Levadia Tallinn vs Caernarfon Prediction 16 July 2026
📢 The second leg of this UEFA Europa Conference League first qualifying round tie already feels like a mere formality. Levadia hammered Caernarfon 5-0 in the opening fixture, making it almost impossible to believe the Welsh side can overturn such a deficit away from home. Still, the visitors are unlikely to just go through the motions; they’ll be eager to finish their European campaign on a positive note and put in a respectable performance.
Head-to-Head
The only official meeting between these sides took place on 09 July 2026, with the Estonian team running out 5-0 winners. Here’s a comparative breakdown of the key stats from that match (Caernarfon were the home side):
- possession: 44% vs 56%;
- corners: 3 vs 6;
- fouls: 12 vs 8;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 2 vs 9.
Head-to-head statistics Levadia Tallinn - Caernarfon

FCI Levadia Tallinn Team Overview
Levadia have all but settled the outcome of this tie in the first leg. The Estonian side thoroughly outplayed Caernarfon away from home, registering 15 shots to just 4 and cruising to a convincing victory. This result comes as no surprise, given Levadia’s impressive form in their domestic league, where they average 2.58 goals scored per match while conceding just 0.84.
Match Results: FCI Levadia Tallinn

Caernarfon Team Overview
Caernarfon struggled to put up a fight in their home leg and were thoroughly outplayed by the Estonians. By halftime, the Welsh side already trailed 0-3, and after an early red card in the second half, any hopes of a comeback were dashed. Last season, Caernarfon looked far more convincing going forward, averaging 1.75 goals per match, though defensive lapses remained an issue as they conceded 1.47 per game. Now, heading into the return leg, Caernarfon can only hope to end their European campaign on a respectable note.
Match Results: Caernarfon
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 1;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 0; for visitors away - 0; number of draws - 0;
- Average first-half total: 3;
- Today's home team scores on average 3, while the visitors net 0.
First-Half Stats: FCI Levadia Tallinn (home) vs Caernarfon (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 0 vs 0;
- wins: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
- losses: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
- draws: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
- Average goals scored: 0 vs 0;
- Average goals conceded: 0 vs 0.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 7 vs 3;
- losses: 0 vs 3;
- draws: 3 vs 4;
- Average first-half total: 2 (scored - 1.7, conceded - 0.3) vs 1.6 (scored - 0.8, conceded - 0.8).
- FCI Levadia Tallinn scored in the 1st half in 13 of last 15 home games.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 1;
- home team wins - 1, away team wins - 0, draws - 0.
- Caernarfon won with a +2.5 handicap in 21 of last 23 games.
Prediction on the over/under
- Caernarfon have scored in 7 of last 8 away games.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 1;
- both teams scored all-time - 0 times;
- on the home team’s field - 0 times.
⭐ Editor’s Prediction
Levadia enter the second leg as clear favourites, which comes as no surprise after their emphatic away win. With a five-goal cushion, the Estonian side have little incentive to push the tempo, the tie is all but settled, so the hosts can afford to manage the game and conserve energy ahead of the next round. This approach also aligns with Caernarfon’s recent stats: in 12 of their last 13 away fixtures, no more than three goals have been scored. That’s why backing under 3.5 total goals seems like a well-founded pick. Predicted scoreline: 2-1.