Al Taawon vs Al Nassr Prediction 17 January 2025

🔊 Will Al-Nassr hold on to third place in the Saudi Pro League? This is the minimum task for the season, which will secure the club a spot in the Champions League. The team is unlikely to aim for more, as the two leaders have pulled away by nine points. Al-Taawoun is not contending for anything serious this season, being a mid-table team. They will host the opponent at the King Abdullah Sports City Stadium (Buraidah). We will consider different options to make the prediction optimal.

📊 Head-to-Head

Over a stretch of 31 head-to-head matches, Al-Nassr holds the advantage with 68% victories. This season, the opponents have met twice. In August, Al-Nassr was stronger in the semi-final of the Saudi Super Cup (2-0). Cristiano Ronaldo scored a goal and provided an assist in that match. However, he became the anti-hero in the King's Cup encounter (0-1), missing a penalty in stoppage time. Notably, head-to-head matches are generally low-scoring - in 6 of the last 7, no more than three goals were scored. Therefore, it makes sense to bet on total goals under 3.5.

🟡 Al-Taawoun

Al-Taawoun is in eighth place in the league table. Relegation does not threaten them, but fighting for a Champions League spot seems unlikely. From this perspective, Al-Nassr is a direct competitor. After the league break, Al-Taawoun is in excellent form. At least in the last round, they sensationally defeated Al-Qadisiyah (3-0). Musa Barrow opened the scoring in the first minute. In the middle of the second half, he scored a brace, even though his team was down to ten men at that point. Surprisingly, just a few days earlier, the opponents met in the King's Cup quarter-finals, where Al-Taawoun conceded three unanswered goals.

🔵 Al-Nassr

Before the league break, Al-Nassr lost two of their last three matches. They even dropped to fourth place, overtaken by Al-Qadisiyah. However, thanks to Al-Taawoun, who took points from Al-Nassr's direct competitor in the last round, Stefano Pioli's team reclaimed third place in the league table. They themselves defeated Al-Akhdoud (3-1). Cristiano Ronaldo scored a penalty and moved to second place on the scorers' list. Sadio Mane was the hero of the match with a brace.

⚽️ Goal Prediction

Al-Taawoun is not known for being prolific in scoring. They have only 17 goals in 14 matches. However, they have Musa Barrow, who accounts for more than half of the team's goals. He even ranks fourth on the scorers' list. This season, the team has scored 10 times in home matches. Moreover, they have scored in nine consecutive Premier League home games. Therefore, as a potential bet, we note - Al-Taawoun will score.

🚩 Corner Prediction

This season, Al-Nassr has an advantage in corners - 6.6 compared to 4.1. They allow their opponents an average of four corners. The match is unlikely to be easy for the visitors. Therefore, they will need to apply continuous pressure on their opponent's goal. This is usually accompanied by an increased number of corners. Hence, it is worth choosing a bet on Al-Nassr to win with a corner handicap (-1.5).

📝 Match Prediction

The favorite for the upcoming match is Al-Nassr. They surpass their opponent in class, but a rout is not expected in the upcoming match. Last week, Al-Taawoun showed how they can play against opponents of Al-Nassr's level. Therefore, we lean towards a minimal advantage for the visitors, such as a 2-1 scoreline.

In the upcoming match, goals from Al-Nassr are expected. It is unlikely that a team with such an attack will leave the field without scoring. Moreover, they have scored in 32 consecutive Premier League matches. On the other hand, Al-Taawoun has scored in all their home matches this season. Therefore, as a key bet, we suggest - both teams to score (Yes).