Alaves vs Valencia Prediction 14 May 2025
π Can the "Bats" extend their unbeaten run? In La Liga's 36th round, "Mendizorrotza" will host a clash between AlavΓ©s and Valencia. The "Glorious" are deeply embroiled in the relegation battle, which undoubtedly affects the players' mental state. Let's take a look at the bookmakers' odds: a home win is at 2.25, while an away victory stands at 3.25. In this prediction, we'll aim to determine the most reasonable bet.
Head-to-Head
π In the first round, the teams played to a draw at Mestalla (2-2). Notably, Valencia's last victory at Mendizorrotza was recorded in the 2017/18 season (2-1). It's worth highlighting that in this decade, the rivals have clashed six times, with Alaves emerging victorious on three occasions, while the "Bats" have managed just one win.
Head-to-head statistics Alaves - Valencia
Deportivo Alaves Team Overview
π΅ AlavΓ©s have no guarantees of retaining their top-flight status in Spanish football just yet. Following a 0-1 defeat to Athletic last weekend, they are only one point clear of the relegation zone. It's worth noting that clashes at Mendizorroza rarely make it easy to secure results - they've collected just 20 points from 17 games, ranking 17th in the league. In 2025, the team has celebrated victory in Vitoria-Gasteiz only twice. Moreover, the Babazorros have struggled offensively at home, averaging just 0.71 goals per game, placing them 19th in the league.
Match Results: Deportivo Alaves
Valencia Team Overview
βͺ Valencia continued their unbeaten run to 10 matches with a commanding 3-0 victory over Getafe in the last round. The situation is looking promising for "Los Che" as they have a decent shot at securing a spot in European competitions. Currently, the club is just 2 points shy of the top 8. However, securing results on the road remains a significant challenge for Valencia-having collected only 14 points from 17 away games (ranking 16th in the league). In 2025, they have managed just 2 away wins.
Match Results: Valencia
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Deportivo Alaves
π Eduardo Coudet often opts for a 4-1-4-1 formation, emphasizing defensive solidity. Antonio Blanco plays a pivotal role as the link between defense and attack. The creative skills of the 24-year-old allow AlavΓ©s to effectively deploy four midfielders in the opposition half. This season, the Real Madrid academy product has featured in 32 matches, contributing one assist. Interestingly, Coudet's AlavΓ©s aims to implement an active counter-pressing strategy. Ander Guevara and Jon Guridi maintain high intensity throughout the 90 minutes, frequently regaining possession in the opponent's half.
π One of AlavΓ©s' key assets is Carlos Vicente. It became evident in the latter half of last season, following his transfer from Ferrol, that the Spanish winger had outgrown Segunda. His ability to take on defenders and create threats down the flank aligns perfectly with AlavΓ©s' tactical plans. This season, the 26-year-old Spaniard has registered four goals and five assists.
β AlavΓ©s have Moroccan defender Abdel Abqar sidelined as he continues his recovery from a hamstring injury.
Valencia
π£ Carlos CorberΓ‘n has become the sixth manager of Valencia in the 21st century to go unbeaten in 10 consecutive matches. After a commanding 3-0 victory over Getafe in the last round, the Spanish coach remarked: "Well, I hope we haven't reached our ceiling yet. I want us to keep competing at the pace we're at right now. You must be as competitive as possible in every match. We have three more rounds ahead where we need to give it our all. Only with full commitment and adherence to tactical instructions can we talk about qualifying for European competitions."
π According to media reports, Arsenal are preparing a transfer bid for Cristhian Mosquera. The 20-year-old Spanish defender has been a key figure in the tactical setup of the "Bats" over the past two seasons. In this La Liga campaign, he has featured in 34 matches and scored one goal.
π The last match was a milestone for JosΓ© GayΓ . The Valencia captain entered the top ten in the club's history for the number of appearances. This season, the academy graduate has taken to the field 21 times in La Liga, providing one assist during this stretch.
β Recently, Thierry Correia underwent another surgery on his injured knee, further extending the recovery timeline for the Portuguese wing-back. In addition to him, Max Aarons remains sidelined for the "Bats." Meanwhile, Javi Guerra is unable to assist his team due to an accumulation of yellow cards.
π¨ Prediction on Yellow Cards
In their head-to-head encounters, Valencia tend to play with more discipline. The "Bats" average 1.9 cautions per game, while the "Glorious" pick up around 2.9. Notably, this season Alaves are also receiving more bookings-2.8 compared to 2.3. The energetic style of Carlos Corberan's squad will likely force the team from Vitoria-Gasteiz into committing more fouls. We predict a win for Alaves in yellow cards.
β½οΈ Prediction on Goals
Both clubs have shown modest scoring abilities this season: Alaves with 1 and Valencia with 1.2 goals per match. In each of the last six games involving the "Glorious," there have been no more than 2 goals scored. A similar pattern is evident in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings. Considering these statistical trends, our pick is under 2.5 goals total.
π© Prediction on Corners
The "Bats" generally outperform the "Glorious" in terms of corners during their matchups-5.2 compared to 3.7. This season, Valencia also holds an edge in this aspect of play, averaging 5 corners against 4.5. Finally, let's note the average possession percentage, which directly impacts the attacking threat created: 48% to 45% in favor of the "Oranges." A well-founded bet would be Valencia to win on corners with a +2.5 handicap.
Editor's Prediction
The teams are chasing different objectives in the standings, both highly motivated to avoid dropping points, so we expect a cautious game and suggest betting on under 2.5 goals. This outcome has been seen in Alaves' last 12 consecutive home matches, as well as in their last seven games overall, regardless of venue. The hosts are a team known for low-scoring encounters.
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Betting Tips: Deportivo Alaves - Valencia
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