Toluca vs Atlas Prediction 15 March 2026
🔅 Toluca are in impressive form, confidently holding second place in the standings. They have won four of their last five matches and are eager to solidify their position at the top. Atlas, on the other hand, sit in seventh place, showing inconsistent results with a mix of wins and losses. Their main focus is to improve their defense, as they frequently concede goals. Read the prediction for their clash below.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams ended in a 0-0 draw. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that encounter (Atlas were the home side):
- possession percentage: 34% vs 66%;
- corners: 6 vs 8;
- fouls: 11 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 1 vs 5.
📊Statistical preview of the official encounters between Toluca and Atlas:
- A total of 46 matches played;
- Home wins: 20, Away wins: 8, Draws: 18;
- Goals scored: 61 by Toluca, 38 by Atlas;
- Average goals in the first half: 0.98, in the second half: 1.17;
- Average total goals per match: 2.15.
Head-to-head statistics Toluca - Atlas
Toluca Team Overview
The team's last official match took place in the CONCACAF Champions League, with San Diego Zest hosting Deportivo Toluca. The match concluded with a 3-2 scoreline.
Here are the match statistics (Toluca vs San Diego Zest):
- possession: 70% vs 30%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 0;
- fouls: 10 vs 15;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 2;
- shots on target: 5 vs 5.
Toluca are a team renowned for their attacking prowess and solid defense. Over their last ten matches, they average 1.8 goals per game while conceding just 0.8. Consistent victories have helped them maintain their position at the top of the league. Their form is impressive, with four consecutive wins and a recent loss highlighting the team's high level of preparation.
Match Results: Toluca
Atlas Team Overview
The visitors' most recent official match took place in the Liga MX tournament, with Atlas hosting Guadalajara. The match concluded with a 1-2 scoreline.
Here are the game statistics (Atlas vs Guadalajara):
- possession: 31% vs 69%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 7;
- fouls: 16 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 3;
- shots on target: 3 vs 4.
Atlas have been grappling with challenges throughout the season. Over their last ten matches, they've secured five victories but suffered four defeats, highlighting their inconsistent form. The team averages 1.3 goals per game, but a high concession rate of 1.5 goals on average undermines their chances for a successful campaign.
Match Results: Atlas
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 46;
- home team wins - 20, away team wins - 8, draws - 18.
- Atlas won with a +2.5 handicap in 22 of last 23 games (Liga MX).
- Atlas won with a +2.5 handicap in 20 of last 21 away games (Liga MX).
- Atlas won with a +2.5 handicap in 10 of last 11 away games.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.33, the guests - 0.83;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.15;
- both teams scored: overall - 21; at the home team's field - 12.
Statistics: Toluca vs Atlas
- average total in the tournament: 2.91 vs 3.22;
- average total goals scored: 2.03 vs 1.37;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.91 vs 0.74;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1.12 vs 0.63;
- Toluca: average total at home in the tournament - 2.47;
- Atlas: average total away in the tournament - 0.92;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.8 (home - 2) vs 1.3 (away - 0.75).
- Atlas have scored in last 8 games (Liga MX).
Prediction on corners
Toluca: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.64; at home field - 5.35;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.4; at home field - 4.6.
Atlas: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.37, away - 3.23;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.2; away - 4.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 46;
- both teams scored all-time - 21 times;
- on the home team’s field - 12 times.
- Atlas have scored and conceded in last 6 games (Liga MX).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:0 (27/258, 10.5%);
- Toluca at home most often finish matches: 3:1 (5/17, 29.4%);
- Atlas away most often play: 2:0 (4/13, 30.8%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
2:0 - 11.43% (odds 7)
1:0 - 10.52% (odds 8)
2:1 - 10.07% (odds 8.5)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Considering the current trends and statistics of both clubs, a high-scoring game from both sides seems the most likely outcome. Given Atlas's recent trend of both scoring and conceding goals in consecutive matches, betting on both teams to score appears well-founded.
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Betting Tips: Toluca - Atlas
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in 21 of last 22 home games (Liga MX).in 13 of last 14 home games.in last 7 games.in 20 of last 21 away games.in 17 of last 18 away games (Liga MX).in 6 of last 7 Toluca home games (Liga MX).in last 5 Toluca games.in 8 of last 9 Atlas away games (Liga MX).
Comparison of Teams Stats
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