Stuttgart vs Leverkusen Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 16 March 2025
🔊 We are in for a candidate for the central highlight of the Bundesliga round. The strongest teams of last season are meeting. Stuttgart will host Bayer at the “MHP Arena”. The “Pharmacists” are finishing the championship without much motivation, but the “Swabians” have plenty of it - they need to qualify for the European competitions. However, despite this, the bookmakers see the reigning champion as the favorites.
Head-to-Head
📊 Analytical review of previous official games between Stuttgart and Bayer:
- 38 matches played;
- number of wins for the home team - 5, for the away team - 25, draws - 8;
- number of goals (home/away) - 42 against 84;
- average total goals per match - 3.32.
The last time the sides met was at Bayer's field. The match took place on 01 November 2024 and ended with a score of 0:0.
Head-to-head statistics Stuttgart - Leverkusen
Stuttgart Team Overview
⚪ Stuttgart is in the middle of the table, and their form leaves much to be desired. The last 10 matches have brought the team only 3 victories with 5 defeats. The average scoring rate for the "Swabians" is 1.3 goals per match, but the defense concedes more - an average of 1.8 goals.
🔗 The hosts are fighting for a place in European competitions but continue to drop points in unnecessary situations. In the last round, they couldn't beat Holstein Kiel (2:2), having been reduced to ten men early on.
📢 “We had a bad first half and then were left shorthanded, but I liked the reaction to the sending off. I saw the team as I wanted it to be. The second half was good despite the difficult situation,” said Stuttgart coach Sebastian Hoeneß after the match.
❌ Among the recent losses for the hosts, we highlight Leonidas Stergiou, who received a red card in the last round. Dan-Axel Zagadou and Nicolas Nartey are also injured, but Jeff Chabot has returned to training after illness.
Match Results: Stuttgart
Bayer Leverkusen Team Overview
🔴 Bayer is showing confident play this season, with no significant downturn. The team holds high positions in the table and scores an average of 1.4 goals per game over the last 10 matches. The "pharmacists'" defense is also reliable, conceding only 1.1 goals per match. However, Xabi Alonso's men have failed in their recent games.
🔗 This season, Bayer is left to compete only for the DFB-Pokal. They did not take advantage of Bayern's slip in the last Bundesliga round, losing to Werder (0:2), and during the week lost to the Munich team in the second leg of the Champions League round of 16 (0:2). A 0:5 aggregate score is a serious blow to the pride of the reigning German champion.
📣 “In a difficult situation, with a large number of injuries, we tried to do everything possible. In any case, the season is not over yet,” said a disappointed Xabi Alonso after the defeat.
❌ Referring to injuries, the Spaniard primarily meant Florian Wirtz. The leader of the "pharmacists'" attack sustained an injury in the game against Werder. Mario Hermoso also has a fresh injury. Jeanuel Belocian and Martin Terrier have been out of play for a considerable time.
Match Results: Bayer Leverkusen
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 38;
- home team wins - 5, away team wins - 25, draws - 8.
Statistics: Stuttgart vs Bayer Leverkusen
- number of matches played in the tournament: 25 vs 25;
- number of wins: 10 vs 15;
- win percentage: 40% vs 60%;
- number of losses: 8 vs 2;
- number of draws: 7 vs 8.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 3 vs 5;
- number of losses: 5 vs 3;
- number of draws: 2 vs 2.
- Stuttgart has not won in 27 of the last 28 games against Bayer Leverkusen.
- Stuttgart has not won in 24 of the last 25 Bundesliga games against Bayer Leverkusen.
- Stuttgart has not won in each of their last 12 Bundesliga home games against Bayer Leverkusen.
- Bayer Leverkusen has not lost in 22 of the last 23 Bundesliga games.
- Bayer Leverkusen has not lost in each of their last 15 Bundesliga away games.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.11, the guests - 2.21;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.32;
- both teams scored: overall - 21; at the home team's field - 8.
