they couldn't hold onto a win against Zenit (1-1), conceding a penalty in the dying moments.
🏆 In the first round of the Russian Cup, CSKA fielded nearly their best lineup against Lokomotiv, securing a derby victory (2-1). Recently, Celestini opted for more rotation against Akron. The team had the upper hand in Samara, but regular time ended in a draw (1-1). The penalty shootout initially favored the "Army Men," but Danil Krugovoi and Kirill Glebov missed from the spot, leading to a CSKA defeat.
Match Results: CSKA Moscow
Latest news
Dynamo Moscow
🎙 Valery Karpin shared when we might see a different Dynamo: “The 0-4 scoreline isn't a huge blow for me; we assessed our immediate reserves. They showed what they can do. We practically assisted the opposition with three goals, you could say. It's not time that I need, but rather the team and the club. Whether players recover or someone new arrives-tomorrow or the day after? I don't know. Maybe never.”
❌ Maxim Osipenko has recovered from injury and played a half against Krasnodar in the Russian Cup, though it seems he's not ready for more just yet. Roberto Fernandez and Yaroslav Gladyshev remain sidelined, having missed several matches due to injuries. Milan Majstorovic, Konstantin Tyukavin, and El-Mehdi Maukoub are still not match-fit. Luis Chavez and Artur Gomes are out for an extended period. As a result, Dynamo Moscow arguably suffers the most from injuries.
CSKA Moscow
🎙 Fabio Celestini shared his thoughts on the defeat to Akron in the Russian Cup: "I'm pleased with how the team played. The young players, playing together for the first time, dominated the match, played football, and created chances. In that regard, I'm satisfied; they displayed good, meaningful football with plenty of opportunities. We need to keep working; we know what needs improvement. Specifically, we need to be more efficient in finishing our chances. Overall, it's frustrating that we couldn't capitalize on our opportunities."
📝 CSKA are in dire need of transfers and will soon announce them. It's known that a contract has been agreed with defender João Victor (Vasco da Gama). Another defender, Ramiro di Luciano (Banfield), has arrived in Moscow to sign with CSKA. The club are also in the race for Fiorentina's striker Lucas Beltrán, for whom they are ready to offer 12 million euros. However, the player is uncertain about the move.
❌ CSKA's personnel shortage is exacerbated by injuries. Rodrigo Villagra and Artem Shumansky are currently sidelined. During the match against Rubin, Alejandro suffered a muscle injury, and his participation in the upcoming game is in doubt.
🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards
The main referee for the match is Kirill Levnikov. Last season, he officiated 20 matches in the RPL, averaging 5.05 yellow cards per game. This season, he might surpass that average. In at least two matches, he's been handing out an average of six yellow cards.
This season, the teams are averaging 2.8 yellow cards each. In matches involving Dynamo Moscow, there are an average of 5.8 cautions. Considering the referee's stats, we suggest betting on total yellow cards over 4.5.
⚽️ Goal Prediction
We've noted that defensively, Dynamo Moscow are performing well, conceding less than a goal per game on average in the RPL. CSKA, however, have shown varied scoring form. For instance, in 6 of their last 7 away matches, they've scored no more than one goal. Therefore, it's worth considering a bet on total goals by the visitors under 1.5.
🚩 Corner Prediction
Dynamo Moscow have the edge on corners this season (6.3 compared to 5.3). A win is crucial for them given the league standings, so they should be quite aggressive at home, aiming to earn set pieces. The "White-Blues" have secured at least five corners in 15 of their last 17 home matches. The same applies to their last five head-to-head encounters in the RPL. Thus, we suggest a bet on total home corners over 4.5.
Editor's Prediction
Bookmakers are undecided on a favorite in the Moscow derby, but CSKA appear to have more reasons to win. Their higher position in the standings, fast-paced play, and fewer injuries favor the visitors. However, Dynamo Moscow have a solid defense, especially at home, which could lead to a draw, possibly with a scoreline of 1-1.
Under Karpin, Dynamo are less likely to engage in high-scoring affairs. In the RPL, the "White-Blues" haven't scored more than one goal in a match. It's unlikely they'll break through CSKA's defense, guarded by Igor Akinfeev, more than once. The defense hasn't significantly weakened despite Willian Rocha's departure, so a key bet would be on total goals under 2.5.
Betting Tips: Dynamo Moscow - CSKA Moscow
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