Rio Ave vs Moreirense Prediction 16 February 2026
🔊 The clash between Rio Ave and Moreirense promises to be intriguing, considering their current standings. The teams find themselves in different parts of the table, but their motivation is identical. Rio Ave aim to climb out of the danger zone, while Moreirense look to solidify their position higher up. A tense battle for points is anticipated, especially given the recent performances of both sides.
Head-to-Head
The last official clash between the teams took place on 13 September 2025 and ended with a 3-1 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that encounter (with Moreirense as the home side):
- possession percentage: 54% vs 46%;
- corners: 7 vs 3;
- fouls: 12 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 0;
- shots on target: 8 vs 4.
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Rio Ave and Moreirense:
- 26 matches played;
- home wins - 10, away wins - 8, draws - 8;
- goals scored - 27 each;
- average total goals in the 1st half - 0.81, 2nd half - 1.27;
- average total goals per match - 2.08.
Head-to-head statistics Rio Ave - Moreirense
Rio Ave Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on as part of the Primeira Liga, with Braga hosting Rio Ave. The match concluded with a 3-0 victory for Braga.
Here are the match statistics (Rio Ave vs Braga):
- possession: 37% vs 63%;
- corner kicks: 1 vs 10;
- fouls: 9 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 2 vs 7.
Rio Ave sit 14th in the league table, striving to steer clear of the relegation zone. Their form is far from ideal, suffering four consecutive defeats. With just one win in their last five outings, the team struggles to find consistency. Rio Ave aim to play defensively, but frequently run into issues due to their lack of scoring prowess-averaging only 0.8 goals per game over their last ten matches. However, their high corner count might indicate aggressive attempts to apply pressure on the opposition's goal.
Match Results: Rio Ave
Moreirense Team Overview
The last official match for the current visitors took place on in the Primeira Liga, with Moreirense hosting Gil Vicente. The game concluded with a 1-2 scoreline.
Here are the match statistics (Moreirense vs Gil Vicente):
- possession: 42% vs 58%;
- corners: 3 vs 6;
- fouls: 18 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
- shots on target: 1 vs 4.
Moreirense are showing average form, alternating between wins and losses. Over their last five matches, they've secured two victories but suffered three defeats, highlighting some inconsistency in their play. In their most recent head-to-head against Rio Ave, Moreirense emerged victorious with a 3-1 scoreline. However, their attacking prowess remains questionable, as they've seldom scored more than one goal per match in these last five outings. The team is known for its defensive discipline and aims to control the tempo through the midfield, which helps them maintain their positioning.
Match Results: Moreirense
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 26;
- home team wins - 10, away team wins - 8, draws - 8.
Statistics: Rio Ave vs Moreirense
- matches played in the tournament: 21 vs 21;
- wins: 4 vs 9;
- win percentage: 19% vs 43%;
- losses: 9 vs 9;
- draws: 8 vs 3.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 2 vs 3;
- losses: 6 vs 4;
- draws: 2 vs 3.
- Rio Ave have not won in 7 of last 8 games (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.04, the guests - 1.04;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.08;
- both teams scored: overall - 13; at the home team's field - 7.
Statistics: Rio Ave vs Moreirense
- average total in the tournament: 3 vs 2.67;
- average total goals scored: 1.05 vs 1.29;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.43 vs 0.43;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.62 vs 0.86;
- Rio Ave: average total at home in the tournament - 1;
- Moreirense: average total away in the tournament - 1.09;
- last 10 matches (average total): 0.8 (home - 0.8) vs 1.1 (away - 1.2).
- Moreirense have scored under 1.5 goals in last 5 games (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on corners
Rio Ave: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.76; at home field - 3.9;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.3; at home field - 4.8.
Moreirense: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.95, away - 3.45;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.2; away - 4.2.
- Over 9.5 corners in 8 of last 9 Rio Ave games (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 26;
- both teams scored all-time - 13 times;
- on the home team’s field - 7 times.
Statistics: Rio Ave vs Moreirense
- number of matches played in the tournament: 21 vs 21;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 11 vs 10;
- number of BTTS matches for Rio Ave at home - 4 (40%);
- number of BTTS matches for Moreirense away - 4 (36%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 4;
- BTTS matches for Rio Ave at home - 2 (40%);
- BTTS matches for Moreirense away - 2 (40%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (20/191, 10.5%);
- Rio Ave at home most often finish matches: 0:3 , 1:1 (2/10, 20%);
- Moreirense away most often play: 0:2 , 2:1 (2/11, 18.2%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 14.05% (odds 6)
0:1 - 9.05% (odds 7)
1:0 - 8.83% (odds 8)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Considering the current form and playing style of both teams, this match promises to be a closely contested affair. Rio Ave are striving for consistency but often struggle in attack. Moreirense, on the other hand, display average scoring ability, rarely netting more than one goal per game. However, their defensive discipline allows them to control the tempo through the midfield. Given these trends, it's likely we'll see low scoring from the visitors. Prediction: Moreirense individual total under 1.5.
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Betting Tips: Rio Ave - Moreirense
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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