Union Santa Fe vs Boca Juniors Prediction 16 March 2026
📢 What can we expect from the clash between Unión Santa Fe and Boca Juniors in the 11th round of the Primera Division? Both teams have been delivering solid performances in their recent matches, adding extra intrigue to this encounter. Unión Santa Fe sit second in the standings, showcasing impressive form. Meanwhile, Boca Juniors, currently seventh in the league, have also been consistent, particularly on the road.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 18 July 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 1:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Boca Juniors):
- ball possession percentage: 74% vs 26%;
- corner kicks: 8 vs 2;
- fouls: 8 vs 15;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 3;
- shots on target: 2 vs 1.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Union de Santa Fe and Boca Juniors:
- played 21 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 7, for the away team - 9, draws - 5;
- number of goals - 23 against 28;
- average total in the 1st half - 0.86, in the 2nd half - 1.57;
- average total goals in the match - 2.43.
Head-to-head statistics Union Santa Fe - Boca Juniors

Union de Santa Fe Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Primera Division tournament (home team - Independiente, away team - Union de Santa Fe). The match concluded with a scoreline of 4:4.
Here's the game statistics (Union de Santa Fe vs Independiente):
- ball possession: 43% vs 57%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 7;
- fouls: 10 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 2;
- shots on target: 6 vs 6.
Unión Santa Fe firmly hold the second spot in the league standings, thanks to their impressive performances. Over their last five matches, they have secured three victories and drawn twice. With an average of 1.67 goals per game, their attacking prowess is evident. Not only are they effective in front of goal, but they also boast a solid defense, conceding just one goal per game on average.
Match Results: Union de Santa Fe

Boca Juniors Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Primera Division tournament (home team - Boca Juniors, away - San Lorenzo). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:1.
Here are the match stats (Boca Juniors vs San Lorenzo):
- ball possession: 69% vs 31%;
- corner kicks: 1 vs 2;
- fouls: 8 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
- shots on target: 3 vs 2.
Boca Juniors have been performing well on the road, evidenced by their streak of scoring in nine consecutive away games. In their last five matches, they have secured two wins and three draws. Their average scoring rate stands at 1.11 goals per match, coupled with a solid defense that concedes only 0.67 goals per game, making them a tough opponent for any team.
Match Results: Boca Juniors
Latest news
Union de Santa Fe
Nicolas Paz will miss the match due to an ankle injury and is expected to return only in April. Agustin Colazo is sidelined until the end of March with a knee injury. Federico Gomez Gerth faces a long recovery as he is rehabilitating from a cruciate ligament tear and won't be back until late November.
Boca Juniors
Thomas Belmonte and Edinson Cavani are sidelined with injuries. Exequiel Ceballos and Milton Jimenez are unavailable until the end of March. Carlos Palacios will be out until the end of April. Rodrigo Battaglia faces a lengthy spell on the sidelines due to an Achilles tendon injury and is expected back only in the summer.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 21;
- home team wins - 7, away team wins - 9, draws - 5.
Statistics: Union de Santa Fe vs Boca Juniors
- matches played in the tournament: 9 vs 9;
- wins: 4 vs 3;
- win percentage: 44% vs 33%;
- losses: 2 vs 2;
- draws: 3 vs 4.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 4 vs 4;
- losses: 3 vs 2;
- draws: 3 vs 4.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.1, the guests - 1.33;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.43;
- both teams scored: overall - 11; at the home team's field - 4.
Statistics: Union de Santa Fe vs Boca Juniors
- average total in the tournament: 2.67 vs 1.78;
- average total goals scored: 1.67 vs 1.11;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.89 vs 0.44;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.78 vs 0.67;
- Union de Santa Fe: average total at home in the tournament - 1.25;
- Boca Juniors: average total away in the tournament - 1.67;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.6 (home - 1.2) vs 1.2 (away - 1.67).
- Over 1.5 goals scored in last 9 Boca Juniors away games (Primera Division).
Prediction on corners
Union de Santa Fe: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.22; at home field - 3.25;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.6; at home field - 4.
Boca Juniors: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.33, away - 5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.2; away - 5.
- Union de Santa Fe have taken under 4.5 corners in 6 of last 7 games (Primera Division).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 21;
- both teams scored all-time - 11 times;
- on the home team’s field - 4 times.
Statistics: Union de Santa Fe vs Boca Juniors
- number of matches played in the tournament: 9 vs 9;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 4 vs 4;
- number of BTTS matches for Union de Santa Fe at home - 0 (0%);
- number of BTTS matches for Boca Juniors away - 2 (67%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 4;
- BTTS matches for Union de Santa Fe at home - 1 (20%);
- BTTS matches for Boca Juniors away - 2 (67%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (24/133, 18%);
- Union de Santa Fe at home most often finish matches: 0:0 (2/4, 50%);
- Boca Juniors away most often play: 2:1 (2/3, 66.7%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 14.18% (odds 5.5)
0:0 - 12.88% (odds 5.5)
0:1 - 11.69% (odds 6.5)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Boca Juniors enter this match as slight favorites, but Unión Santa Fe are having a strong season and will surely put up a tough fight on their home turf. The hosts are not in the top half of the table by accident and are capable of creating chances against any opponent. Meanwhile, Boca's away games have recently been goal-fests, with at least two goals scored in each of their last nine matches on the road. Given these trends, betting on the total over 1.5 goals seems like a reasonable choice.