West Ham vs Brentford Prediction 15 February 2025
🔊 Can Brentford secure a third consecutive away victory in the EPL? They remain one of the worst teams in the league in terms of points earned away from home. Therefore, West Ham is considered the favorite. However, after the coaching change, they still appear unconvincing. Thus, we will explore different options to make the prediction optimal. Note that the derby will take place at the "London Stadium".
Head-to-Head
In the span of eight head-to-head matches, Brentford holds the advantage with five wins, two losses, and one draw. In the first round of the current tournament, the opponents ended in a draw (1:1). Brentford took the lead in the first minute with a goal by Bryan Mbeumo. However, at the start of the second half, Tomas Soucek equalized. The game was evenly matched, with not many scoring chances, although there were plenty of approaches to the goal. This match stands out from the trend where in 6 out of the last 7 head-to-head encounters, the "Bees" scored at least two goals. Therefore, a total bet on Brentford's goals over 1.5 seems quite interesting.
Head-to-head statistics West Ham - Brentford
West Ham United Team Overview
Graham Potter took charge of West Ham in mid-January, meaning a month has passed. During this time, some conclusions can be drawn. In the debut match of the English specialist, the "Hammers" lost to Aston Villa (1:2), exiting the FA Cup. After that, they defeated Fulham in the league (3:2) due to excellent finishing - all three shots on goal resulted in goals. However, the victory over the "Cottagers" remains the only one. Following that, West Ham lost to Crystal Palace without scoring (0:2), faced Aston Villa again but managed to secure a draw (1:1), and in the last round, the team lost to Chelsea at Stamford Bridge (1:2).
The winter transfer window was quiet for West Ham. They only loaned Evan Ferguson (Brighton) to replace Michail Antonio, who is out at least until the end of the season, and the injured Niclas Füllkrug. Additionally, the club recalled James Ward-Prowse from his loan at Nottingham Forest. It is worth noting that Crysencio Summerville, who missed four matches due to injury, is close to recovery, so his participation in the upcoming match is questionable. However, West Ham might soon lose Lucas Paquetá, who is accused of deliberately receiving a yellow card on his brother's birthday, who placed a bet on this event. There are also doubts about four more yellow cards received by the Brazilian, which could lead to a lengthy suspension, possibly even a lifetime ban.
Match Results: West Ham United
Brentford Team Overview
Brentford can be considered a home team. Eight out of their 31 points were earned away. In the 23rd round, the team defeated Crystal Palace on their field (2:1) and before that, thrashed Southampton at St Mary's (5:0). For a long time, the "Bees" were unbeaten at home and scored quite a lot. However, both streaks were broken by Liverpool (0:2). And in the last round, the score was exactly repeated in the confrontation with Tottenham. Brentford had the game advantage and two clear scoring opportunities, but their finishing let them down. On one occasion, the ball hit the goalpost.
There was interest in the team's players during the winter transfer window, but the club essentially parted with no one, only sending Rasmussen out on loan. However, the defender was replaced by young Mikael Kayode (Fiorentina). So far, he has played only 15 minutes for Brentford in the match against Tottenham. In the upcoming match, Da Silva, Henry, Hickey, and Igor will not play due to injuries; they have been absent for a long time and can hardly be considered part of the main squad.
Match Results: Brentford
🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards
The main referee for the match is Darren England. This season, he has officiated 11 Premier League matches. He has only awarded penalties in two of those games. There was only one match, between Fulham and Aston Villa, where he issued red cards, showing two in total. He is not considered a strict referee, averaging 4.27 yellow cards per game.
West Ham has the advantage in yellow cards this season (2.3 compared to 1.5). In matches involving West Ham, there are an average of four yellow cards, while Brentford's matches see even fewer (3.6). Considering the referee's statistics, it might be worth considering a bet on total yellow cards under 4.5, especially since this has occurred in 12 consecutive away matches for Brentford.
⚽️ Goal Prediction
West Ham has been scoring few goals recently. This is largely due to the absence of their main strikers. Moreover, Jarrod Bowen has just recovered, although he did score in his first match back. In any case, the team has scored no more than one goal in 9 out of their last 10 matches. The exception was the match against Fulham, where the "Hammers" exceeded their xG by almost three times. Therefore, it might be worth considering a bet on West Ham total goals under 1.5.
🚩 Corner Prediction
The teams approach the match with low trends on corners. Brentford has had no more than five corners in 12 of their last 13 away matches. On the other hand, West Ham has not exceeded this mark in eight consecutive games. Therefore, a bet on total corners under 10.5 might be profitable.
Editorial Prediction
The favorite for the upcoming match is West Ham. However, the head-to-head statistics are not in their favor. Furthermore, the team hasn't improved much after the coaching change, achieving only one victory. Brentford has been weak in away games, although they have started a series of two wins recently. It's possible that they might succeed in the derby, so we note a potential exact score of 1:2.
West Ham is playing at home, so they should score, but likely not more than one goal. On the other hand, they have conceded at home in 20 of the last 21 matches. Additionally, Brentford has managed to score in seven consecutive head-to-head meetings. In this situation, as a key bet, we choose - both teams to score (Yes).
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Betting Tips: West Ham United - Brentford
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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