Montreal vs Chicago Fire Prediction 16 May 2026
🔊 Montreal Impact head into the match with an unpredictable yet entertaining attack, but their defensive frailties remain a concern. Chicago Fire, meanwhile, sit higher up the table and have been more consistent in picking up points, though their away fixtures often turn into goal-filled encounters. The two sides offer contrasting styles: the hosts lean heavily on their offensive firepower, while the visitors boast greater stability at the back. This clash promises to be a battle of philosophies-Montreal Impact’s free-flowing football against the more disciplined approach of Chicago Fire.
Head-to-Head
The most recent official meeting between these sides took place on 28 February 2026 and ended in a 3-0 scoreline. Here’s a comparative breakdown of that match (Chicago Fire were the home team):
- Possession: 44% vs 56%;
- Corners: 9 vs 3;
- Fouls: 12 vs 13;
- Yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- Shots on target: 11 vs 2.
📊 Statistical preview of official head-to-head encounters between Montreal Impact and Chicago Fire:
- They have faced each other 32 times;
- The hosts have claimed 13 wins, while the visitors have 11 victories, with 8 draws;
- Goals scored: 43 for Montreal, 45 for Chicago;
- Average goals in the first half: 1.28; in the second half: 1.47;
- Average total goals per match: 2.75.
Head-to-head statistics Montreal - Chicago Fire
Montreal Impact Team Overview
The team's most recent official fixture took place on in MLS action, with Montreal Impact hosting Portland Timbers. The match ended in a 2-2 draw.
Here’s a breakdown of the key statistics from the match (Montreal Impact vs Portland Timbers):
- Possession: 43% vs 57%;
- Corners: 6 vs 9;
- Fouls committed: 17 vs 6;
- Yellow cards: 4 vs 1;
- Shots on target: 8 vs 3.
Montreal Impact remain one of the league’s most unpredictable sides, blending an explosive attack with a shaky back line. Over their last ten matches, the hosts have averaged two goals per game while conceding 1.7 - clear evidence of their open, high-scoring style. In their previous five outings, Montreal Impact have picked up three wins, suffered one defeat, and recorded a single draw, highlighting a recent positive run of form. Despite sitting just 11th in the standings, the club rarely strays from its attacking philosophy, often drawing opponents into end-to-end encounters.
Match Results: Montreal Impact
Chicago Fire Team Overview
The visitors played their most recent official match on in the MLS, with D.C. United hosting Chicago Fire. The game ended 3-1.
Here’s how the key stats broke down (Chicago Fire vs D.C. United):
- Possession: 60% vs 40%;
- Corners: 8 vs 7;
- Fouls: 12 vs 14;
- Yellow cards: 5 vs 0;
- Shots on target: 8 vs 6.
Chicago Fire sit higher up the table and have shown impressive consistency over a longer stretch. Over their last ten matches, they have picked up six wins, suffered three defeats, and drawn once-a strong run of form. Chicago Fire boast a confident attacking line, averaging 2.1 goals per game, while conceding 1.4 goals over the same period. On the road, they almost always feature in high-scoring affairs, with both teams finding the net in eight of their last nine away fixtures. This profile highlights Chicago Fire as a side capable of creating chances and converting them, but also vulnerable to conceding at the other end.
Match Results: Chicago Fire
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 32;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 6; for visitors away - 2; number of draws - 8;
- Average first-half total: 1.28;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.63, while the visitors net 0.66.
First-Half Stats: Montreal Impact (home) vs Chicago Fire (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 5 vs 5;
- wins: 4 (80%) vs 2 (40%);
- losses: 0 (0%) vs 1 (20%);
- draws: 1 (20%) vs 2 (40%);
- Average goals scored: 1.4 vs 1.4;
- Average goals conceded: 0.2 vs 0.6.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 6 vs 4;
- losses: 3 vs 2;
- draws: 1 vs 4;
- Average first-half total: 1.9 (scored - 1.2, conceded - 0.7) vs 1.5 (scored - 0.9, conceded - 0.6).
- Montreal Impact scored in the 1st half in 6 of last 7 games.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 32;
- home team wins - 13, away team wins - 11, draws - 8.
Statistics: Montreal Impact vs Chicago Fire
- matches played in the tournament: 12 vs 12;
- wins: 4 vs 6;
- win percentage: 33% vs 50%;
- losses: 7 vs 4;
- draws: 1 vs 2.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 4 vs 6;
- losses: 5 vs 3;
- draws: 1 vs 1.
- Montreal Impact won with a +1.5 handicap in 9 of last 10 home games against Chicago Fire (Major League Soccer).
- Montreal Impact won with a +1.5 handicap in last 7 home games.
- Montreal Impact won with a +1.5 handicap in 6 of last 7 games.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.34, the guests - 1.41;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.75;
- both teams scored: overall - 15; at the home team's field - 6.
Statistics: Montreal Impact vs Chicago Fire
- average total in the tournament: 3.58 vs 3.17;
- average total goals scored: 1.5 vs 1.92;
- average total in the 1st half: 1 vs 0.75;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.5 vs 1.17;
- Montreal Impact: average total at home in the tournament - 2;
- Chicago Fire: average total away in the tournament - 1.8;
- last 10 matches (average total): 2 (home - 2.5) vs 2.1 (away - 2.5).
- Over 2.5 goals scored in 12 of last 14 Montreal Impact games.
- Over 2.5 goals scored in 10 of last 11 Chicago Fire away games.
- Over 2.5 goals scored in 9 of last 10 Chicago Fire away games (Major League Soccer).
- Over 2.5 goals scored in last 7 Chicago Fire games.
Prediction on corners
Montreal Impact: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.33; at home field - 4.8;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.4; at home field - 5.83.
Chicago Fire: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.83, away - 3.8;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.4; away - 3.25.
- Montreal Impact have taken over 4.5 corners in 6 of last 7 home games against Chicago Fire (Major League Soccer).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 32;
- both teams scored all-time - 15 times;
- on the home team’s field - 6 times.
Statistics: Montreal Impact vs Chicago Fire
- number of matches played in the tournament: 12 vs 12;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 6 vs 7;
- number of BTTS matches for Montreal Impact at home - 3 (60%);
- number of BTTS matches for Chicago Fire away - 4 (80%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 7;
- BTTS matches for Montreal Impact at home - 3 (50%);
- BTTS matches for Chicago Fire away - 4 (100%).
- Chicago Fire have scored and conceded in 8 of last 9 away games.
- Chicago Fire have scored and conceded in 7 of last 8 away games (Major League Soccer).
- Chicago Fire have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 games.
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:2 (16/188, 8.5%);
- Montreal Impact at home most often finish matches: 1:0 , 1:2 , 2:0 , 2:2 , 4:1 (1/5, 20%);
- Chicago Fire away most often play: 0:0 , 1:2 , 1:3 , 2:1 , 3:3 (1/5, 20%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 10.6% (odds 7)
1:2 - 8.4% (odds 9.5)
2:1 - 6.95% (odds 11)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Looking at the current form and stats for both sides, there’s a clear tendency towards high-scoring matches. CF Montréal consistently find the net but often struggle defensively. Chicago Fire, meanwhile, also play at a high tempo - their matches average over two goals, and their back line looks particularly vulnerable away from home. The over 2.5 goals trend is further backed by a run of prolific performances from the hosts. Given both teams’ attacking mindset and defensive frailties, this scenario seems the most likely. The main prediction here is over 2.5 goals.
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Betting Tips: Montreal Impact - Chicago Fire
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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