Malaga vs Almeria Prediction
🔊 Who will secure promotion to Spain’s top flight after this decisive two-legged playoff? This Sunday evening, Málaga and Almería go head-to-head at La Rosaleda, where one side will book their place among the elite. The Anchovies have been absent from La Liga for quite some time, fueling their determination to end that run. Bookmakers are giving a slight edge to the home side.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 19 April 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 3:2. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Almeria):
- ball possession percentage: 46% vs 54%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 5;
- fouls: 18 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
- shots on target: 6 vs 4.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Malaga CF and Almeria:
- played 26 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 7, for the away team - 11, draws - 8;
- number of goals - 28 against 34;
- average total in the 1st half - 0.88, in the 2nd half - 1.5;
- average total goals in the match - 2.38.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

Malaga CF Team Overview
The team's most recent official fixture took place on in the Segunda, with Málaga hosting Las Palmas. The match ended in a 1-1 draw.
Here’s a breakdown of the key stats from Málaga vs Las Palmas:
- Possession: 49% vs 51%;
- Corners: 7 vs 2;
- Fouls committed: 13 vs 9;
- Yellow cards: 1 each;
- Shots on target: 6 vs 2.
Malaga are on a strong run, picking up three wins and two draws in their last five outings. Over their previous ten matches, they have claimed six victories, suffered just two defeats, and averaged 2.1 goals per game-a testament to their consistent attacking form. Defensively, Malaga are more solid than the league average, conceding roughly 1.2 goals per match. This balance gives them every chance to go toe-to-toe with rivals of similar calibre.
Match Results: Malaga CF

Almeria Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in the Segunda, facing Almería away from home. Castellón were edged out 3-2 on the day.
Here’s a look at the key match stats (Almería vs Castellón):
- Possession: 47% vs 53%;
- Corners: 5 vs 7;
- Fouls: 20 vs 14;
- Yellow cards: 4 vs 1;
- Shots on target: 4 vs 6.
Almeria have shown plenty of attacking intent, averaging nearly two goals per game both across the season (1.93) and over their last ten matches (1.9). However, their defensive record is less convincing-Almeria concede around 1.5 goals per match this season, with that figure rising to 1.9 in their most recent ten outings. This suggests a tendency toward open, end-to-end football, even when facing top-tier opposition.
Match Results: Almeria
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-head matches:
- Total encounters - 26;
- First-half wins for the home side (at home) - 4; for the visitors (away) - 6; number of draws - 3;
- Average first-half total: 0.88;
- Today's home team averages 0.38 goals in the first half, while the away team scores 0.5.
- Almeria conceded in the 1st half in 6 of last 7 away games (Segunda División).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 26;
- home team wins - 7, away team wins - 11, draws - 8.
- Almeria won with a +1.5 handicap in last 8 away games against Malaga CF.
- Almeria won with a +1.5 handicap in 8 of last 9 games (Segunda División).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- the home team scores on average - 1.08, the guests - 1.31;
- average over/under goals in head-to-head matches - 2.38;
- both teams scored: overall - 15; at the home team's field - 9.
- Almeria have scored under 1.5 goals in 6 of last 7 away games against Malaga CF (Segunda División).
Prediction on corners
- Almeria have taken under 4.5 corners in 6 of last 7 away games against Malaga CF.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 26;
- both teams scored all-time - 15 times;
- on the home team’s field - 9 times.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Fans can expect an open, attacking contest here, with both sides likely to push forward from the outset. Malaga have been clinical in front of goal in recent weeks, while Almeria, despite their defensive inconsistencies, have shown they can create real problems in the final third. Given both teams’ attacking form and overall approach this season, a high-scoring affair looks likely. Our pick: over 2.5 goals.