Independiente vs Lanus Prediction 13 February 2026
📢 What to expect from the clash between Independiente and Lanús in the 5th round of the Primera? Both teams are in solid form: Independiente have secured one win and three draws, while Lanús have claimed two victories and two draws in their four matches. Currently, the hosts sit in seventh place on the table, with the visitors holding the second spot. In the upcoming match, fans can anticipate an attacking display from both sides, given their average goal-scoring stats.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 13 October 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 0:2. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Independiente):
- ball possession percentage: 67% vs 33%;
- corner kicks: 10 vs 2;
- fouls: 6 vs 17;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
- shots on target: 5 vs 3.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Independiente and Atletico Lanus:
- played 40 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 9, for the away team - 18, draws - 13;
- number of goals - 37 against 49;
- average total in the 1st half - 0.95, in the 2nd half - 1.2;
- average total goals in the match - 2.15.
Head-to-head statistics Independiente - Lanus
Independiente Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Primera Division tournament (home team - Platense, away team - Independiente). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:1.
Here's the game statistics (Independiente vs Platense):
- ball possession: 49% vs 51%;
- corner kicks: 1 vs 4;
- fouls: 9 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 0;
- shots on target: 5 vs 1.
Independiente are off to a solid start this season, remaining unbeaten in their first four matches with one win and three draws, highlighting their resilience. They average one goal per game, indicating modest attacking prowess. However, their defense is reliable, conceding just 0.75 goals per match on average.
Match Results: Independiente
Atletico Lanus Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Primera Division tournament (home team - Atletico Lanus, away - Talleres de Cordoba). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:1.
Here are the match stats (Atletico Lanus vs Talleres de Cordoba):
- ball possession: 45% vs 55%;
- corner kicks: 0 vs 3;
- fouls: 12 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 4 vs 5.
The "Pomegranates" continue to delight their fans with impressive performances-two wins and two draws in their last four matches highlight the team's strength. They boast a high scoring rate, netting two goals per game while conceding an average of 1.5 goals. This form enables them to confidently hold onto second place in the standings, posing a significant threat to their opponents with their aggressive attacking play.
Match Results: Atletico Lanus
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 40;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 7; for visitors away - 5; number of draws - 8;
- Average first-half total: 0.95;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.45, while the visitors net 0.5.
First-Half Stats: Independiente (home) vs Atletico Lanus (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 2 vs 2;
- wins: 1 (50%) vs 1 (50%);
- losses: 0 (0%) vs 1 (50%);
- draws: 1 (50%) vs 0 (0%);
- Average goals scored: 1.5 vs 1.5;
- Average goals conceded: 0.5 vs 0.5.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 5 vs 4;
- losses: 1 vs 2;
- draws: 4 vs 4;
- Average first-half total: 0.9 (scored - 0.7, conceded - 0.2) vs 0.9 (scored - 0.6, conceded - 0.3).
- Independiente scored in the 1st half in last 5 home games (Primera Division).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 40;
- home team wins - 9, away team wins - 18, draws - 13.
Statistics: Independiente vs Atletico Lanus
- matches played in the tournament: 4 vs 4;
- wins: 1 vs 2;
- win percentage: 25% vs 50%;
- losses: 0 vs 0;
- draws: 3 vs 2.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 5 vs 5;
- losses: 2 vs 2;
- draws: 3 vs 3.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 0.93, the guests - 1.23;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.15;
- both teams scored: overall - 15; at the home team's field - 7.
Statistics: Independiente vs Atletico Lanus
- average total in the tournament: 1.75 vs 3.5;
- average total goals scored: 1 vs 2;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.75 vs 0.75;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.25 vs 1.25;
- Independiente: average total at home in the tournament - 1;
- Atletico Lanus: average total away in the tournament - 2.5;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.2 (home - 1.5) vs 1.7 (away - 1.75).
- Independiente have scored under 1.5 goals in 10 of last 11 games against Atletico Lanus.
- Independiente have scored under 1.5 goals in 6 of last 7 games against Atletico Lanus (Primera Division).
- Independiente have scored under 1.5 goals in last 6 games (Primera Division).
Prediction on corners
Independiente: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.25; at home field - 6.5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.3; at home field - 5.67.
Atletico Lanus: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4, away - 5.5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.1; away - 4.
- Independiente have taken under 5.5 corners in 9 of last 10 games against Atletico Lanus.
- Independiente have taken under 5.5 corners in 8 of last 9 games against Atletico Lanus (Primera Division).
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 3.2 (1.6 for home team and 1.6 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 3.5 (1.65 for home team and 1.85 for away team).
Independiente: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3; at home - 1.5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.1; at home - 2.33.
Atletico Lanus: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3, away - 4;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.2; away - 3.
- Under 6.5 yellow cards in 17 of last 18 Independiente home games.
- Under 6.5 yellow cards in last 14 Independiente games (Primera Division).
- Under 6.5 yellow cards in last 9 Atletico Lanus games.
- Under 6.5 yellow cards in last 7 Atletico Lanus games (Primera Division).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 40;
- both teams scored all-time - 15 times;
- on the home team’s field - 7 times.
Statistics: Independiente vs Atletico Lanus
- number of matches played in the tournament: 4 vs 4;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 3 vs 4;
- number of BTTS matches for Independiente at home - 2 (100%);
- number of BTTS matches for Atletico Lanus away - 2 (100%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 3 vs 8;
- BTTS matches for Independiente at home - 2 (33%);
- BTTS matches for Atletico Lanus away - 4 (100%).
- Atletico Lanus have scored and conceded in 7 of last 8 games (Primera Division).
- Atletico Lanus have scored and conceded in last 5 away games.
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 2:1 (12/60, 20%);
- Independiente at home most often finish matches: 1:1 (2/2, 100%);
- Atletico Lanus away most often play: 2:2 , 2:3 (1/2, 50%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 12.44% (odds 6)
1:0 - 9.09% (odds 6)
2:1 - 8.84% (odds 9.5)
- Independiente drew 1:1 in 3 of last 4 games (Primera Division).
Editor's Prediction
Independiente enter this match as favorites, but Lanus have started the season impressively and clearly have no intention of playing second fiddle. With this setup, the game is unlikely to be a defensive affair, especially since head-to-head encounters between these teams are typically high-scoring affairs. In their last five meetings, at least two goals have been scored each time. Given this scenario, a bet on over 1.5 goals seems a reasonable choice.
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Betting Tips: Independiente - Atletico Lanus
in 8 of last 9 home games against Atletico Lanus.in last 6 home games against Atletico Lanus (Primera Division).
in 5 of last 6 home games against Atletico Lanus.in last 8 games (Primera Division).in 14 of last 15 games against Atletico Lanus.in 11 of last 12 games against Atletico Lanus (Primera Division).in 9 of last 10 home games against Atletico Lanus (Primera Division).in 8 of last 9 games.in 7 of last 8 away games.
Comparison of Teams Stats
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