Orenburg vs Fakel Prediction 15 March 2025

    🔊 Which team will leave the Russian Premier League at the end of the season? With a high probability, this fate will befall both clubs. Things are really bad for Orenburg. In the head-to-head match, they have almost the last chance to stay in the fight to retain their spot. Fakel also needs points, as a victory might not be enough for them to escape the relegation zone. In such a situation, we will consider different options to make the prediction optimal. Note that the match of the 21st round will take place at the "Gazovik" stadium.

    Head-to-Head

    In the span of 18 head-to-head matches, Orenburg holds the advantage with a 56 percent victory rate. However, they have been unable to defeat Fakel in four consecutive encounters. In the first round, the team from Voronezh prevailed thanks to a goal by Giorgobiani in the 62nd minute (1:0). For the midfielder, this goal was his first since joining Fakel. It is noteworthy that in five consecutive head-to-head matches, Orenburg has not managed to score more than once. Therefore, we suggest a bet on the home team's total goals under 1.5.

    Head-to-head statistics Orenburg - Fakel

    55%
    11 Wins
    20%
    4 Draws
    25%
    5 Wins
    Total games
    20
    Total Goals Avg
    2
    Both teams scored
    35%
    1.35
    Total average
    0.65
    2.45
    Yellow cards
    2.05
    Last matches
    22.08.26
    RPL
    Fakel Voronezh
    Fakel Voronezh
    Orenburg
    Orenburg
    0.00
    0.44
    6
    4
    12
    18
    1
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0.00
    0.44
    6
    4
    12
    18
    1
    3
    15.03.25
    RPL
    Orenburg
    Orenburg
    Fakel Voronezh
    Fakel Voronezh
    1
    0.99
    0.43
    7
    2
    17
    14
    3
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0.99
    0.43
    7
    2
    17
    14
    3
    2
    24.08.24
    RPL
    Fakel Voronezh
    Fakel Voronezh
    Orenburg
    Orenburg
    -
    -
    4
    3
    18
    10
    4
    4
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    4
    3
    18
    10
    4
    4
    31.03.24
    RPL
    Fakel Voronezh
    Fakel Voronezh
    Orenburg
    Orenburg
    -
    -
    6
    7
    19
    17
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    6
    7
    19
    17
    2
    1
    21.10.23
    RPL
    Orenburg
    Orenburg
    Fakel Voronezh
    Fakel Voronezh
    -
    -
    13
    2
    7
    10
    4
    2
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    -
    -
    13
    2
    7
    10
    4
    2
    Empty
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    Orenburg Team Overview

    Orenburg still occupies the last place in the standings. They have eight points, which makes it difficult to expect to retain their spot in the elite. In the first round after the break, the South Ural team put up a fight against Spartak (0:2). If it weren't for Sidorov's sending off early in the second half, the Moscow team's victory might not have been so easy. Last weekend, Orenburg hosted Rostov, with whom they exchanged goals in the first half. The hosts had a certain advantage in play, but at some point, the opponent increased the tempo and suffocated them with pressing. As a result, 20 minutes before the end of regular time, Orenburg conceded (1:2).

    It should be noted that this time, Sliskovic played it safe and substituted Malykhin and Marin, who both received yellow cards in the first half, right after the break. For the former, it turned out to be one too many, so he will miss the match against Fakel due to suspension, which exacerbates the problem on the right flank of defense. Let us remind you that Gabriel Florentin is still in the infirmary.

    Match Results: Orenburg

    Last matches
    02.09.26
    Russian Cup
    Orenburg
    Orenburg
    Rubin Kazan
    Rubin Kazan
    -
    -
    8
    2
    19
    7
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    2
    4
    -
    -
    8
    2
    19
    7
    1
    0
    L
    30.08.26
    RPL
    Spartak Moscow
    Spartak Moscow
    Orenburg
    Orenburg
    2.08
    0.45
    6
    1
    10
    29
    2
    8
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    2.08
    0.45
    6
    1
    10
    29
    2
    8
    D
    22.08.26
    RPL
    Fakel Voronezh
    Fakel Voronezh
    Orenburg
    Orenburg
    0.00
    0.44
    6
    4
    12
    18
    1
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0.00
    0.44
    6
    4
    12
    18
    1
    3
    D
    18.08.26
    Russian Cup
    Rodina Moscow
    Rodina Moscow
    1
    Orenburg
    Orenburg
    -
    -
    4
    10
    7
    16
    3
    1
    1
    4
    1
    2
    0
    2
    -
    -
    4
    10
    7
    16
    3
    1
    W
    14.08.26
    RPL
    Orenburg
    Orenburg
    Lokomotiv Moscow
    Lokomotiv Moscow
    2.60
    0.33
    6
    2
    12
    18
    2
    1
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    2.60
    0.33
    6
    2
    12
    18
    2
    1
    D
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    Fakel Voronezh Team Overview

    Fakel scores the least in the Premier League. Therefore, it's not surprising that even before the break, the team's goalless streak began, which has now reached four matches. However, the guys defend well, not conceding more than two goals during this period. That's exactly how many Zenit scored against Belenov in the last round (0:2). However, Yakimov was sent off in the first half, which made it easier for the St. Petersburg team. Nonetheless, this match will be remembered for Wendel's sending off amid racial insults from the stands. The investigation is still ongoing.

