CD Recoleta vs Libertad Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 14 November 2026
🔊 Deportes Recoleta head into the semi-final with four wins in their last five matches, while Libertad have won three of their last five. Both teams have been scoring consistently, and the hosts' home matches stand out for their high average number of goals. Against this backdrop, the key factor is Deportes Recoleta's attacking potential at home, where they score regularly and are involved in high-scoring matches.
Second halves decide the outcome
Deportes Recoleta lost 2-1 to Libertad in the Premier Division on 05 October 2026, despite creating more dangerous attacks - 63 to 33 - and winning 11 corners to Libertad’s five. With the number of shots almost equal, Libertad had more shots on target: 5-2.
Libertad have won four of their eight competitive meetings with Deportes Recoleta, three ended in draws, and Deportes Recoleta won the remaining match. The difference is particularly noticeable after the break: 14 of Libertad’s 17 goals in these matches came in the second half.
Head-to-head statistics CD Recoleta - Libertad

Every match is a battle for goals
Deportes Recoleta drew 1-1 away to Cerro Porteño in their latest Premier Division match on 8 November 2026. Their opponents had 21 shots to eight and won 11 corners to none, but scored with only one of their seven shots on target; Deportes Recoleta scored with their only shot on target.
Deportes Recoleta have been playing confidently at home: they have scored in 11 of their last 12 matches at their own ground, while over 2.5 goals has landed in 7 of those 8 matches. In their last five matches, the hosts have won four and lost just once, indicating good recent form. Over a 10-match stretch, they have averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1 conceded per match, although that figure is higher in their current run of home matches. The team regularly create chances and make use of their attacking strengths, as their recent results also show.
Match Results: CD Recoleta

Every match is a battle for a result
Libertad beat Nacional 3-0 at home in their last Premier División match on 7 November 2026. The hosts scored with three of their five shots on target, while Nacional failed to score despite having three shots on target.
Libertad are also in good form, with three wins in their last five matches and five victories in ten games. They have averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1 conceded over that 10-match stretch. In their last five matches, they have won three times and lost twice, pointing to some inconsistency, but they retain their attacking potential. Libertad can respond to pressure from their opponents and regularly create chances in front of goal, even away from home.
Match Results: Libertad
Prediction for the 1st half
The first half ended in a draw in six consecutive head-to-head matches. This is a direct argument for a draw at half-time, although it is based solely on head-to-head meetings: the supplied data contain no other statistics on first-half results. Recoleta have conceded in the first half in 10 of their last 12 home matches, but this trend does not in itself rule out a draw. We pick a first-half draw at odds of 2.30*.
Total Goals Prediction
Deportes Recoleta have scored at home in 11 of their last 12 matches. Over their last 10 home games, they have averaged 2 goals, while Libertad have conceded an average of 1.25 goals over their last 10 away matches. However, Recoleta’s home goals figure for the season is zero, which contrasts with their longer run of home matches. We pick Deportes Recoleta Team Total Goals - Over 0.5 at odds of 1.47*.
High-Risk Bet
Deportes Recoleta have scored in 11 of their last 12 home matches and have averaged two goals across their last 10 home games. Libertad have conceded an average of 1.25 goals in their last 10 away matches. However, that run primarily supports the likelihood of one goal, while Recoleta’s home figure for the season is zero. A bolder option is Deportes Recoleta Team Total Goals - Over 1.5 at odds of 3.10*.
*The odds are approximate and may vary between bookmakers.*
Safer Bet
Fewer than 3.5 goals were scored in 8 of Deportes Recoleta’s last 9 matches. Over their last 10 matches, Recoleta scored an average of 1.3 goals and conceded 1, while Libertad’s figures over the same span were also 1.3 and 1 goal. However, 7 of Recoleta’s last 8 home matches had over 2.5 goals; that outcome remains compatible with the selected line. We pick Total Goals - Under 3.5 at odds of 1.38*.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the top three scorelines are 1:0 (17.64%), 0:0 (16.94%) and 0:1 (13.05%). The 1:0 result has the highest probability. The 0:0 scoreline follows with a probability of 16.94%. These calculated scorelines do not guarantee the final result of the match.
⭐ Editor’s Prediction
Both teams come into the match in decent form and have been scoring well in recent weeks. Deportes Recoleta have scored consistently at home and have often been involved in high-scoring matches, as reflected by the Over 2.5 goals trend and their regular goals on home soil. Libertad have also had no problems in attack, while neither defence has looked impenetrable in recent matches. The main prediction is Total Goals - Over 2.5.
