Charlotte vs Toronto FC Prediction 16 May 2026
🔊 Charlotte are going through a rough patch, having lost four of their last five matches and currently sitting ninth in the standings. Toronto trail just behind in tenth, but have shown more consistency with a string of draws. With Charlotte’s recent slump, the key question is whether the hosts can snap their losing streak or if Toronto will capitalise on their vulnerability. Both sides tend to both concede and score regularly, setting the stage for an open contest and a fierce battle for points.
Head-to-Head
The most recent official meeting between these sides took place on 26 July 2025 and ended in a 2-0 result. Here’s a statistical breakdown from that match (Charlotte played at home):
- Possession: 44% vs 56%;
- Corners: 2 vs 4;
- Fouls committed: 16 vs 6;
- Yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- Shots on target: 4 vs 3.
📊 Statistical preview of official meetings between Charlotte and Toronto:
- They have faced off 8 times;
- The home side have claimed 4 wins, while the visitors have 3 victories, with 1 draw between them;
- Total goals scored: 12 for the hosts, 11 for the visitors;
- Average first-half total: 1.13 goals; second-half average: 1.75 goals;
- Average total goals per match: 2.88.
Head-to-head statistics Charlotte - Toronto FC
Charlotte Team Overview
The team’s most recent official match took place on in MLS action, with Charlotte hosting New York City. The visitors came away with a 1-0 victory.
Here’s how the key stats broke down (Charlotte vs New York City):
- Possession: 47% vs 53%;
- Corners: 8 vs 2;
- Fouls: 14 vs 19;
- Yellow cards: 4 vs 5;
- Shots on target: 2 vs 1.
Charlotte are currently going through a tough run of form-four defeats and a draw in their last five outings. Over the past ten matches, they have managed just three wins, averaging 1.6 goals scored per game while conceding nearly as many at 1.8. This trend holds across the season as well, with averages of 1.54 goals scored and 1.69 conceded per match. These stats suggest Charlotte are capable of creating chances but struggle to maintain defensive solidity over the long haul. While this poor stretch has dented the squad’s confidence, their attacking output still gives them a shot at finding the net-even against an inconsistent opponent.
Match Results: Charlotte
Toronto Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in MLS action, facing Toronto away from home, while Inter Miami were the guests. The match ended in a 4-2 victory for the visitors.
Here’s a breakdown of the key stats from the game (Toronto vs Inter Miami):
- Possession: 40% vs 60%;
- Corners: 4 vs 4;
- Fouls committed: 9 vs 12;
- Yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- Shots on target: 5 vs 7.
Toronto have failed to pick up a single win in their last five MLS outings, drawing three times and losing twice. Over their previous ten matches, they’ve managed just two victories alongside five draws, underlining both their struggles to collect points and their ability to grind out at least minimal results even during a slump. On average, Toronto score 1.8 goals per game but concede even more-2.1 per match. These numbers highlight a clear tendency towards high-scoring encounters: their attack consistently creates chances, but defensive lapses remain a regular issue. This is further evidenced by a lengthy run of games where both sides have found the net.
Match Results: Toronto
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 8;
- home team wins - 4, away team wins - 3, draws - 1.
Statistics: Charlotte vs Toronto
- matches played in the tournament: 13 vs 12;
- wins: 4 vs 3;
- win percentage: 31% vs 25%;
- losses: 6 vs 4;
- draws: 3 vs 5.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 3 vs 2;
- losses: 6 vs 3;
- draws: 1 vs 5.
- Toronto won with a +1.5 handicap in 9 of last 10 games (MLS).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.5, the guests - 1.38;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.88;
- both teams scored: overall - 2; at the home team's field - 1.
Statistics: Charlotte vs Toronto
- average total in the tournament: 3.23 vs 3.67;
- average total goals scored: 1.54 vs 1.67;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.38 vs 0.25;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1.15 vs 1.42;
- Charlotte: average total at home in the tournament - 2;
- Toronto: average total away in the tournament - 1;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.6 (home - 1.83) vs 1.8 (away - 0).
- Charlotte have conceded in last 9 games (MLS).
- Charlotte have conceded in 8 of last 9 home games (MLS).
- Charlotte have conceded in last 7 games.
- Toronto have scored in last 11 games.
- Toronto have scored in last 10 games (MLS).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 8;
- both teams scored all-time - 2 times;
- on the home team’s field - 1 times.
Statistics: Charlotte vs Toronto
- number of matches played in the tournament: 13 vs 12;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 9 vs 10;
- number of BTTS matches for Charlotte at home - 5 (71%);
- number of BTTS matches for Toronto away - 1 (33%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 10;
- BTTS matches for Charlotte at home - 3 (50%);
- BTTS matches for Toronto away - 0 (0%).
- Toronto have scored and conceded in last 10 games.
- Toronto have scored and conceded in last 9 games (MLS).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:2 (16/188, 8.5%);
- Charlotte at home most often finish matches: 0:0 , 0:1 , 1:2 , 2:1 , 2:2 , 3:1 , 6:1 (1/7, 14.3%);
- Toronto away most often play: 0:1 , 3:0 , 3:2 (1/3, 33.3%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 10.83% (odds 7.5)
1:0 - 10.55% (odds 8.5)
2:1 - 9.87% (odds 8.5)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Both sides come into this fixture on the back of disappointing runs, yet their stats point clearly toward attacking football. Charlotte consistently find the net at home but remain vulnerable at the back, while Toronto play even more open matches-averaging over 1.5 goals scored per game, but also conceding heavily. The key trend here: Toronto have seen both teams score in ten straight matches, a sequence that’s hard to ignore. The main prediction for this clash is both teams to score.
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Betting Tips: Charlotte - Toronto
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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