Metz vs PSG Prediction 13 December 2025
🔊 Can Metz put up a fight against PSG? This Saturday, these teams will clash in the 16th round of the French Championship. The opponents find themselves at opposite ends of the league table, showcasing vastly different levels of football. Bookmakers have little doubt about a home defeat. Let's delve into this match in more detail and make a prediction on its outcome.
Head-to-Head
📊 The capital club dominates the matchup between PSG and Metz. Paris Saint-Germain have emerged victorious in the last fifteen encounters against these opponents.
Head-to-head statistics Metz - PSG

Metz Team Overview
🔴 Metz are one of the main contenders for relegation from the top division at the end of the season. Currently, the "Crusaders" sit at the bottom of the standings, trailing 15th place by 4 points. It's worth noting the low scoring rate of Stéphane Le Mignan's side-they've netted just 15 goals this season.
⚪ A brief surge of activity and a glimmer of hope emerged for Metz fans after a run of three victories in late October and early November. However, the joy was short-lived, as was their escape from the last place. In the last three rounds, Metz suffered defeats, returning to their familiar status as underdogs. A particularly notable loss came against Auxerre-a team of similar strength, yet the "Crusaders" fell 1-3 to them.
Match Results: Metz

Paris Saint-Germain Team Overview
🔵 PSG are battling for the gold medals this season, and their unexpected challenger is Lens, who are one point ahead of Luis Enrique's side. The loss of their lead was due to a defeat against Monaco (0-1) in the 14th round. In that match, the Parisians didn't quite play like themselves and were a bit unlucky. Nonetheless, the title race remains fiercely competitive.
🔴 In the latest round of the French championship, PSG thrashed Rennes at home (5-0). Luis Enrique's men relentlessly pressured their opponents, and by the 74th minute, they were playing with a numerical advantage. Recently, Paris Saint-Germain played their sixth round match of the Champions League in Bilbao against local side Athletic, ending in a goalless draw. There were plenty of opportunities to score, but the opposition was well-prepared and managed to hold firm.
Match Results: Paris Saint-Germain
Latest news
Metz
❌ Metz have no losses from their main squad. In the infirmary are Joseph Mangondo (knee injury), Uri Michel Mbula (hamstring injury), and Pape Sarr (concussion). However, the coaching staff likely wasn't counting on these players, as they've been in recovery for quite some time.
Paris Saint-Germain
⚙ A troubling incident occurred for PSG following their recent Champions League match in Bilbao. Local Athletic fans hurled stones at the Parisians' bus. Fortunately, no one was inside the vehicle at the time. However, the next morning, PSG's players and coaching staff had to find a new bus to reach the airport.
❌ PSG's injury list includes several key starters who could have bolstered the team against Metz but are sidelined due to injuries: Achraf Hakimi (ankle injury), Marquinhos (muscle injury), and Lucas Beraldo (game injury). The participation of Lucas Chevalier and Ousmane Dembélé remains doubtful.
🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards
The upcoming match will be officiated by Romain Lissorgue. Over the span of 100 matches, he averages 3.84 yellow cards per game, with 28 fouls. In Ligue 1, over 15 matches, the yellow card statistics for the teams are as follows: Metz averages 1.7 per game, while PSG averages 1.2. Both teams have received few cautions this season, so we suggest betting on total yellow cards under 5.5.
⚽️ Goal Prediction
Metz's average individual total in the French Championship is 1 goal per match, while PSG averages 2.1 over the same period. The goal-scoring rate in matches involving these teams is quite high: 3.3 for the hosts and 2.9 for the visitors. Given this data, we recommend considering a bet on total match goals over 2.5.
🚩 Corner Prediction
In fifteen Ligue 1 matches, Metz averages 4.1 corners per game, while PSG averages 6.4. Luis Enrique's side frequently earns corner kicks and boasts above-average league statistics, unlike their opponents. Therefore, we suggest betting on the visitors to win the corner count.
Editorial Prediction
PSG seem to bounce back after disappointing performances, dismantling their opponents piece by piece. That was the case after the Monaco match, where Rennes were thrashed, and now Metz are in the firing line. Considering PSG have won their last 15 head-to-head encounters against this opponent, we're expecting a commanding 3-0 victory for them. We believe Metz are not equipped to compete on equal terms with PSG, who are significantly stronger, so we are backing a -1.5 handicap on the visitors.