Philippines U23 vs Kuwait Prediction 22 September 2026

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Key points

    🔉 In the final round of the group stage at the Asian Games, the under-23 sides of the Philippines and Kuwait meet. The Philippines have already been eliminated from play-off contention, while Kuwait still have a chance to finish second. To do so, they need nothing less than a win - any other result and both sides will be going home.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 The two U23 sides have never met before - neither in official matches nor in friendlies.

    Head-to-head statistics Philippines U23 - Kuwait

    100%
    1 Win
    0%
    0 Draws
    0%
    0 Wins
    Total games
    1
    Total Goals Avg
    3
    Both teams scored
    100%
    2
    Total average
    1
    4
    Corner
    5
    2
    Yellow cards
    0
    14
    Fouls
    5
    Last matches
    22.09.26
    Asian Games
    Philippines U23
    Philippines U23
    Kuwait U23
    Kuwait U23
    -
    -
    4
    5
    14
    5
    2
    0
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    4
    5
    14
    5
    2
    0
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Philippines U23 Team Overview

    The side have no tournament motivation. They have lost both of their previous matches but can still avoid finishing bottom. To do so, they need to win in the final round of the group stage. Over their last ten matches they have four wins and six defeats with no draws - averaging 1.3 goals scored per game alongside a fairly high defensive vulnerability of 1.5 conceded. Their last five matches have been inconsistent: two wins and three defeats.

    Match Results: Philippines U23

    Last matches
    22.09.26
    Asian Games
    Philippines U23
    Philippines U23
    Kuwait U23
    Kuwait U23
    -
    -
    4
    5
    14
    5
    2
    0
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    4
    5
    14
    5
    2
    0
    W
    18.09.26
    Asian Games
    Philippines U23
    Philippines U23
    Vietnam U23
    Vietnam U23
    -
    -
    2
    7
    5
    11
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    -
    -
    2
    7
    5
    11
    0
    0
    L
    15.09.26
    Asian Games
    Uzbekistan U23
    Uzbekistan U23
    Philippines U23
    Philippines U23
    1
    -
    -
    10
    1
    10
    7
    0
    2
    5
    1
    1
    0
    4
    1
    -
    -
    10
    1
    10
    7
    0
    2
    L
    09.09.25
    AFC U23 Asian Cup
    Philippines U23
    Philippines U23
    Nepal U23
    Nepal U23
    -
    -
    6
    1
    -
    -
    2
    3
    4
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    6
    1
    -
    -
    2
    3
    W
    06.09.25
    AFC U23 Asian Cup
    Philippines U23
    Philippines U23
    Tajikistan U23
    Tajikistan U23
    1
    -
    -
    4
    4
    -
    -
    4
    3
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    4
    4
    -
    -
    4
    3
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Kuwait U23 Team Overview

    Kuwait U23 started the tournament with a 1-1 draw against Vietnam, and that result is the only thing keeping them in contention. They then lost 0-1 to Uzbekistan. Sitting third on one point, a win would take them to four and level with Vietnam. If Vietnam lose to Uzbekistan in the final round, goal difference will come into play. Kuwait are motivated to win by a large margin.

    Match Results: Kuwait U23

    Last matches
    22.09.26
    Asian Games
    Philippines U23
    Philippines U23
    Kuwait U23
    Kuwait U23
    -
    -
    4
    5
    14
    5
    2
    0
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    4
    5
    14
    5
    2
    0
    L
    18.09.26
    Asian Games
    Kuwait U23
    Kuwait U23
    Uzbekistan U23
    Uzbekistan U23
    1
    -
    -
    3
    10
    3
    12
    1
    2
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    -
    -
    3
    10
    3
    12
    1
    2
    L
    15.09.26
    Asian Games
    Vietnam U23
    Vietnam U23
    Kuwait U23
    Kuwait U23
    -
    -
    8
    4
    7
    10
    2
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    8
    4
    7
    10
    2
    1
    D
    11.12.25
    Gulf Olympic Cup U23
    Bahrain U23
    Bahrain U23
    Kuwait U23
    Kuwait U23
    1
    -
    -
    8
    4
    -
    -
    1
    5
    1
    2
    0
    2
    1
    0
    -
    -
    8
    4
    -
    -
    1
    5
    W
    08.12.25
    Gulf Olympic Cup U23
    Kuwait U23
    Kuwait U23
    Saudi Arabia U23
    Saudi Arabia U23
    -
    -
    1
    4
    -
    -
    1
    3
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    1
    4
    -
    -
    1
    3
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Reliable Bet

    Kuwait U23 have scored under 2.5 goals in 18 consecutive matches - a very consistent run with no statistical contradictions over that stretch. The team average fewer than one goal per game both across the season and over their last 10 matches. Kuwait U23 Team Total - Under 2.5 is priced at 1.25*.

    Correct Score Prediction

    According to the algorithm's calculations, the most likely correct score outcomes are: 0:1 (15.58%), 1:1 (11.76%) and 0:0 (11.58%). A narrow win for Kuwait U23 is considered the most probable result, though the likelihood of a draw is also fairly high. These outcomes reflect a tendency towards low-scoring play and are supported by the overall goal distribution of both teams.

    *Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Nothing short of a convincing win will do for Kuwait. They need not just three points but also to improve their goal difference, which could prove decisive if Vietnam lose. The Philippines have nothing left to play for in the standings and are likely to approach this match more loosely, which may lead to passivity at the back and more intent going forward. The preferred bet is Total Goals - Over 2.5.

    Total goals Over (2,5)
    Odds-120
    Published: 20/09/2026, 08:43
    Alexander Martilionis
    Alexander Martilionis
    Football expert
    102
    4
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    193 predictions
    Statistics for September 2026

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    Betting Tips: Philippines U23 - Kuwait U23

    Kuwait U23 have not won:
    kuwait-2in last 6 games (Asian Games).
    Philippines U23 will not lose
    +145
    Kuwait U23 have scored under 2.5 goals:
    kuwait-2in last 18 games.
    Kuwait U23 Total goals Under (2,5)
    -208
    Under 3.5 goals scored:
    kuwait-2in 11 of last 12 Kuwait U23 games.
    Total goals Under (3,5)
    -189
    Kuwait U23 have scored under 1.5 goals:
    kuwait-2in last 6 games (Asian Games).
    Kuwait U23 Total goals Under (1,5)
    +145
    View more facts

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    4 - Wins
    0 - Draws
    6 - Loses
    Wins - 2
    Draws - 2
    Loses - 6
    10 matches
    Scored - 13
    Conceded - 16
    -3
    -12
    6 - Scored
    18 - Conceded
    4
    Wins
    2
    0
    Draws
    2
    6
    Loses
    6
    Goal difference
    13
    Scored
    6
    16
    Conceded
    18
    2.9
    Match goals average
    2.4
    1.3
    Goals scored per match on average
    0.6
    1.6
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.8
    5
    Both teams scored
    4
    69'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    150'
    View all stats