Criciuma vs Novorizont. Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 14 November 2026
🔊 Criciúma and Novorizontino head into the final round of the season with plenty at stake: the hosts are fighting to retain their play-off spot, while the visitors are holding on to the lead under pressure from their pursuers. Both teams have important objectives going into the match, which could affect how it unfolds. At this decisive stage of the season, attention falls not only on goalscoring and defending but also on corner statistics, where Novorizontino have shown a consistent trend towards low numbers.
Every match is a close contest
Criciúma beat Novorizontino 1-0 away in a Série B match on 21 July 2026. The only goal came after the break: Criciúma scored with their only shot on target, while the hosts failed to convert either of their two shots on target.
In nine official meetings, Novorizontino have won four times and Criciúma three, with the other two matches ending in draws. The first half ended level seven times, while the teams scored 12 of their 16 goals after the break.
Head-to-head statistics Criciuma - Novorizont.

Average scoring
In their previous Série B match on 7 November 2026, Criciúma lost 0-1 away to Vila Nova. The visitors had 61% possession but managed just four shots to the hosts’ 14.
Criciuma are having a steady season and remain in the play-off places, where every match in the closing stages takes on particular importance. They have won five and lost five of their last ten games, without a draw. In the last five rounds, Criciuma have recorded three wins and two defeats, reflecting inconsistent form. They average 1.03 goals scored and 0.84 conceded per match, underlining the balance between attack and defence. Their position in the table requires them to play carefully and minimise risks, especially at home.
Match Results: Criciuma EC SC

Leadership backed up by performances
Novorizontino beat Fortaleza at home in their last Série B match on 7 November 2026, winning 2-1. With possession almost even, the hosts had 18 shots to five and created 71 dangerous attacks to 22.
Novorizontino remain top of the table thanks to consistent performances throughout the season. In their last ten matches, they have recorded six wins, one defeat and three draws, while their last five have brought four wins and one draw. The visitors average 1.78 goals scored and 0.86 conceded per game, making them the strongest side in terms of attacking and defensive balance. Despite intense pressure from their rivals, Novorizontino have played with discipline, and their matches have shown a consistent trend towards a low number of corners.
Match Results: Gremio Novorizontino
Prediction for the 1st half
Novorizontino have scored in the first half in 6 of their last 7 matches. This trend is directly relevant to a bet on the visitors to score before half-time. There are no separate first-half statistics for away matches, so the conclusion remains cautious. The pick is Novorizontino First-Half Team Total Goals - Over 0.5 at odds of 2.19*.
Match Result Prediction
Novorizontino have not lost in 15 of their last 16 matches. Away from home this season, they have 8 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats. Criciúma have won 11 of their 18 home matches - a strong argument against the bet. Nevertheless, the visitors’ run makes Novorizontino to Win or Draw a selection at odds of 1.37*.
Total Goals Prediction
Total Goals - Over 1.5 has landed in 6 of Criciúma’s last 7 home matches. Over their last ten matches in the respective home and away samples, Criciúma have scored an average of 1.5 goals and Novorizontino have also averaged 1.5. However, Criciúma have conceded just 0.5 goals per match on average across their last ten home matches, which limits confidence in the prediction. The pick is Total Goals - Over 1.5 at odds of 1.31*.
Corners Prediction
There were fewer than 10.5 corners in 7 of Novorizontino’s last 8 matches. This is a current run directly relevant to the selected line. No corner data is available for Criciúma, so the assessment is based only on the visitors’ matches. The pick is Total Corners - Under 10.5 at odds of 1.93*.
High-Risk Bet
Novorizontino have won 6 of their last 7 matches and have avoided defeat in 15 of their last 16. Away from home this season, they have 8 wins in 18 matches. Criciúma, however, have won 11 of their 18 home matches, so backing the visitors to win outright is considerably riskier than backing them not to lose. The pick is Novorizontino to win at odds of 2.50*.
*The odds are approximate and may vary between bookmakers.*
Safer Bet
Fewer than 3.5 goals have been scored in 15 consecutive Criciúma home matches. At home this season, Criciúma have scored an average of 1.17 goals and conceded 0.56. Novorizontino have scored an average of 1.72 goals away from home, and that figure in their away matches does not rule out the selected line. The bet is Total Goals - Under 3.5 at odds of 1.19*.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the top three scorelines are 1:1 (13.29%), 0:1 (10.83%) and 1:0 (10.61%). The 1:1 result is the most likely. The probabilities of the other two scorelines are 10.83% and 10.61%.
⭐ Editor’s Prediction
Both teams head into the final round highly motivated: every point matters for Criciuma in their push for the play-offs, while Novorizontino need to hold on to top spot. Despite the visitors’ attacking potential, the consistent trend of under 10.5 total corners in Novorizontino’s matches points to a low corner count even with so much at stake. Given the caution expected in the final round and the supporting statistics, the main prediction is Total Corners - Under 10.5.