Nice vs Metz Prediction

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The main thing

    🔊 Can Nice avoid relegation to Ligue 2? In the final round of the French football championship, Les Aiglons host this season’s bottom side, Metz. While the visitors have nothing left to play for-they’ve already bid farewell to the top flight-this match is crucial for Nice. Our analytical preview offers a well-founded prediction for this decisive fixture.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Nice and Toulouse have traded wins in recent meetings, with each side claiming three victories from their last six head-to-head clashes. Earlier this season, Les Aiglons suffered a 1-2 defeat away to Metz and are now determined to set the record straight.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    42%
    14 Wins
    27%
    9 Draws
    30%
    10 Wins
    Total games
    33
    Total Goals Avg
    2.36
    Both teams scored
    48%
    1.3
    Total average
    1.06
    0.82
    Yellow cards
    1.06
    Last matches
    17.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Nice
    Nice
    Metz
    Metz
    1.83
    0.98
    10
    4
    11
    15
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1.83
    0.98
    10
    4
    11
    15
    2
    1
    09.11.25
    Ligue 1
    Metz
    Metz
    Nice
    Nice
    1.3
    1.14
    6
    3
    12
    19
    2
    4
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2
    0
    1.3
    1.14
    6
    3
    12
    19
    2
    4
    27.01.24
    Ligue 1
    Nice
    Nice
    Metz
    Metz
    -
    -
    5
    2
    10
    12
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    5
    2
    10
    12
    1
    1
    07.10.23
    Ligue 1
    Metz
    Metz
    Nice
    Nice
    -
    -
    1
    4
    9
    12
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    1
    4
    9
    12
    0
    1
    23.01.22
    LI1
    Metz
    Metz
    Nice
    Nice
    -
    -
    3
    4
    12
    7
    3
    1
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    -
    -
    3
    4
    12
    7
    3
    1
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    Nice Team Overview

    ⚫ Nice are facing a genuine threat of relegation from the top flight this season. While Les Aiglons are safe from direct relegation to Ligue 2, they remain at risk of dropping into the relegation play-off spot. Currently, Claude Puel’s side sit 16th in the table, and if they fail to win their upcoming fixture, they’ll need to keep a close eye on results involving Auxerre and Le Havre.

    🔴 Over their last six matches, Nice have managed just one victory-a 2-0 win over Strasbourg-with four of those games ending in draws. In the previous round, Les Aiglons suffered a crucial defeat to fellow relegation rivals Auxerre, losing 1-2. That result saw the two clubs swap places in the standings, leaving Claude Puel’s men now entrenched in the drop zone.

    Match Results: Nice

    Last matches
    29.05.26
    LI1
    Nice
    Nice
    Saint Etienne
    Saint Etienne
    3.70
    2.15
    6
    4
    10
    5
    2
    0
    4
    1
    0
    0
    4
    1
    3.70
    2.15
    6
    4
    10
    5
    2
    0
    W
    26.05.26
    LI1
    Saint Etienne
    Saint Etienne
    Nice
    Nice
    0.11
    0.24
    6
    6
    10
    7
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0.11
    0.24
    6
    6
    10
    7
    1
    0
    D
    22.05.26
    Coupe
    Lens
    Lens
    Nice
    Nice
    1.09
    1.48
    9
    7
    16
    12
    2
    2
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1.09
    1.48
    9
    7
    16
    12
    2
    2
    L
    17.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Nice
    Nice
    Metz
    Metz
    1.83
    0.98
    10
    4
    11
    15
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1.83
    0.98
    10
    4
    11
    15
    2
    1
    D
    10.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Auxerre
    Auxerre
    Nice
    Nice
    1.01
    1.48
    10
    1
    15
    9
    1
    0
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    1.01
    1.48
    10
    1
    15
    9
    1
    0
    L
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    Metz Team Overview

    🔴 Metz offered little resistance to the reality that they would be leaving Ligue 1 at the end of the season. Even when the winter transfer window presented an opportunity to strengthen the squad, the club's management chose not to intervene, and unsurprisingly, no miracle followed-Metz finished bottom of the table and were relegated from the top flight ahead of schedule.

    ⚪ Metz have now gone 19 matches across all competitions without a win. Benoît Tavenot’s side suffered a heavy defeat in their last outing, falling 0-4 to Lorient, delivering a dismal performance for their supporters to witness one last time. That rout perfectly encapsulated the team’s struggles and reaffirmed Metz’s status as Ligue 1’s most porous defence.

