Orlando City vs Atlanta United Prediction 16 May 2026
🔊 Orlando City and Atlanta United come into this clash on contrasting runs of form. Orlando City sit 12th in the table but have shown plenty of attacking firepower at home. Atlanta United, currently 14th, have struggled on the road all season. The hosts’ strong scoring record against the visitors’ away-day woes could well prove decisive in shaping the outcome of this fixture.
Head-to-Head
The most recent official meeting between these sides took place on 28 May 2025 and ended in a 3-2 scoreline. Here’s a comparative breakdown of the key stats from that clash (Atlanta United were the home team):
- possession: 60% vs 40%;
- corners: 5 vs 6;
- fouls committed: 12 vs 4;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
- shots on target: 2 vs 2.
📊 Statistical preview of official head-to-head clashes between Orlando City and Atlanta United:
- 26 matches played;
- home side have 6 wins, visitors have 12 victories, with 8 draws;
- goals scored: 29 for Orlando, 37 for Atlanta;
- average goals in the first half - 1.31, in the second half - 1.23;
- average total goals per match - 2.54.
Head-to-head statistics Orlando City - Atlanta United
Orlando City Team Overview
The team’s most recent official match took place on in MLS action, with Orlando City playing host to Philadelphia Union. The contest ended in a thrilling 4-3 scoreline.
Key match stats (Orlando City vs Philadelphia Union):
- Possession: 55% vs 45%;
- Corners: 2 vs 11;
- Fouls committed: 9 vs 12;
- Yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- Shots on target: 6 vs 7.
Orlando City have been prolific in front of goal lately-over their last five matches, they’ve picked up three wins and two losses, consistently averaging at least two goals scored per game across their last ten outings. However, their defensive frailties are evident, conceding an average of 2.3 goals per match. Sitting twelfth in the standings, Orlando cannot afford to take their foot off the gas and need to keep picking up points. Notably, matches at home frequently see over 2.5 total goals, highlighting Orlando City’s preference for open, high-tempo football with plenty of chances created at both ends.
Match Results: Orlando City
Atlanta United Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in MLS action, with Atlanta United hosting LA Galaxy. The game ended 2-1 in favor of the visitors.
Here’s how the key stats broke down (Atlanta United vs LA Galaxy):
- Possession: 53% vs 47%;
- Corners: 6 vs 5;
- Fouls committed: 7 vs 5;
- Yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
- Shots on target: 3 vs 6.
Atlanta United are going through a challenging spell. Over their last five matches, they have picked up three wins and suffered two defeats, but their average output across the past ten games stands at just 1.3 goals per match. On the defensive end, they look more solid compared to previous stretches: conceding an average of 1.3 goals as well. This has helped them avoid heavy losses, though it hasn’t translated into consistent results. One glaring issue is their struggle to convert chances-Atlanta United have scored fewer than 1.5 goals in 18 of their last 19 MLS away fixtures, making every road trip a real test for their attack.
Match Results: Atlanta United
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 26;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 6; for visitors away - 3; number of draws - 6;
- Average first-half total: 1.31;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.73, while the visitors net 0.58.
First-Half Stats: Orlando City (home) vs Atlanta United (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 6 vs 4;
- wins: 3 (50%) vs 0 (0%);
- losses: 1 (16.67%) vs 2 (50%);
- draws: 2 (33.33%) vs 2 (50%);
- Average goals scored: 1.83 vs 0.5;
- Average goals conceded: 0.67 vs 0.5.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 3 vs 3;
- losses: 3 vs 1;
- draws: 4 vs 6;
- Average first-half total: 2 (scored - 0.8, conceded - 1.2) vs 0.8 (scored - 0.5, conceded - 0.3).
- Orlando City scored in the 1st half in 6 of last 7 games against Atlanta United (MLS).
- Orlando City scored in the 1st half in 13 of last 15 home games.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 26;
- home team wins - 6, away team wins - 12, draws - 8.
Statistics: Orlando City vs Atlanta United
- matches played in the tournament: 13 vs 12;
- wins: 4 vs 3;
- win percentage: 31% vs 25%;
- losses: 8 vs 8;
- draws: 1 vs 1.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 5 vs 4;
- losses: 4 vs 5;
- draws: 1 vs 1.
- Atlanta United have not won in 19 of last 21 away games (MLS).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.12, the guests - 1.42;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.54;
- both teams scored: overall - 14; at the home team's field - 8.
Statistics: Orlando City vs Atlanta United
- average total in the tournament: 4.38 vs 2.75;
- average total goals scored: 1.54 vs 1.08;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.69 vs 0.42;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.85 vs 0.67;
- Orlando City: average total at home in the tournament - 2.17;
- Atlanta United: average total away in the tournament - 0.5;
- last 10 matches (average total): 2 (home - 2.67) vs 1.3 (away - 1.75).
- Under 3.5 goals scored in 9 of last 10 Orlando City games against Atlanta United (MLS).
- Under 3.5 goals scored in last 5 Orlando City home games against Atlanta United (MLS).
Prediction on corners
Orlando City: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.62; at home field - 3.17;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4; at home field - 2.67.
Atlanta United: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.08, away - 6;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.3; away - 6.
- Over 9.5 corners in 6 of last 7 Atlanta United games (MLS).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 26;
- both teams scored all-time - 14 times;
- on the home team’s field - 8 times.
Statistics: Orlando City vs Atlanta United
- number of matches played in the tournament: 13 vs 12;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 8 vs 7;
- number of BTTS matches for Orlando City at home - 5 (83%);
- number of BTTS matches for Atlanta United away - 1 (25%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 6;
- BTTS matches for Orlando City at home - 2 (67%);
- BTTS matches for Atlanta United away - 2 (50%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:2 (16/188, 8.5%);
- Orlando City at home most often finish matches: 0:1 , 1:2 , 2:1 , 2:4 , 4:1 , 4:3 (1/6, 16.7%);
- Atlanta United away most often play: 2:0 (2/4, 50%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 10.34% (odds 7.5)
2:1 - 8.84% (odds 9)
2:2 - 7.17% (odds 11)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
The match narrative centers on Atlanta United’s limited attacking threat away from home. While the visitors have enjoyed some recent success, their offense consistently struggles on the road: they have scored fewer than 1.5 goals in 18 of their last 19 away fixtures. Even against defenses of average reliability, this trend persists due to underlying structural issues. Orlando City typically play open, attacking football at home, but that doesn’t guarantee Atlanta’s forwards will break through. The main prediction here is Atlanta United individual total under 1.5 goals.
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Betting Tips: Orlando City - Atlanta United
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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