Statistics: Stuttgart vs Bayer Leverkusen
- average total in the tournament: 3.32 vs 3.4;
- average total goals scored: 1.76 vs 2.2;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.68 vs 1.4;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1.08 vs 0.8;
- Stuttgart: average total at home in the tournament - 2.08;
- Bayer Leverkusen: average total away in the tournament - 2.17;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.3 (home - 1) vs 1.4 (away - 1.5).
- Stuttgart has scored less than 1.5 goals in each of their last 7 Bundesliga home games against Bayer Leverkusen.
- Stuttgart has scored less than 1.5 goals in each of their last 5 home games.
Prediction on corners
Stuttgart: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.12; at home field - 6.38;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.3; at home field - 3.8.
Bayer Leverkusen: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6.92, away - 5.67;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 7.8; away - 6.75.
- Bayer Leverkusen has taken over 4.5 corners in each of their last 5 games against Stuttgart.
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 4.48 (2.24 for home team and 2.24 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 3.64 (1.88 for home team and 1.76 for away team).
Stuttgart: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.84; at home - 1.92;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.4; at home - 2.8.
Bayer Leverkusen: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.68, away - 1.42;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.7; away - 2.
- There have been Over 3.5 yellow cards in 14 of the last 16 Stuttgart home games.
- There have been Over 3.5 yellow cards in each of the last 13 Stuttgart in the Bundesliga home games.
- There have been Over 3.5 yellow cards in 6 of the last 7 Bayer Leverkusen games in the Bundesliga.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 38;
- both teams scored all-time - 21 times;
- on the home team’s field - 8 times.
Statistics: Stuttgart vs Bayer Leverkusen
- number of matches played in the tournament: 25 vs 25;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 18 vs 18;
- number of BTTS matches for Stuttgart at home - 10 (77%);
- number of BTTS matches for Bayer Leverkusen away - 9 (75%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 8 vs 3;
- BTTS matches for Stuttgart at home - 4 (80%);
- BTTS matches for Bayer Leverkusen away - 1 (25%).
- Stuttgart has scored and conceded in each of their last 6 Bundesliga games.
- Stuttgart has scored and conceded in each of their last 5 games.
Editorial Prediction
Considering the current form of the teams and their statistics, the match promises to be intense and high-scoring. Stuttgart is aiming to improve their results on home turf, but Bayer is clearly not intending to continue losing either. The trend of a total over 2.5 goals in the home games of the "Swabians" and the high scoring rate of the "Pharmacists" away allows us to predict that this match will have more than 2.5 goals. In the first round match, the teams delivered an unusual goalless draw, but prior to that, they scored at least four goals combined in three consecutive head-to-head meetings.
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Betting Tips: Stuttgart - Bayer Leverkusen
in 5 of last 6 games against Bayer Leverkusen.in last 4 games against Bayer Leverkusen (Bundesliga).
in 27 of last 28 games against Bayer Leverkusen.in 24 of last 25 games against Bayer Leverkusen (Bundesliga).in last 12 home games against Bayer Leverkusen (Bundesliga).in 22 of last 23 games (Bundesliga).in last 15 away games (Bundesliga).
in last 14 home games against Bayer Leverkusen (Bundesliga).in 13 of last 14 games against Bayer Leverkusen.in 10 of last 11 games against Bayer Leverkusen (Bundesliga).in 9 of last 10 games.in last 7 games (Bundesliga).in 14 of last 15 away games (Bundesliga).in 11 of last 12 Stuttgart games against Bayer Leverkusen.in 8 of last 9 Stuttgart games against Bayer Leverkusen (Bundesliga).in 7 of last 8 Stuttgart home games against Bayer Leverkusen (Bundesliga).in 11 of last 12 Stuttgart games.in last 9 Stuttgart games (Bundesliga).in 14 of last 15 Bayer Leverkusen away games (Bundesliga).in 7 of last 8 Bayer Leverkusen away games.in last 5 Bayer Leverkusen games.Comparison of Teams Stats
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