Atl. Mineiro vs Flamengo Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 26 November 2025
🔊 The upcoming clash between Atlético Mineiro and Flamengo promises to be a spectacle. Both teams enter the match with different mindsets and motivations. Atlético Mineiro, having lost in the final of the Copa Sudamericana, aim to secure their spot for next season in the remaining three league matches. Meanwhile, Flamengo could clinch the Brazilian championship this round under certain circumstances. The teams' playing styles differ: the hosts rely on counterattacks, while the visitors favor ball control and an attacking approach. This season, the clubs have already faced each other three times, with all encounters being closely contested, so we anticipate a fierce battle with few goals.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 06 August 2025 and ended with a 0-1 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of the statistics from that encounter (with Atletico Mineiro as the home side):
- possession percentage: 47% vs 53%;
- corners: 3 vs 5;
- fouls: 13 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 6 vs 3.
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Atlético Mineiro and Flamengo:
- 46 matches played;
- home wins - 18, away wins - 21, draws - 7;
- goals scored - 60 each;
- average first-half total - 1.04, second-half - 1.57;
- average total goals per match - 2.61.
Head-to-head statistics Atl. Mineiro - Flamengo
Atletico Mineiro Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the South American Cup tournament, with Lanus as the home side and Atletico Mineiro as the visitors. The game ended in a 0-0 draw.
Here are the match statistics (Atletico Mineiro vs Lanus):
- possession: 51% vs 49%;
- corners: 3 vs 1;
- fouls: 16 vs 15;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 4 vs 4.
⚫ As the season heads into its final stretch, Atletico Mineiro are facing some tough times. Jorge Sampaoli's side let a victory slip through their fingers in a home match against Fortaleza, conceding an equalizer in stoppage time to end 3-3. They then suffered a 2-0 defeat on the road to Bragantino. Following that, they traveled to Paraguay for the Copa Sudamericana final in Asuncion against Argentina's Lanus. After a goalless draw, "Galo" lost the title in a penalty shootout, 5-4.
⚪ Currently, Atletico sit 11th in Serie A with 44 points, holding a six-point cushion above the relegation zone. A defeat would be undesirable for "Galo," not only because it would bring them closer to the league's lower tier but also because a loss could see Atletico drop out of the top 13. Finishing between 8th and 13th is crucial as it secures a spot in next season's Copa Sudamericana.
Match Results: Atletico Mineiro
Flamengo Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in the Serie A tournament (Flamengo hosted Bragantino). The match ended with a 3-0 scoreline.
Here are the match statistics (Flamengo vs Bragantino):
- possession: 58% vs 42%;
- corners: 4 vs 6;
- fouls: 9 vs 17;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
- shots on target: 9 vs 1.
🔴 Flamengo, bouncing back from an unexpected defeat to Fluminense (1-2), showcased their strength with a commanding 3-0 victory over Bragantino. This win allowed the Rubro-Negro to maintain a comfortable four-point lead over Palmeiras. Filipe Luís's squad now stands on the brink of clinching the Brazilian championship. If they secure a win at Arena MRV and Palmeiras falter against Grêmio, Mengão will reclaim the title last won in 2020.
⚫ However, the trip to Belo Horizonte promises to be an incredibly tough challenge for the Rubro-Negro. In the first round at Maracanã, Flamengo narrowly edged out Atlético with a slim 1-0 victory. Just a month later, fate brought the teams together again in the Copa do Brasil Round of 16, where Flamengo fell to Mineiro in a penalty shootout, indicating that an easy outing in the upcoming match is unlikely.
Match Results: Flamengo
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- Total encounters - 46;
- Home wins - 18, Away wins - 21, Draws - 7.
Statistics: Atletico Mineiro vs Flamengo
- Matches played in the tournament: 34 vs 35;
- Victories: 11 vs 22;
- Win percentage: 32% vs 63%;
- Losses: 12 vs 5;
- Draws: 11 vs 8.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 4 vs 6;
- Losses: 3 vs 2;
- Draws: 3 vs 2.
- Atletico Mineiro are unbeaten at home in 13 of their last 14 matches (Serie A).
- Atletico Mineiro are undefeated in their last 10 home games.
- Atletico Mineiro have avoided defeat in 8 of their last 9 matches.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- Today's hosts average - 1.3 goals, visitors - 1.3;
- Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.61;
- Both teams scored: overall - 22 times; at the home team's ground - 14 times.
Statistics: Atletico Mineiro vs Flamengo
- Average total in the tournament: 2.24 vs 2.74;
- Average goals scored: 1.09 vs 2.09;
- Average first-half goals: 0.35 vs 0.74;
- Average second-half goals: 0.74 vs 1.34;
- Atletico Mineiro: average home total in the tournament - 1.5;
- Flamengo: average away total in the tournament - 1.65;
- Last 10 matches (average total): 1.5 (home - 2.5) vs 2.1 (away - 1.6).
- Atletico Mineiro have scored at home in 10 of their last 11 matches (Serie A).
- Atletico Mineiro have found the net at home in 9 of their last 10 matches.
Corner Prediction
Atletico Mineiro: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 5.97; at home - 7.13;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 5.1; at home - 7.25.
Flamengo: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 6.34, away - 5.94;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 7.2; away - 7.2.
- Flamengo have taken more than 4.5 corners in 6 of their last 7 matches (Serie A).
Card Prediction
Head-to-Head
- Average total yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 3.44 (1.72 - for the hosts and 1.72 - for the visitors);
- Average total yellow cards at the hosts' ground - 3.66 (1.83 - for the hosts and 1.83 - for the visitors).
Atletico Mineiro: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 2.65; at home - 2.81;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 2.3; at home - 2.5.
Flamengo: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 2.17, away - 2.47;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 2.3; away - 2.2.
- Total over 4.5 yellow cards occurred in 6 of Flamengo's last 7 away matches (Serie A).
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- Total encounters - 46;
- Both teams scored overall - 22 times;
- At the home team's ground - 14 times.
Statistics: Atletico Mineiro vs Flamengo
- Total matches played in the tournament: 34 vs 35;
- Total matches this season where both teams scored (BTTS): 14 vs 15;
- BTTS for Atletico Mineiro at home - 8 (50%);
- BTTS for Flamengo away - 9 (53%).
Last 10 Matches:
- Total BTTS matches: 4 vs 5;
- BTTS for Atletico Mineiro at home - 2 (50%);
- BTTS for Flamengo away - 3 (60%).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
This matchup promises plenty of scoring opportunities due to Flamengo's aggressive play and Atletico Mineiro's shaky defense. The hosts are likely to score at least once at home, given their strong conversion rate at their stadium. Considering their head-to-head history, we dare to predict that the Serie A title race won't be decided after this round: Atletico Mineiro will not lose, as they have remained unbeaten in their last 10 matches at the "Arena MRV." We believe this encounter will end in a 1-1 draw.
No comments
Betting Tips: Atletico Mineiro - Flamengo
in 13 of last 14 home games (Serie A).in last 10 home games.in 8 of last 9 games.
in 10 of last 11 home games (Serie A).in 9 of last 10 home games.in 8 of last 9 games (Serie A).in last 6 Flamengo games (Serie A).Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
