Guadalajara vs Pumas Prediction 14 September 2026
🔊 Guadalajara come into this match second in the table and remain close to the leaders. They have shown good momentum in recent results and still have plenty to play for at the top. UNAM Pumas sit seventh, inside the play-off places, which gives them reason to protect their position - the competition in the middle of the table is tight. Against that backdrop, the main question surrounding this match is about the pace of the game and how many goals are scored: neither side tends to be involved in particularly high-scoring matches.
Head-to-Head
📊 In 47 official meetings between Guadalajara and UNAM Pumas, the hosts have won 15 times, the visitors 10, with 22 draws. Guadalajara have the edge in goals scored - 53 against 42. The average number of goals in the first half is 1.09, and 0.94 in the second, giving a match average of 2.02.
Head-to-head statistics Guadalajara - Pumas
Guadalajara Chivas Team Overview
Guadalajara have hit a good run of form, winning four and drawing two of their seven league matches, with just one defeat. In their last five games they have won three, with one draw coming before a run of three consecutive victories. They are averaging 1.71 goals per game with a reasonably solid defence, conceding 0.86 per match. Their aim is to stay close to the top of the table, though at this stage of the season there is no need to force things at all costs. They are consistent in attack but rarely produce high-scoring results even against weaker opponents.
Match Results: Guadalajara Chivas
Pumas UNAM Team Overview
UNAM Pumas have been less convincing: three wins, two draws and two defeats from seven matches point to a certain inconsistency in results. Over their last five games they have won just once, drawing two and losing two - their recent form looks below their seasonal average. On average, the visitors score 1.57 goals per game, but their defence has been more error-prone, conceding 1.29 per match. Their motivation comes from holding onto a play-off position - dropping points is undesirable, but the team are clearly not going to take unnecessary risks either.
Match Results: Pumas UNAM
Total Goals Prediction
Under 3.5 goals has landed in 10 of Guadalajara's last 11 matches, pointing to a consistent low-scoring trend from the hosts. Neither side has been particularly prolific over their last 10 matches either: Guadalajara average 1.5 goals per game, while UNAM Pumas average 1.2. These figures support the case for backing the low total. The price on Total Goals - Under 3.5 is 1.44*.
Corners Prediction
Guadalajara have taken more than 6.5 corners at home in 8 of their last 9 Liga MX matches, pointing to a clear pattern of home activity in this area. However, in 9 of their last 10 home head-to-head meetings with UNAM Pumas, the figure was under 6.5, which creates a certain conflict between their recent home run and the head-to-head record. That said, Guadalajara's corners form this season looks convincing enough to back. The pick is Guadalajara - Over 6.5 Corners at 1.95*.
Risky Bet
UNAM Pumas have gone unbeaten away from home in 12 of their last 14 matches, which points to a high level of consistency on the road. However, in head-to-head meetings at Guadalajara's ground, the home side have more often come out on top, which creates a certain conflict. That said, the visitors' recent away form makes UNAM Pumas Not to Lose worth considering at 2.38*.
Reliable Bet
UNAM Pumas - Team Total Under 1.5 away in 8 of their last 9 head-to-head meetings against Guadalajara. Over their last 10 matches, the visitors have averaged just 1.2 goals per game, while Guadalajara concede 1.33 goals per game at home. The current form of both sides supports this trend, making it a reliable bet. Odds - 1.25*.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the three most likely outcomes are 1-1 (9.98%), 2-1 (9.75%) and 1-0 (9.07%). A 1-1 draw has the highest probability, though the other options are close. This points to an even contest and potentially low scoring.
*Odds are indicative and may vary depending on the bookmaker.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Looking at the form and seasonal statistics together, it becomes clear that neither side tends towards high-scoring affairs. Guadalajara have shown defensive stability, and their average goals scored rarely exceeds one and a half per game. UNAM Pumas are playing more cautiously amid the play-off battle and have been more reliable defensively. Our pick: UNAM Pumas - Handicap +1.5.
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Betting Tips: Guadalajara Chivas - Pumas UNAM
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in 23 of last 24 home games against Pumas UNAM (Liga MX).in last 9 home games against Pumas UNAM.in 16 of last 18 home games (Liga MX).in 8 of last 9 games.in last 6 games (Liga MX).in 15 of last 16 home games against Pumas UNAM.in 14 of last 15 home games against Pumas UNAM (Liga MX).in 10 of last 11 games (Liga MX).in 8 of last 9 games.in 10 of last 11 games.in 8 of last 9 away games.in 8 of last 9 games against Pumas UNAM (Liga MX).in 14 of last 16 games.Comparison of Teams Stats
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