Palmeiras vs Mirassol Prediction 16 July 2025
🔊 Wednesday evening promises an intriguing clash in Brazil's Serie A as Palmeiras host Mirassol at their Allianz Parque. After recent domestic and international battles, the hosts are eager to get back into their groove, while the visitors arrive in good form and are clearly not just here to make up the numbers. Both clubs have their own objectives, and this encounter could reveal a lot about the immediate future for both teams.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 23 February 2025 and ended with a 2-3 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of that encounter (Mirasol were the home side):
- possession: 53% vs 47%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 7;
- fouls: 15 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 3 vs 6.
📊 Statistical preview of official head-to-heads between Palmeiras and Mirassol:
- 15 matches played;
- home team wins - 9, away team wins - 3, draws - 3;
- goal count - 28 to 20;
- average total goals in the first half - 1.4, in the second half - 1.8;
- average total goals per match - 3.2.
Head-to-head statistics Palmeiras - Mirassol
Palmeiras Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on during the Club World Cup semi-final, with Palmeiras hosting Chelsea. The match ended with a 1-2 scoreline.
Here are the match stats (Palmeiras vs Chelsea):
- possession: 37% vs 63%;
- corners: 3 vs 10;
- fouls: 14 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- shots on target: 2 vs 6.
🟢 Palmeiras currently sit 5th in the standings but appear slightly fatigued after a string of matches and their participation in the Club World Cup. Abel Ferreira's side has managed just two wins, two draws, and two losses in their last six outings. Despite suffering two home defeats in the league, the "Verdão" remain a formidable force. Over 11 rounds of Serie A, they average 1.1 goals per match, but with the support of their home crowd, they can shift into a higher gear. A downside for the hosts is their injury woes: Murilo and Paulinho will be sidelined, and young talent Estevão has departed for Chelsea in London. Nevertheless, Palmeiras have the ability to control the flow of the game and capitalize on their cohesion.
Match Results: Palmeiras
Mirassol Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on during the 11th round of the Brazilian Championship, with Mirassol hosting Sport Recife. The match ended 1-0.
Here's the match statistics (Mirassol vs Sport Recife):
- possession percentage: 48% vs 52%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 7;
- fouls: 10 vs 20;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 1;
- shots on target: 4 vs 4.
🟡 Mirassol are comfortably positioned in mid-table, currently sitting 10th, yet they're a team that should not be underestimated. Over the last five rounds, they have secured three wins and a draw, indicating they're in good form. Notably, both teams to score bets often hit in Mirassol's matches, with a success rate of around 50%, and they average about 1.6 goals per game. They face some squad challenges, with key defenders sidelined due to injuries, but head coach Rafael Guanaes has managed to maintain balance and a fighting spirit. This is precisely the kind of scenario where a mid-table side can upset the favorites.
Match Results: Mirassol
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 15;
- Home wins - 9, Away wins - 3, Draws - 3.
Statistics: Palmeiras vs Mirassol
- Matches played in the tournament: 11 vs 11;
- Wins: 7 vs 4;
- Win percentage: 64% vs 36%;
- Losses: 3 vs 2;
- Draws: 1 vs 5.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 5 vs 4;
- Losses: 3 vs 1;
- Draws: 2 vs 5.
- Mirassol have covered a +1.5 handicap in 11 consecutive matches (Serie A).
- Mirassol have covered a +1.5 handicap in their last 6 away matches (Serie A).
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- The current home side averages - 1.87 goals, the visitors - 1.33;
- Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 3.2;
- Both teams scored: overall - 10 times; at the home team's ground - 6 times.
Statistics: Palmeiras vs Mirassol
- Average tournament total: 1.82 vs 2.64;
- Average goals scored: 1.09 vs 1.55;
- Average first-half total: 0.36 vs 0.73;
- Average second-half total: 0.73 vs 0.82;
- Palmeiras: average home total in the tournament - 0.6;
- Mirassol: average away total in the tournament - 1.17;
- Last 10 matches (average total): 1.8 (home - 1.86) vs 1.6 (away - 1.2).
- Total goals under 2.5 have occurred in Palmeiras' last 6 home matches (Serie A).
Corners Prediction
Palmeiras: Statistics
- Season: average tournament total - 6.27; at home - 4.4;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 7.6; at home - 6.29.
Mirassol: Statistics
- Season: average tournament total - 4.18, away - 3.5;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 4; away - 3.
- Palmeiras have had fewer than 7.5 corners in their last 7 head-to-head meetings with Mirassol.
Cards Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches
- Average yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 1.06 (0.53 for the home side and 0.53 for the visitors);
- Average yellow cards at the home ground - 1.63 (0.5 for the home side and 1.13 for the visitors).
Palmeiras: Statistics
- Season: average tournament total - 2.64; at home - 3.4;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 2.5; at home - 2.71.
Mirassol: Statistics
- Season: average tournament total - 3.09, away - 3.17;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 3; away - 3.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 15;
- Both teams scored overall - 10 times;
- At the home team's ground - 6 times.
Statistics: Palmeiras vs Mirassol
- Total matches played in the tournament: 11 vs 11;
- Total matches with both teams scoring this season (BTTS): 4 vs 8;
- Palmeiras' BTTS at home - 0 (0%);
- Mirassol's BTTS away - 4 (67%).
Last 10 Matches:
- Total BTTS matches: 4 vs 7;
- Palmeiras' BTTS at home - 1 (14%);
- Mirassol's BTTS away - 3 (60%).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Palmeiras seem to have the upper hand: they're playing at home, boast class and experience, and have won the last three head-to-heads. Mirassol will aim to hold their ground, but sustaining a full 90-minute battle will be challenging. Based on statistics and current form, it's reasonable to expect the hosts not to lose.Despite sitting 10th in the league, the visitors' defense holds up well, conceding an average of 1.1 goals per match. They've suffered two defeats, both away, but neither was a blowout.Therefore, our prediction is: Mirassol win with a +1.5 handicap.No comments
Betting Tips: Palmeiras - Mirassol
in 9 of last 10 games (Serie A).
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