Orenburg vs Fakel Prediction 15 March 2025
🔊 Which team will leave the Russian Premier League at the end of the season? With a high probability, this fate will befall both clubs. Things are really bad for Orenburg. In the head-to-head match, they have almost the last chance to stay in the fight to retain their spot. Fakel also needs points, as a victory might not be enough for them to escape the relegation zone. In such a situation, we will consider different options to make the prediction optimal. Note that the match of the 21st round will take place at the "Gazovik" stadium.
Head-to-Head
In the span of 18 head-to-head matches, Orenburg holds the advantage with a 56 percent victory rate. However, they have been unable to defeat Fakel in four consecutive encounters. In the first round, the team from Voronezh prevailed thanks to a goal by Giorgobiani in the 62nd minute (1:0). For the midfielder, this goal was his first since joining Fakel. It is noteworthy that in five consecutive head-to-head matches, Orenburg has not managed to score more than once. Therefore, we suggest a bet on the home team's total goals under 1.5.
Head-to-head statistics Orenburg - Fakel

Orenburg Team Overview
Orenburg still occupies the last place in the standings. They have eight points, which makes it difficult to expect to retain their spot in the elite. In the first round after the break, the South Ural team put up a fight against Spartak (0:2). If it weren't for Sidorov's sending off early in the second half, the Moscow team's victory might not have been so easy. Last weekend, Orenburg hosted Rostov, with whom they exchanged goals in the first half. The hosts had a certain advantage in play, but at some point, the opponent increased the tempo and suffocated them with pressing. As a result, 20 minutes before the end of regular time, Orenburg conceded (1:2).
It should be noted that this time, Sliskovic played it safe and substituted Malykhin and Marin, who both received yellow cards in the first half, right after the break. For the former, it turned out to be one too many, so he will miss the match against Fakel due to suspension, which exacerbates the problem on the right flank of defense. Let us remind you that Gabriel Florentin is still in the infirmary.
Match Results: Orenburg

Fakel Voronezh Team Overview
Fakel scores the least in the Premier League. Therefore, it's not surprising that even before the break, the team's goalless streak began, which has now reached four matches. However, the guys defend well, not conceding more than two goals during this period. That's exactly how many Zenit scored against Belenov in the last round (0:2). However, Yakimov was sent off in the first half, which made it easier for the St. Petersburg team. Nonetheless, this match will be remembered for Wendel's sending off amid racial insults from the stands. The investigation is still ongoing.
Before that, Fakel lost to Khimki (0:1), although they did everything to equalize. The problem in attack worsened with Markov's departure to Ural. He was the author of four of Fakel's goals this season. In the upcoming match, only Yakimov will not play (due to suspension).
Match Results: Fakel Voronezh
⚽ Prediction on Goals
Fakel scores the fewest in the Premier League. They have not scored more than one goal in 25 of their last 26 matches. However, their current goalless streak should eventually end. This is especially expected in the match against the main underdog of the season. Therefore, it is worth considering a bet on a Fakel goal in the upcoming match.
🚩 Prediction on Corners
The advantage in corners this season is with Orenburg (6 against 4.4). Such a high figure characterizes the attacking play of the home side. In the last round, the team delivered seven corner kicks in the match against Rostov. Something similar is expected in the upcoming match. Therefore, we suggest a bet on Orenburg's total corners over 5.5.
Editor's Prediction
The favorite for the upcoming match is Orenburg. It is expected that they will finally be able to break their losing streak in the Premier League. However, they will face Fakel, who will play defensively. Even the tournament leaders have had problems in matches against them. Moreover, Orenburg has not won in head-to-head meetings for a long time. Therefore, we note a potential exact score of 1:1. Our key bet is total under 2.5 goals, which has played out in Voronezh's last 5 consecutive matches in the RPL.