Vaasa vs TPS Prediction 14 August 2026
🔊 Three rounds remain before the Veikkausliiga splits into two groups of six, and the battle for sixth place is very much alive. TPS are three points behind it, while VPS sit fourth. The stakes are high: points earned in the regular season carry over into the final stage, so any gap will remain. These two sides already met in May, with TPS winning in Turku (1:0). The return match takes place on 14 August, round 20.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 30 May 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 1:0. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - TPS Turku):
- ball possession percentage: 38% vs 62%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 10;
- fouls: 15 vs 15;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
- shots on target: 1 vs 9.
📊 Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Vaasa PS and TPS Turku:
- played 29 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 7, for the away team - 14, draws - 8;
- number of goals - 26 against 46;
- average total in the 1st half - 0.93, in the 2nd half - 1.55;
- average total goals in the match - 2.48.
Head-to-head statistics Vaasa - TPS

Vaasa PS Team Overview
VPS are fourth in the league: 30 points after 19 rounds. Though in July they nearly lost that fourth place: Jussi Nuorela's side lost three matches in a row - away to HJK (1:2) and KuPS (1:3), and at home to Inter (0:1). The run ended last round when VPS beat Jaro in Pietarsaari (3:1) - Simon Lindholm scored twice. At home, Vaasa have been hard to beat: undefeated in 8 of their last 9 Veikkausliiga matches. Their attack, however, has been weakened over the summer: Luca Smith scored seven goals in this championship and left for English side Notts County.
Match Results: Vaasa PS

TPS Turku Team Overview
TPS returned to the top flight through the playoffs - after five seasons in the second tier. Ivan Piñol's side are doing reasonably well: 26 points and eighth place with a goal difference of plus three. TPS' last home match was a confident one - they beat Mariehamn 3:0. Away from home, though, they have gone ten matches in a row without a win. Their last attempt ended in a doubly frustrating way: in Kuopio, TPS salvaged a draw in the final minutes, coming away with a 1:1. The squad is thinning out too: Theodoros Tsirigotas has returned to Poland, Ali Coulibaly is leaving, and defender Eetu Turkki is injured until the end of the regular season.
Match Results: TPS Turku
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 0.9, the guests - 1.59;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.48;
- both teams scored: overall - 14; at the home team's field - 5.
Statistics: Vaasa PS vs TPS Turku
- average total in the tournament: 2.37 vs 2.37;
- average total goals scored: 1.42 vs 1.26;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.79 vs 0.58;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.63 vs 0.68;
- Vaasa PS: average total at home in the tournament - 1.89;
- TPS Turku: average total away in the tournament - 0.67;
- last 10 matches (average total): 2 (home - 2.4) vs 1.3 (away - 0.4).
- Under 3.5 goals scored in 12 of last 14 Vaasa PS games against TPS Turku.
- Under 3.5 goals scored in last 5 Vaasa PS home games against TPS Turku.
- Under 3.5 goals scored in 7 of last 8 TPS Turku away games.
- Under 3.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 TPS Turku away games (Veikkausliiga).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 29;
- both teams scored all-time - 14 times;
- on the home team’s field - 5 times.
Statistics: Vaasa PS vs TPS Turku
- number of matches played in the tournament: 19 vs 19;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 11 vs 10;
- number of BTTS matches for Vaasa PS at home - 5 (56%);
- number of BTTS matches for TPS Turku away - 5 (56%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 7 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for Vaasa PS at home - 2 (40%);
- BTTS matches for TPS Turku away - 2 (40%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (19/114, 16.7%);
- Vaasa PS at home most often finish matches: 1:1 (2/9, 22.2%);
- TPS Turku away most often play: 1:0 (3/9, 33.3%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:0 - 13.87% (odds 6)
1:1 - 11.11% (odds 6)
2:0 - 10.81% (odds 7)
Editor's Pick
VPS almost never go without a goal: that has been the case in 9 of their last 10 Veikkausliiga matches. But with TPS things usually stay at one goal - a second hasn't come in 12 of their last 13 Veikkausliiga matches. In the last five head-to-head meetings in Vaasa, the two sides combined haven't reached four goals. We're expecting a dull match in which the hosts will need just one clean strike. Most likely a late one: VPS have scored in the second half in 6 of their last 7 matches. The bet is VPS individual total under 1.5. Predicted score - 1:0.