Lexington vs New Mexico United Prediction 15 July 2026
🔊How will the weather conditions and the state of the field affect the game? Today, the teams Lexington and New Mexico United are meeting. The match is scheduled to start at 23:00. The tournament match USL Championship will take place in the city of Lexington at the Lexington SC Stadium stadium. The odds for the teams' victories have been determined by bookmakers at and , respectively, with the team Lexington being the favorite of the match.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 28 September 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 2:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - New Mexico United):
- ball possession percentage: 64% vs 36%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 2;
- fouls: 13 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 0;
- shots on target: 2 vs 3.
📊The teams Lexington and New Mexico United have officially played in only two matches. Their last encounter took place on 28 September 2025 at the home ground of New Mexico United and ended with a score of 2:1.
Head-to-head statistics Lexington - New Mexico United

Lexington Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on 4 July 2026 as part of the USL Championship tournament (home team - Tampa Bay Rowdies, away team - Lexington). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:4.
Here's the game statistics (Lexington vs Tampa Bay Rowdies):
- ball possession: 43% vs 57%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 12;
- fouls: 10 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 3;
- shots on target: 5 vs 5.
- 5 wins,
- 5 losses,
- 3 draws.
📈Currently, Lexington stands at a mid-tier position within the USL Championship standings, with a win percentage of 38% and a loss percentage of 38%.
⚽️Lexington has scored a total of 21 goals. On the defensive end, Lexington has allowed 16 goals over the season.
Match Results: Lexington

New Mexico United Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on 5 July 2026 as part of the USL Championship tournament (home team - New Mexico United, away - Oakland Roots). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:1.
Here are the match stats (New Mexico United vs Oakland Roots):
- ball possession: 53% vs 47%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 3;
- fouls: 10 vs 6;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
- shots on target: 7 vs 2.
- 6 wins,
- 4 losses,
- 3 draws.
📈Currently, New Mexico United stands at a mid-tier position within the USL Championship standings, with a win percentage of 46% and a loss percentage of 31%.
⚽New Mexico United has scored a total of 15 goals. On the defensive end has allowed 14 goals over the season.
Match Results: New Mexico United
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 2;
- home team wins - 1, away team wins - 1, draws - 0.
Statistics: Lexington vs New Mexico United
- matches played in the tournament: 13 vs 13;
- wins: 5 vs 6;
- win percentage: 38% vs 46%;
- losses: 5 vs 4;
- draws: 3 vs 3.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 4 vs 5;
- losses: 4 vs 2;
- draws: 2 vs 3.
- New Mexico United won with a +1.5 handicap in 12 of last 13 games (USL Championship).
- New Mexico United won with a +1.5 handicap in last 8 games.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.5, the guests - 1.5;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3;
- both teams scored: overall - 2; at the home team's field - 1.
Statistics: Lexington vs New Mexico United
- average total in the tournament: 2.85 vs 2.23;
- average total goals scored: 1.62 vs 1.15;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.77 vs 0.54;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.85 vs 0.62;
- Lexington: average total at home in the tournament - 1.67;
- New Mexico United: average total away in the tournament - 0.5;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.7 (home - 1.5) vs 1.1 (away - 0.5).
- Lexington have scored under 2.5 goals in 18 of last 20 home games (USL Championship).
Prediction on corners
H2H
- average Over/Under corners in H2H matches - 6.5 (3 - for home team and 3.5 - for away team);
- average Over/Under corners at home team's field - 7 (4 - for home team and 3 - for away team).
Lexington: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.54; at home field - 3.83;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.7; at home field - 5.
New Mexico United: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.23, away - 4;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.8; away - 3.5.
- Under 8.5 corners in 7 of last 8 Lexington home games.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 2;
- both teams scored all-time - 2 times;
- on the home team’s field - 1 times.
Statistics: Lexington vs New Mexico United
- number of matches played in the tournament: 13 vs 13;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 8 vs 6;
- number of BTTS matches for Lexington at home - 3 (50%);
- number of BTTS matches for New Mexico United away - 1 (17%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 7 vs 4;
- BTTS matches for Lexington at home - 2 (50%);
- BTTS matches for New Mexico United away - 0 (0%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (21/177, 11.9%);
- Lexington at home most often finish matches: 0:0 , 1:2 , 1:3 , 2:0 , 3:0 , 3:1 (1/6, 16.7%);
- New Mexico United away most often play: 0:1 (2/6, 33.3%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:0 - 14.93% (odds 6)
1:1 - 10.87% (odds 6)
2:0 - 9.47% (odds 7)
Editorial Prediction
- New Mexico United have not lost in 7 of last 8 games (USL Championship).