Boulogne vs Montpellier Prediction 16 January 2026
🔊 In the upcoming Round 19 match of Ligue 2, Bologna host Montpellier. Both teams exhibit contrasting forms and styles of play, making this encounter particularly intriguing for analysis. Bologna are striving to stabilize their performance, as they find themselves in the lower part of the table and in need of points to avoid relegation. Recently, they've alternated between wins and losses, highlighting their inconsistency. On the other hand, Montpellier deliver more assured results and sit higher in the standings, thanks to their solid defense and effective attack. The intrigue of the match lies in whether the home side can capitalize on their home advantage against a more stable opponent.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 23 September 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 1:3. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Montpellier):
- ball possession percentage: 54% vs 46%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 5;
- fouls: 14 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 3;
- shots on target: 2 vs 9.
📊Officially, Boulogne and Montpellier have faced off just once in the past 15 years. That encounter took place on 23 September 2025 at Montpellier's home ground and ended with a 1-3 scoreline.
Head-to-head statistics Boulogne - Montpellier

US Boulogne Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Ligue 2 tournament (home team - Guingamp, away team - US Boulogne). The match concluded with a scoreline of 3:0.
Here's the game statistics (US Boulogne vs Guingamp):
- ball possession: 36% vs 64%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 11;
- fouls: 18 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 2 vs 7.
Bologna are eager to climb the league standings and escape the relegation zone. Currently sitting in 16th place, they have managed just four wins from 18 matches this season. Their last five outings have resulted in one win and three losses. Despite these setbacks, the Rossoblu favor an attacking style of play at home, focusing on ball control through short passes and swift counterattacks down the flanks.
Match Results: US Boulogne

Montpellier Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Coupe tournament (home team - Metz, away - Montpellier). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:4.
Here are the match stats (Montpellier vs Metz):
- ball possession: 34% vs 66%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 3;
- fouls: 16 vs 6;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
- shots on target: 6 vs 5.
Montpellier are currently sitting ninth in the table, boasting seven wins from their 18 games this season. The team has shown promising form over their last five matches, securing two wins and a draw, which speaks to their confidence on the pitch. Their solid defense has been key, conceding an average of just 0.7 goals over the past ten encounters. This defensive resilience allows them to focus on quick transitions from defense to attack, utilizing long balls or individual brilliance from their forwards.
Match Results: Montpellier
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 1;
- home team wins - 1, away team wins - 0, draws - 0.
Statistics: US Boulogne vs Montpellier
- matches played in the tournament: 18 vs 18;
- wins: 4 vs 7;
- win percentage: 22% vs 39%;
- losses: 10 vs 7;
- draws: 4 vs 4.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 1 vs 6;
- losses: 5 vs 3;
- draws: 4 vs 1.
- US Boulogne have not won in 9 of last 10 games.
- US Boulogne have not won in 8 of last 9 games (Ligue 2).
- US Boulogne have not won in 6 of last 7 home games.
- Montpellier have not lost in 8 of last 9 away games.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 3, the guests - 1;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 4;
- both teams scored: overall - 1; at the home team's field - 0.
Statistics: US Boulogne vs Montpellier
- average total in the tournament: 2.61 vs 2.11;
- average total goals scored: 1 vs 1.06;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.28 vs 0.33;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.72 vs 0.72;
- US Boulogne: average total at home in the tournament - 1.22;
- Montpellier: average total away in the tournament - 0.75;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.3 (home - 2) vs 1.4 (away - 1.67).
- US Boulogne have scored in 8 of last 9 home games.
Prediction on corners
- Over 9.5 corners in last 5 US Boulogne games (Ligue 2).
- Over 9.5 corners in 7 of last 8 Montpellier away games (Ligue 2).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 1;
- both teams scored all-time - 1 times;
- on the home team’s field - 0 times.
Statistics: US Boulogne vs Montpellier
- number of matches played in the tournament: 18 vs 18;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 10 vs 8;
- number of BTTS matches for US Boulogne at home - 6 (67%);
- number of BTTS matches for Montpellier away - 3 (38%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 8 vs 2;
- BTTS matches for US Boulogne at home - 5 (100%);
- BTTS matches for Montpellier away - 1 (17%).
- US Boulogne have scored and conceded in 7 of last 8 games.
- US Boulogne have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 games (Ligue 2).
- US Boulogne have scored and conceded in last 5 home games (Ligue 2).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:0 (25/162, 15.4%);
- US Boulogne at home most often finish matches: 1:2 (3/9, 33.3%);
- Montpellier away most often play: 0:1 , 1:0 , 1:1 (2/8, 25%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 13.32% (odds 6)
0:1 - 8.9% (odds 7)
1:0 - 8.16% (odds 8.5)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Based on the current form of both teams and statistical trend data, we anticipate a tight game with few goals from the visitors. Montpellier often scores less than 1.5 goals away from home (7 consecutive matches). However, the high likelihood of a similar outcome for the hosts suggests a strong chance of a low total match score (under 2.5 goals), which has been a frequent result for both teams individually in recent times. Our prediction is a total match score under 2.5.