Japan vs Brazil Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 14 November 2026
🔊 Japan and Brazil will meet in a friendly that will form part of both national teams’ preparations for the next international cycle. Hajime Moriyasu’s side have won three and drawn one of their last four matches, while Brazil have gone unbeaten in three matches since the World Cup. Japan have reason to expect to score, but their opponents have greater squad depth and considerable individual attacking quality. The previous two meetings were high-scoring and both ended with a margin of just one goal.
🔁 We will update this prediction as new information about the teams becomes available. Check it immediately before the match so you do not miss any important changes.
Brazil's comeback win at the World Cup
📊 The teams met in the round of 32 at the World Cup in June 2026. Japan took the lead through a goal from Kaishu Sano, but Brazil equalised after the break and snatched a 2-1 win. Goals from Casemiro and Martinelli sent the five-time champions through to the next round.
Head-to-head statistics Japan - Brazil
Japan: consistent form and attacking absences
Japan enjoyed a strong run in September and October. They first beat Uruguay 3-1, then defeated Venezuela 2-1, with Ayase Ueda scoring both goals. Their match against Ecuador ended goalless, but Japan won the penalty shootout 5-4. Finally, Moriyasu’s side beat New Zealand 2-1 in the Kirin Cup final, with Ueda and Ritsu Doan scoring the decisive goals.
The coaching staff used different formations during this run. Against New Zealand, Japan switched to a 4-2-3-1 after three matches with three centre-backs. This allowed the wide players to get forward more and the team to create more chances by using the width of the pitch. Japan had 24 shots in that match while limiting New Zealand to five attempts. This approach could also be useful against Brazil, although leaving space behind defenders who push forward will be dangerous.
One important factor is the absence of Ueda, who scored three goals during the September-October run. His role in finishing attacks will have to be shared among other forwards and attacking midfielders. At the same time, the return of Takumi Minamino and Koki Machida from serious injuries gives Moriyasu more options. The squad also has other talented players capable of creating chances in different ways.
Match Results: Japan
Brazil: Ancelotti’s new squad
Brazil are gradually finding their rhythm after the World Cup. In September, they drew 1-1 with Australia, then beat the same opponents 4-2 four days later. A 4-0 win over India followed. Brazil have therefore scored nine goals and conceded three in their last three matches.
Carlo Ancelotti continues to rebuild the national team with the next World Cup in mind. The November squad includes 26 players, including Vinícius Júnior and Raphinha, but the coach has also called up a large number of young players. According to the Brazilian Football Confederation, the squad’s average age has fallen to 23.6, and 15 players are no older than 23. This could affect how well certain combinations work together, but the team have enough pace and individual skill to cause problems even against an organised defence.
Against Japan, much will depend on how effectively Brazil can exploit open spaces when moving from defence to attack. In the last meeting between the sides, they improved after the break, put more balls into the penalty area and eventually turned the game around. Vinícius, Raphinha, Estêvão and Rayan give Ancelotti several options for moving the ball forward and finishing attacks. Meanwhile, the team’s goalscoring in their October matches shows that their attacking players are already beginning to develop an understanding.
Match Results: Brazil
Latest news
Japan
❌ Ayase Ueda was left out of the squad for the November matches due to injury. Kaoru Mitoma and Takehiro Tomiyasu were also omitted because of injuries. Takumi Minamino and Koki Machida, by contrast, returned after lengthy recoveries.
Brazil
❌ Central midfielder Danilo, who plays for Botafogo, was withdrawn from the squad due to injury. The Brazilian Football Confederation confirmed that no replacement would be called up. The other players on the published squad list are available to train with the team; no further confirmed absences were announced ahead of the match.
🟨 Yellow cards prediction
There were five yellow cards in the World Cup match: three for Japan and two for Brazil. Given that the upcoming match is less high-stakes than the previous major tournament, Total Yellow Cards - Under 3.5 is worth considering, although the friendly status of this match leaves some uncertainty.
⚽ Goals prediction
Japan have scored in three of their last four matches, while Brazil scored nine goals against Australia and India across three matches in October. Ueda's absence weakens Japan's usual option for finishing attacks, but Doan, Kubo, Maeda and Minamino remain in the squad. Brazil, meanwhile, have equally talented players capable of making the difference through individual play. Taking into account the recent head-to-head meetings and both teams' current form, I suggest considering Total Goals - Over 2.5. The odds are 1.63*.
🚩 Corners prediction
In their World Cup head-to-head meeting, Brazil had three times as many corners as Japan - 6:2. Of course, friendlies are less predictable, but recent results provide further grounds to expect plenty of set pieces. Japan took just 11 corners across their previous four matches: eight against New Zealand, two against Ecuador, one against Venezuela and none against Uruguay. Brazil, by contrast, have been more active: in their first match against Australia, they lost the corner count 8:9, but then won it against the Australians (6:4) and against India (8:6). In all three of Brazil's most recent matches, the teams took at least ten corners in total. Given this trend, I suggest considering Total Corners - Over 7.5 at odds of 1.46*.
*Odds are indicative and may vary depending on the bookmaker.
⭐ Editor’s Prediction
Japan go into the match in good form and have already shown they can cause Brazil serious problems. Despite missing players in attack, the nominal hosts have enough options in the final third. The visitors have an even stronger selection of attacking players. Brazil’s defence, however, do not always play without mistakes: they conceded three goals across two matches against Australia. The last head-to-head meeting also saw both sides score. So, rather than picking a winner, I favour both teams scoring. Final bet: Both Teams to Score - Yes. Correct score prediction: 1-2 to Brazil.
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Betting Tips: Japan - Brazil
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in last 6 games (Int. Friendly Games).in 16 of last 17 games (Int. Friendly Games).in last 23 games (Int. Friendly Games).Comparison of Teams Stats
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