Heidenheim vs Holstein Kiel Prediction 16 March 2025
🔊 The encounter between Heidenheim and Holstein promises to be thrilling, as it is a battle between two main relegation candidates. The teams are at the bottom of the Bundesliga table, separated by just one point. Heidenheim is in the chasing position and is considered the favorite at their home "Voith Arena." However, this is a six-point match, so betting on the outcome is a serious risk. We will choose a more optimal option.
Head-to-Head
📊 Statistical preview of official matches between Heidenheim and Holstein Kiel:
- 17 matches played;
- number of wins for the home team - 8, for the away team - 5, draws - 4;
- number of goals - 28 against 19;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.29, in the 2nd half - 1.47;
- average total goals per match - 2.76.
The last game took place on 02 November 2024 at Holstein Kiel's field and ended with a score of 1:0.
Head-to-head statistics Heidenheim - Holstein Kiel

Heidenheim Team Overview
🔴 Heidenheim is in a very difficult situation. The team is showing inconsistent form, having won only one of their last ten matches. Weak defense and low scoring are their main problems. On average, Frank Schmidt's protégés score 0.9 goals per match, while conceding 2, which significantly complicates the task of earning points.
🔗 Despite statistical superiority (8-4 in shots on goal, 2.29-1.35 in xG), Heidenheim failed to earn three points in last round's match against Hoffenheim (1:1).
📣 “We had many chances and should have scored more goals. But overall, we can be satisfied with the point we earned and the game we showed,” concluded Frank Schmidt after the match.
❌ Heidenheim enters the crucial stretch of the season almost without losses. Only Julian Niehues is injured, who cannot be considered a significant loss.
Match Results: Heidenheim

Holstein Kiel Team Overview
🔵 Holstein Kiel is also experiencing difficulties this season, but their attacking line is significantly stronger. In the last 10 matches, the "Storks" score an average of 1.8 goals per game. However, their defense leaves much to be desired, conceding an average of 2.3 goals per match.
🔗 Holstein's midfielder Steven Skrzybski shows an incredible scoring rate. He has made 6 shots on goal in the last 5 Bundesliga matches and scored 6 goals! It was the German's brace that helped secure points in the match against Stuttgart (2:2), although the "Storks" could have hoped for more, considering the opponent's sending off.
📢 “We can be a little disappointed with the result. But overall, the team played a good match against an opponent that represented the country in the Champions League this season and possesses outstanding player quality,” said the scorer of two goals after the game.
❌ The injury situation at Holstein is much worse than at Heidenheim. Colin Kleine-Bekel, Patrick Erras, and Ivan Nekic have been out of play for a long time, and Max Geschwill will miss his second match in a row. However, Benedikt Pichler and John Tolkin have recovered from injuries and are expected to play.
Match Results: Holstein Kiel
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 17;
- home team wins - 8, away team wins - 5, draws - 4.
Statistics: Heidenheim vs Holstein Kiel
- number of matches played in the tournament: 25 vs 25;
- number of wins: 4 vs 4;
- win percentage: 16% vs 16%;
- number of losses: 17 vs 16;
- number of draws: 4 vs 5.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 1 vs 2;
- number of losses: 7 vs 5;
- number of draws: 2 vs 3.
- Holstein Kiel wins with a handicap of +1.5 in 7 of the last 8 games against Heidenheim.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.65, the guests - 1.12;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.76;
- both teams scored: overall - 8; at the home team's field - 3.
Statistics: Heidenheim vs Holstein Kiel
- average total in the tournament: 3.16 vs 3.92;
- average total goals scored: 1.12 vs 1.48;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.48 vs 0.64;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.64 vs 0.84;
- Heidenheim: average total at home in the tournament - 0.75;
- Holstein Kiel: average total away in the tournament - 1.58;
- last 10 matches (average total): 0.9 (home - 0.6) vs 1.8 (away - 1.8).
- Heidenheim has scored over 1.5 goals in 7 of the last 8 home games against Holstein Kiel.
Prediction on corners
- Heidenheim has taken over 4.5 corners in each of their last 6 games against Holstein Kiel.
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 4 (2 for home team and 2 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 3 (1.5 for home team and 1.5 for away team).
Heidenheim: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.68; at home - 0.92;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.6; at home - 1.6.
Holstein Kiel: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.84, away - 1.92;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.2; away - 1.
- There have been Under 5.5 yellow cards in each of the last 5 Heidenheim in the Bundesliga home games.
- There have been Under 5.5 yellow cards in 11 of the last 12 Holstein Kiel games in the Bundesliga.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 17;
- both teams scored all-time - 8 times;
- on the home team’s field - 3 times.
Statistics: Heidenheim vs Holstein Kiel
- number of matches played in the tournament: 25 vs 25;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 11 vs 18;
- number of BTTS matches for Heidenheim at home - 3 (25%);
- number of BTTS matches for Holstein Kiel away - 11 (92%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 7 vs 8;
- BTTS matches for Heidenheim at home - 3 (60%);
- BTTS matches for Holstein Kiel away - 4 (80%).
- Holstein Kiel has scored and conceded in 11 of the last 12 Bundesliga away games.
- Holstein Kiel has scored and conceded in 7 of the last 8 away games.
Editor's Prediction
Considering the current form of the teams and their statistics, a tense game with an emphasis on attack from both sides is expected. Many trends point to a high-scoring outcome. In 7 of the last 8 head-to-head matches at Heidenheim's field, at least three goals were scored, and this mark was also reached in 11 of the last 12 away matches of Holstein in the Bundesliga. Our prediction is total over 2.5 goals. We expect an exciting game from the underdogs.