Toronto FC vs Сincinnati Prediction 14 May 2025
🔊The upcoming clash between Toronto and Cincinnati has a lot at stake. Toronto are desperately trying to climb up from the bottom of the table, currently sitting in 13th place, and their performance leaves much to be desired. They have managed just one win in their last five matches, which hardly inspires confidence. Meanwhile, Cincinnati are topping the league and are in excellent form, boasting four victories in their last five outings. Considering the head-to-head record, with Cincinnati winning six of the last seven encounters, the visitors seem clear favorites. An open game with an attacking focus from both sides is expected.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 09 March 2025 and ended with a 2-0 scoreline. Here is a comparative breakdown of the statistics from that encounter (Cincinnati were the home side):
- possession: 56% vs 44%;
- corners: 5 vs 4;
- fouls: 10 vs 8;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 7 vs 1.
📊Statistical Preview of Official Encounters between Toronto and Cincinnati:
- 14 matches played;
- home wins: 5, away wins: 8, draws: 1;
- goals scored: 18 for the hosts, 24 for the visitors;
- average goals in the first half: 1.21, in the second half: 1.79;
- average total goals per match: 3.
Head-to-head statistics Toronto FC - Сincinnati

Toronto Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the MLS, with Toronto hosting D.C. United. The match concluded with a 2-0 victory for Toronto.
Here are the match statistics (Toronto vs D.C. United):
- possession: 56% vs 44%;
- corners: 4 vs 5;
- fouls: 13 vs 17;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 0;
- shots on target: 9 vs 5.
Toronto are currently navigating a challenging period, sitting 13th in the standings and fighting for every point. This season, they're plagued by low scoring, averaging less than a goal per game. Over their last ten matches, they have managed just two wins against five losses, highlighting their inconsistency. While their defense frequently finds itself under pressure, home games offer a glimmer of hope, bolstered by the support of the fans.
Match Results: Toronto

Cincinnati Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in the MLS, with Cincinnati hosting Austin. The match ended with a 2-1 scoreline.
Here's a look at the game statistics (Cincinnati vs Austin):
- possession: 57% vs 43%;
- corners: 11 vs 1;
- fouls: 9 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 7 vs 2.
Cincinnati are delivering impressive performances and currently sit at the top of the standings, thanks to their aggressive playstyle and well-organized attacking maneuvers. Their ability to score more than one goal is almost a given, especially considering recent head-to-heads with Toronto, where the visitors consistently found the net over one and a half times per match. The last encounter ended 2-0 in favor of the Orange and Blue, underscoring their dominance over the opposition.
Match Results: Cincinnati
Latest news
Toronto
📝 D.C. United were defeated in their latest match with a 2-0 scoreline. Despite the margin, it was a hard-fought victory. The opposition had plenty of chances but failed to convert. Toronto continue to struggle defensively; at times, their players seem lost on the pitch. It's unlikely the team will emerge from this crisis soon, as there are no signs of improvement.
⚽️ With few goals scored, there's not much to highlight. Federico Bernardeschi stands out, but with only 2 goals, it's not enough.
💊 Jonathan Osorio is sidelined with an injury. As a key midfielder in the starting lineup, his absence makes things significantly tougher for the team.
Cincinnati
📝 There are some criticisms to be made - the team conceded against Austin, a side that rarely finds the net, and they allowed themselves too many lapses. However, winners aren't judged. The attack is clicking brilliantly and currently securing crucial points for the club. A lack of balance might become an issue in decisive matches, but it's too early to dwell on that.
⚽️ Kevin Denkey and Evander continue to carry the team. So far, no one has found an antidote to their partnership. Their synergy is outstanding.
💊 No injuries in the squad.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 14;
- home team wins - 5, away team wins - 8, draws - 1.
Statistics: Toronto vs Cincinnati
- matches played in the tournament: 12 vs 12;
- wins: 2 vs 8;
- win percentage: 17% vs 67%;
- losses: 6 vs 3;
- draws: 4 vs 1.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 2 vs 6;
- losses: 5 vs 3;
- draws: 3 vs 1.
- Toronto have not won in last 7 games against Cincinnati (MLS).
- Toronto have not won in 17 of last 19 games.
- Toronto have not won in 15 of last 17 games (MLS).
- Toronto have not won in 9 of last 10 home games.
- Toronto have not won in 8 of last 9 home games (MLS).
- Cincinnati have not lost in 7 of last 8 games (MLS).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.29, the guests - 1.71;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3;
- both teams scored: overall - 6; at the home team's field - 5.
Statistics: Toronto vs Cincinnati
- average total in the tournament: 2.17 vs 2.58;
- average total goals scored: 0.83 vs 1.42;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.33 vs 0.5;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.5 vs 0.92;
- Toronto: average total at home in the tournament - 0.5;
- Cincinnati: average total away in the tournament - 1.17;
- last 10 matches (average total): 0.8 (home - 0.71) vs 1.4 (away - 1.17).
- Toronto have scored under 1.5 goals in 9 of last 10 games (MLS).
- Toronto have scored under 1.5 goals in 8 of last 9 home games (MLS).
Prediction on corners
Toronto: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.42; at home field - 3.83;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.1; at home field - 3.71.
Cincinnati: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.75, away - 4;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.8; away - 4.
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 4.14 (2.07 for home team and 2.07 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 4.5 (2 for home team and 2.5 for away team).
Toronto: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.58; at home - 0.83;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.8; at home - 1.14.
Cincinnati: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.75, away - 1.5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.8; away - 1.67.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 14;
- both teams scored all-time - 6 times;
- on the home team’s field - 5 times.
Statistics: Toronto vs Cincinnati
- number of matches played in the tournament: 12 vs 12;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 5 vs 6;
- number of BTTS matches for Toronto at home - 1 (17%);
- number of BTTS matches for Cincinnati away - 3 (50%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 6;
- BTTS matches for Toronto at home - 2 (29%);
- BTTS matches for Cincinnati away - 3 (50%).
Editorial Prediction
Analyzing the current form of the teams and their head-to-head statistics, the visitors seem to have the upper hand. The difference in play is evident to the naked eye. Cincinnati are simply more confident in attack. Home support is unlikely to aid Toronto, as they still struggle to grasp how to play effective football. As an alternative, a double chance for the visitors might be a safe bet, but we're going for a straightforward Cincinnati victory.