    Before that, Fakel lost to Khimki (0:1), although they did everything to equalize. The problem in attack worsened with Markov's departure to Ural. He was the author of four of Fakel's goals this season. In the upcoming match, only Yakimov will not play (due to suspension).

    Match Results: Fakel Voronezh

    Last matches
    01.09.26
    Russian Cup
    Fakel Voronezh
    Fakel Voronezh
    Krasnodar
    Krasnodar
    -
    -
    3
    6
    13
    7
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    3
    4
    -
    -
    3
    6
    13
    7
    1
    1
    L
    29.08.26
    RPL
    Fakel Voronezh
    Fakel Voronezh
    Zenit Saint Petersburg
    Zenit Saint Petersburg
    1
    0.34
    2.19
    2
    6
    20
    5
    2
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0.34
    2.19
    2
    6
    20
    5
    2
    0
    L
    22.08.26
    RPL
    Fakel Voronezh
    Fakel Voronezh
    Orenburg
    Orenburg
    0.00
    0.44
    6
    4
    12
    18
    1
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0.00
    0.44
    6
    4
    12
    18
    1
    3
    D
    18.08.26
    Russian Cup
    Akhmat Grozny
    Akhmat Grozny
    Fakel Voronezh
    Fakel Voronezh
    -
    -
    11
    7
    4
    16
    0
    1
    2
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    11
    7
    4
    16
    0
    1
    L
    15.08.26
    RPL
    CSKA Moscow
    CSKA Moscow
    Fakel Voronezh
    Fakel Voronezh
    1.04
    0.61
    7
    3
    14
    12
    3
    3
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1.04
    0.61
    7
    3
    14
    12
    3
    3
    L
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    ⚽ Prediction on Goals

    Fakel scores the fewest in the Premier League. They have not scored more than one goal in 25 of their last 26 matches. However, their current goalless streak should eventually end. This is especially expected in the match against the main underdog of the season. Therefore, it is worth considering a bet on a Fakel goal in the upcoming match.

    🚩 Prediction on Corners

    The advantage in corners this season is with Orenburg (6 against 4.4). Such a high figure characterizes the attacking play of the home side. In the last round, the team delivered seven corner kicks in the match against Rostov. Something similar is expected in the upcoming match. Therefore, we suggest a bet on Orenburg's total corners over 5.5.

    Editor's Prediction

    The favorite for the upcoming match is Orenburg. It is expected that they will finally be able to break their losing streak in the Premier League. However, they will face Fakel, who will play defensively. Even the tournament leaders have had problems in matches against them. Moreover, Orenburg has not won in head-to-head meetings for a long time. Therefore, we note a potential exact score of 1:1. Our key bet is total under 2.5 goals, which has played out in Voronezh's last 5 consecutive matches in the RPL.

    Total goals Under (2,5)
    Published: 14/03/2025, 06:31

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    Betting Tips: Orenburg - Fakel Voronezh

    Orenburg have lost the 2nd half:
    fc-orenburgin last 8 games (Premier League).
    2nd Half Fakel Voronezh Win
    +244
    Orenburg have drawn in the 1st half:
    fc-orenburgin last 5 games (Premier League).
    1st Half Draw
    -105
    Orenburg have lost:
    fc-orenburgin last 8 games (Premier League).
    fc-orenburgin 5 of last 6 home games (Premier League).
    Fakel Voronezh Win
    +235
    Orenburg have not won:
    fc-orenburgin 24 of last 25 games.
    fc-orenburgin last 19 games (Premier League).
    fc-orenburgin 11 of last 12 home games.
    fc-orenburgin last 9 home games (Premier League).
    Fakel Voronezh will not lose
    -152
    View more facts

    Orenburg - Fakel Table position

    Premier League 24/25
    gWDLGDPForm
    11.
    Dynamo-Makhachkala
    Dynamo-Makhachkala
    306111327-3529
    12.
    Khimki
    Khimki
    306111335-5629
    13.
    Nizhny Novgorod
    Nizhny Novgorod
    30761727-5427
    14.
    Akhmat Grozny
    Akhmat Grozny
    304131327-4825
    15.
    Orenburg
    Orenburg
    30471928-5619
    16.
    Fakel Voronezh
    Fakel Voronezh
    302121614-4218

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    2 - Wins
    4 - Draws
    4 - Loses
    Win - 1
    Draws - 2
    Loses - 7
    10 matches
    Scored - 11
    Conceded - 17
    -6
    -3
    8 - Scored
    11 - Conceded
    2
    Wins
    1
    4
    Draws
    2
    4
    Loses
    7
    Goal difference
    11
    Scored
    8
    17
    Conceded
    11
    2.8
    Match goals average
    1.9
    1.1
    Goals scored per match on average
    0.8
    1.7
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.1
    7
    Both teams scored
    4
    82'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    113'
    View all stats