Adelaide vs Auckland Prediction
π Adelaide United and Auckland are set to clash in the second leg of the Australian A-League semi-finals. Last weekβs opening encounter ended all square at 1-1, leaving everything to play for in this decisive fixture. Now, itβs time to find out which side will keep their title hopes alive and who will see their season cut short. Check out our in-depth match prediction and analysis below.
Head-to-Head
The first leg of the semi-final took place on 09 May 2026 and ended in a 1-1 draw. Hereβs a comparative look at the key stats from that encounter, with Auckland playing at home:
- Possession: 49% vs 51%;
- Corners: 4 vs 7;
- Fouls committed: 14 vs 9;
- Yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- Shots on target: 5 vs 5.
πStatistical preview of official matches between the teams Adelaide United and Auckland FC:
- played 5 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 0, for the away team - 1, draws - 4;
- number of goals - 9 against 10;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.4, in the 2nd half - 2.4;
- average total goals in the match - 3.8.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Adelaide United Team Overview
Adelaide United delivered a strong regular season, finishing second in the standings. That impressive run allowed them to bypass the quarterfinal stage and await their opponent in the semifinals. The first leg took place on Aucklandβs turf, but Adelaide looked composed and dictated the tempo from the start. Despite conceding in the first half, the visitors managed to pull level. Notably, Adelaide outperformed their rivals in expected goals (xG), posting 1.59 to Aucklandβs 1.23.
Match Results: Adelaide United
Auckland FC Team Overview
Auckland have delivered a consistent campaign this season, rightfully securing a top-three finish. In the quarter-finals, the Blues edged out Melbourne City in a fiercely contested clash. That match ended 1-1 after regular time, with Auckland ultimately prevailing in the penalty shootout. The first leg of their semi-final against Adelaide took place on Steve Coricaβs home turf. Auckland made a promising start, finding the net in the 24th minute. However, they lost some momentum and conceded an equaliser later on. The match finished level, meaning the Blues now face the challenge of proving themselves away from home.
Match Results: Auckland FC
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 5;
- home team wins - 0, away team wins - 1, draws - 4.
Statistics: Adelaide United vs Auckland FC
- matches played in the tournament: 26 vs 26;
- wins: 12 vs 12;
- win percentage: 44% vs 43%;
- losses: 7 vs 6;
- draws: 8 vs 10.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 4 vs 3;
- losses: 0 vs 2;
- draws: 6 vs 5.
- Auckland FC have drawn in 5 of last 6 games (A-League).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.8, the guests - 2;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.8;
- both teams scored: overall - 5; at the home team's field - 2.
Statistics: Adelaide United vs Auckland FC
- average total in the tournament: 3.11 vs 2.68;
- average total goals scored: 1.74 vs 1.57;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.63 vs 0.89;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1.11 vs 0.68;
- Adelaide United: average total at home in the tournament - 1.92;
- Auckland FC: average total away in the tournament - 1.75;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.9 (home - 2.25) vs 1.5 (away - 1.67).
- Adelaide United have scored in last 16 games (A-League).
- Adelaide United have scored in last 7 home games (A-League).
- Auckland FC have conceded in last 9 games (A-League).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 5;
- both teams scored all-time - 5 times;
- on the home teamβs field - 2 times.
Statistics: Adelaide United vs Auckland FC
- number of matches played in the tournament: 26 vs 26;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 22 vs 20;
- number of BTTS matches for Adelaide United at home - 9 (69%);
- number of BTTS matches for Auckland FC away - 8 (67%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 9 vs 8;
- BTTS matches for Adelaide United at home - 3 (75%);
- BTTS matches for Auckland FC away - 3 (100%).
- Adelaide United have scored and conceded in last 5 games against Auckland FC (A-League).
- Adelaide United have scored and conceded in 15 of last 16 games (A-League).
- Adelaide United have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 home games (A-League).
- Auckland FC have scored and conceded in 8 of last 9 games (A-League).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (21/160, 13.1%);
- Adelaide United at home most often finish matches: 1:1 (3/13, 23.1%);
- Auckland FC away most often play: 1:1 , 1:2 (3/12, 25%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 11.56% (odds 7)
2:1 - 8.47% (odds 9.5)
1:0 - 7.63% (odds 11)
β Editorial Prediction
The match narrative centers on whether Auckland can maintain their impressive away form: their unbeaten run on the road is underpinned by a solid defense, conceding just 1.11 goals per game on average. Adelaide United, meanwhile, have also proven tough to beat-even against the leagueβs top sides-with a lengthy unbeaten streak and an impressive goals-per-game ratio. Given both teamsβ current form and attacking approach, our well-founded prediction is that both teams will score.
Betting Tips: Adelaide United - Auckland FC
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Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
