Sporting vs Tondela Prediction 29 April 2026
🔊 Sporting and Tondela are gearing up for another clash in the Primeira Liga. Sporting have been showing consistent form, currently sitting in third place in the standings. The team is known for their solid defense and efficient attack, which keeps them among the league's frontrunners. Meanwhile, Tondela find themselves in the relegation zone, struggling with their scoring ability. Despite their lowly position in the league, the visitors often try to challenge stronger opponents.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 26 October 2025 and ended with a 0-3 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of the statistics from that encounter (Tondela were the home side):
- possession: 34% vs 66%;
- corners: 2 vs 10;
- fouls: 12 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
- shots on target: 2 vs 15.
📊 Statistical preview of the official encounters between Sporting and Tondela:
- 17 matches played;
- home victories - 12, away victories - 2, draws - 3;
- goals scored - 36 to 12;
- average total goals in the first half - 1.18, in the second half - 1.65;
- average total goals per match - 2.82.
Head-to-head statistics Sporting - Tondela
Sporting Lisbon Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Primeira Liga, with ABC as the home side and Sporting as the visitors. The game ended in a 1-1 draw.
Here's how the stats broke down (Sporting vs ABC):
- possession: 75% vs 25%;
- corner kicks: 9 vs 0;
- fouls: 8 vs 15;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- shots on target: 8 vs 4.
Sporting are among the league leaders thanks to their solid performances both at home and away. Their recent form includes one win and three draws in the last five matches. Over the season, the team averages 2.5 goals per game while conceding just 0.67 goals per match. This statistic highlights a balanced approach between offense and defense, making the club a tough opponent for any team.
Match Results: Sporting Lisbon
Tondela Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in the Primeira Liga, facing Tondela away. The game concluded with a 0-2 victory for Nacional de Madeira.
Here are the match stats (Tondela vs Nacional de Madeira):
- possession: 62% vs 38%;
- corners: 8 vs 7;
- fouls: 16 vs 15;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 5 vs 6.
Tondela are facing significant challenges this season, currently sitting second to last in the standings. Their recent form is far from impressive, with just two draws and three losses in their last five outings. They average only 0.7 goals per game, highlighting their struggles in attack. Defensively, they are also faltering, conceding an average of 1.67 goals per match. Encounters with stronger opponents often end poorly for Tondela, as seen in their recent 3-0 defeat to Sporting.
Match Results: Tondela
Latest news
Sporting Lisbon
🎙 Rui Borges gave an interview after the match against ABC (1-1): “We played very well in the first half and could have had a bigger lead. The team did everything required, and I can't ask for more from them. In the second half, ABC pressed more but created little danger. Then suddenly, they got back into the game through a strange penalty incident. I will be paying close attention to the refereeing criteria. There needs to be consistent treatment of all situations-I am not asking for anything more. This result shouldn't break us. We need to stay mentally strong and keep fighting.”
❌ Sporting will be without Ivan Fresneda, Gonçalo Inácio, Fotis Ioannidis, and Nuno Santos for the upcoming match.
Tondela
❌ The visitors will be without Cicero and Thiago Manso ahead of the match.
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 17;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 6; for visitors away - 1; number of draws - 1;
- Average first-half total: 1.18;
- Today's home team scores on average 1, while the visitors net 0.18.
First-Half Stats: Sporting Lisbon (home) vs Tondela (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 14 vs 14;
- wins: 8 (57.14%) vs 2 (14.29%);
- losses: 1 (7.14%) vs 6 (42.86%);
- draws: 5 (35.71%) vs 6 (42.86%);
- Average goals scored: 1.43 vs 1.29;
- Average goals conceded: 0.14 vs 0.93.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 3 vs 1;
- losses: 2 vs 3;
- draws: 5 vs 6;
- Average first-half total: 0.9 (scored - 0.5, conceded - 0.4) vs 1.4 (scored - 0.5, conceded - 0.9).
- Sporting Lisbon have won the 1st half in 7 of last 8 games against Tondela.
- Sporting Lisbon have won the 1st half in last 6 home games against Tondela.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 17;
- home team wins - 12, away team wins - 2, draws - 3.
Statistics: Sporting Lisbon vs Tondela
- matches played in the tournament: 30 vs 30;
- wins: 22 vs 4;
- win percentage: 73% vs 13%;
- losses: 2 vs 17;
- draws: 6 vs 9.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 4 vs 1;
- losses: 3 vs 4;
- draws: 3 vs 5.
- Tondela won with a +2.5 handicap in 6 of last 7 away games against Sporting Lisbon (Primeira Liga).
- Tondela won with a +2.5 handicap in 10 of last 11 games (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 2.12, the guests - 0.71;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.82;
- both teams scored: overall - 9; at the home team's field - 3.
Statistics: Sporting Lisbon vs Tondela
- average total in the tournament: 3.17 vs 2.37;
- average total goals scored: 2.5 vs 0.7;
- average total in the 1st half: 1.03 vs 0.3;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1.47 vs 0.4;
- Sporting Lisbon: average total at home in the tournament - 2.93;
- Tondela: average total away in the tournament - 0.71;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.6 (home - 2.5) vs 0.9 (away - 1).
- Sporting Lisbon have scored under 3.5 goals in 10 of last 11 games against Tondela (Primeira Liga).
- Sporting Lisbon have scored under 3.5 goals in 12 of last 14 games (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 17;
- both teams scored all-time - 9 times;
- on the home team’s field - 3 times.
Statistics: Sporting Lisbon vs Tondela
- number of matches played in the tournament: 30 vs 30;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 16 vs 10;
- number of BTTS matches for Sporting Lisbon at home - 5 (36%);
- number of BTTS matches for Tondela away - 4 (29%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 4;
- BTTS matches for Sporting Lisbon at home - 2 (50%);
- BTTS matches for Tondela away - 1 (25%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 0:1 (28/277, 10.1%), 1:1 (28/277, 10.1%);
- Sporting Lisbon at home most often finish matches: 3:0 (3/14, 21.4%);
- Tondela away most often play: 3:0 (4/14, 28.6%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
2:0 - 12.2% (odds 6)
3:0 - 10.65% (odds 6)
1:0 - 9.84% (odds 9)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Sporting, showcasing solid performances and a reliable defense, remain among the frontrunners in the league. Trends indicate that the team tends to engage in low-scoring games - with the total under 3.5 goals hitting in six consecutive matches for Sporting. On the other hand, Tondela face challenges both offensively and defensively, rarely scoring more than one goal per game. Given these factors, a prediction of total under 3.5 goals appears to be the most reasonable choice.
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Betting Tips: Sporting Lisbon - Tondela
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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