    Match Results: Metz

    Last matches
    17.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Nice
    Nice
    Metz
    Metz
    1.83
    0.98
    10
    4
    11
    15
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1.83
    0.98
    10
    4
    11
    15
    2
    1
    D
    10.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Metz
    Metz
    Lorient
    Lorient
    0.68
    1.61
    7
    4
    8
    8
    2
    2
    0
    4
    0
    1
    0
    3
    0.68
    1.61
    7
    4
    8
    8
    2
    2
    L
    02.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Metz
    Metz
    Monaco
    Monaco
    1.21
    1.3
    5
    9
    10
    15
    0
    2
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    2
    1.21
    1.3
    5
    9
    10
    15
    0
    2
    L
    29.04.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Seraing
    Seraing
    Metz
    Metz
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    D
    26.04.26
    Ligue 1
    Havre
    Havre
    Metz
    Metz
    2.16
    1.49
    6
    4
    12
    12
    3
    1
    4
    4
    2
    2
    2
    2
    2.16
    1.49
    6
    4
    12
    12
    3
    1
    D
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    Latest news

    Nice

    ❌ Nice will be without key defender Melvin Bard for the upcoming match, as he is suspended due to yellow card accumulation. The involvement of Mohamed Abdelmonem and Moïse Bombito remains uncertain-both players appear to have recovered from serious injuries, but their participation will ultimately depend on the coaching staff’s decision.

    Metz

    ❌ Metz are dealing with a lengthy injury list, but not all of the sidelined players would necessarily strengthen the starting XI, even if fully fit. There are doubts over the availability of two key players-Jean-Philippe Gbamin and Bouna Sarr-both of whom featured in the previous match but picked up minor knocks.

    🟨 Yellow Card Prediction

    The upcoming match will be officiated by Jérémie Pignard. Over his last 100 matches, Pignard averages 4.34 yellow cards per game, with 23 fouls per match. In Ligue 1 this season, Nice have picked up an average of 2 yellow cards per game, while Metz are close behind at 1.7. Both sides have seen their fair share of bookings this campaign, and with Pignard known for reaching into his pocket, backing over 3.5 total yellow cards at odds of 1.99* looks a solid play.

    ⚽️ Goals Prediction

    Nice have averaged 1.1 goals per game in Ligue 1 this season, while Metz sit at 1. Both teams have struggled in front of goal, often finishing matches scoreless-especially in the latter stages of the campaign. With that in mind, the recommendation is under 2.5 total goals at odds of 1.82*.

    🚩 Corners Prediction

    In recent Ligue 1 outings, Nantes have averaged 4.9 corners per match, with Metz at 4.2. Both teams rarely win a high number of corners and sit below the league average in this statistic. Therefore, the value lies in backing under 9.5 total corners at odds of 1.90*.

    *Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.

    Editor’s Prediction

    Metz head to Nice with little left to play for, while the hosts are fighting to secure their Ligue 1 status for next season. Claude Puel’s side will be fully motivated to deliver in front of their home fans, and the Eagles are expected to claim a convincing win here. The smart pick is a Nice win with a -1.5 handicap. Predicted scoreline: 2-0.

    Our choice
    Nice Handicap (-1.5) at odds of -105*
    Bovada
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (16 May 2026, 14:38)

    Betting Tips: Nice - Metz

    Nice have drawn in the 1st half
    ogc-nicein last 5 games.
    1st Half Draw
    Bovada
    +195
    Metz have not won
    fc-metzin last 21 games (Ligue 1).
    fc-metzin last 18 games.
    fc-metzin 15 of last 16 away games (Ligue 1).
    fc-metzin last 8 away games.
    Nice will not lose
    Everygame
    -1667
    Nice have not won
    ogc-nicein 13 of last 14 games (Ligue 1).
    ogc-nicein last 10 home games (Ligue 1).
    ogc-nicein 7 of last 8 games.
    ogc-nicein last 6 home games.
    Metz will not lose
    Everygame
    +275
    Nice have scored under 3.5 goals
    ogc-nicefc-metzin 16 of last 17 home games against Metz.
    ogc-nicefc-metzin 13 of last 14 home games against Metz (Ligue 1).
    ogc-nicein last 23 home games.
    ogc-nicein last 16 home games (Ligue 1).
    Nice Total goals Under (3.5)
    Everygame
    -357
    View more facts

    Nice - Metz Table position

    Ligue 1 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    14.
    Havre
    Havre
    347141332-4435
    15.
    Auxerre
    Auxerre
    348101634-4434
    16.
    Nice
    Nice
    347111637-6032
    17.
    Nantes
    Nantes
    33582029-5223
    18.
    Metz
    Metz
    34382332-7617

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    2 - Wins
    6 - Draws
    2 - Loses
    Wins - 0
    Draws - 4
    Loses - 6
    10 matches
    Scored - 11
    Conceded - 9
    +2
    -13
    10 - Scored
    23 - Conceded
    2
    Wins
    0
    6
    Draws
    4
    2
    Loses
    6
    Goal difference
    11
    Scored
    10
    9
    Conceded
    23
    2
    Match goals average
    3.3
    1.1
    Goals scored per match on average
    1
    0.9
    Goals conceded per match on average
    2.3
    6
    Both teams scored
    5
    82'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    90'
    View all stats