Metz vs Auxerre Prediction 15 February 2026
🔊 How will the clash of Ligue 1's underdogs conclude? In the 22nd round of the French football championship, Metz and Auxerre face off. Both teams are languishing at the bottom of the standings in the relegation zone, and the points earned in this match could significantly aid their league campaign. We've prepared a detailed analysis of this encounter along with a prediction for its outcome.
Head-to-Head
📊 Over the past five years, these opponents have faced off just three times, with two of those encounters being unofficial (friendlies). Auxerre celebrated victory in each of these matches, whether playing at home or away.
Head-to-head statistics Metz - Auxerre
Metz Team Overview
🔴 At the start of the season, some might have doubted whether Metz would be relegated from the top division this year. However, those optimists are now few and far between. Not only are they failing to pick up points, but Benoît Tavenot's side are also playing a brand of football that's far removed from what we're accustomed to seeing in the French championship.
⚪ Recently, Metz endured a four-match losing streak, which was snapped by a goalless draw against Lille in their latest Ligue 1 outing. A particular point of concern is the Crusaders' scoring ability: they failed to find the net in their last two games and have the third-worst scoring record in the league this season, with only 21 goals.
Match Results: Metz
Auxerre Team Overview
🔵 Auxerre seem unlikely to extend their stay in France's top division. Their transfer strategy, if it can be called that, hasn't bolstered their chances-loaning players unwanted by other clubs, preferably for free. As a result, they find themselves in 16th place, trailing the safety zone by eight points.
⚪ In their last two fixtures, Auxerre have managed to pick up points with goalless draws against Toulouse and Paris FC. Christophe Pelissier's side is surprisingly resilient; despite failing to score in five consecutive matches, they still manage to earn points. Over the season, Auxerre have been the league's least prolific team, netting just 14 goals.
Match Results: Auxerre
Latest news
Metz
❌ Metz are dealing with several absences ahead of this match, but it's unlikely that any of the sidelined players would have significantly bolstered the starting lineup. Yannick Louson, Ismaël Gerti, and Boubacar Traoré are currently out injured. Benjamin Stambouli is doubtful after picking up a minor injury in the last round. Defender Jean-Philippe Gbamin will miss the game due to suspension after receiving a red card against Angers.
Auxerre
❌ Auxerre will be without their key attacking player Danny Napaso due to an accumulation of yellow cards. The "Les Bourguignons" also have several players sidelined in the treatment room who won't be able to support their team in the upcoming match: Oussama El Azzouzi, Francisco Sierralta, Telly Sive, and Nathan Bouayi-Kiala.
🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards
The upcoming match will be officiated by Marc Bollengier. Over his last 75 games, he averages 3.43 yellow cards per match, with 27 fouls. In 21 Ligue 1 matches, the yellow card stats for the teams are as follows: Metz averages 1.7 per game, while Auxerre averages 2.2. Both teams have not been frequent offenders this season, so we suggest betting on total yellow cards under 4.5.
⚽️ Goal Prediction
This season in Ligue 1, Metz averages 1 goal per game, whereas Auxerre averages 0.7. It's apparent that both teams struggle to find the back of the net in the French league, with very low scoring rates. Therefore, we recommend considering a bet on total match goals under 2.5.
🚩 Corner Prediction
In 21 Ligue 1 matches, Metz averages 3.9 corners per game, while Auxerre averages 5 in the same period. "The Lakesiders" earn more corner kicks than their opponents and show slightly above-average league statistics. Hence, we suggest placing a bet on Auxerre to win the corner count.
Editorial Prediction
We're in for a tense match between the underdogs, who are fighting for what might be their last chance at survival. It's unlikely we'll see many scoring opportunities here, as both teams struggle to find the net, but expect plenty of physical battles in midfield. In this scenario, betting on under 2.5 goals seems very promising. We anticipate a balanced game ending in a draw - 0-0.
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Betting Tips: Metz - Auxerre
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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