Rayo Vallecano vs Levante Prediction 16 March 2026
🔊 Can the "Bees" live up to their favorite status in the upcoming La Liga clash? The final fixture of Matchday 28 in La Liga features a showdown between Rayo Vallecano and Levante at the "Campo de Vallecas." Both clubs find themselves in the lower half of the standings. However, while Iñigo Pérez's side has managed to create some distance from the relegation zone, the "Frogs" continue to struggle for stability and remain anchored at the bottom of the table. Bookmakers give the capital club a threefold advantage.
Head-to-Head
📊 Let's delve into the head-to-head statistics over the last 10 encounters: Rayo Vallecano have claimed victory 5 times, there has been 1 draw, and Levante have secured 4 wins. Considering the average scoring rate during this period, the "Bees" have netted 1.9 goals per game, while the "Frogs" average 1.7. In the first leg of the current season, the capital club dominated their opponent at the "Ciutat de València" with a decisive 3-0 win.
Head-to-head statistics Rayo Vallecano - Levante

Rayo Vallecano Team Overview
🔴 The "Bees" have managed to overcome a significant slump and find their footing with a stable run-unbeaten in their last six matches. Currently, Iñigo Pérez's side sits 15th in the league standings, holding a six-point cushion above the relegation zone. It's crucial to note Rayo Vallecano's average performance metrics: scoring one goal per match while conceding 1.22. The capital club's effectiveness in home games is evident with 19 points from 13 matches, ranking them 13th in the league.
⚪ In the last round of La Liga, Rayo Vallecano settled for a draw against Sevilla (1-1). Once again, Iñigo Pérez's men faced the recurring issue of lacking creativity in the final third. This is highlighted by the expected goals ratio: 1.01 to 0.36 in favor of the "Nervionenses." During the week, Rayo Vallecano had additional physical demands with a European fixture against Turkish side Samsunspor (3-1). In that encounter, the "Bees" capitalized on playing a counter-attacking game, converting several dangerous moments into goals.
Match Results: Rayo Vallecano

Levante UD Team Overview
🔵 The Valencia club is in a fierce battle for survival. With just one win in their last seven matches, the "Frogs'" chances of avoiding relegation are slim. Currently, Levante sit in 19th place in the standings, trailing the crucial 17th spot by 4 points. It's also worth noting that the Valencia club has the league's least effective defense, conceding an average of 1.67 goals per match.
🔴 Last weekend, the "Frogs" settled for a draw with Girona (1-1). Levante were agonizingly close to victory, as the "Red and Whites" equalized only in the 94th minute of the match. Levante prefer to play on the counter, showing organization in their build-up play. However, a lack of discipline and tactical flexibility among the players suggests that this La Liga newcomer is likely headed back to the Segunda Division. The team's top scorer is Karrl Etta Eyoung, with 6 goals in 25 league appearances.
Match Results: Levante UD
Latest news
Rayo Vallecano
🎤 Rayo Vallecano's head coach Iñigo Pérez shared his thoughts after his team's 3-1 victory over Samsunspor in the first leg of the UEFA Conference League Round of 16: "In my opinion, we played a truly excellent match. My players excelled particularly in their off-the-ball work, which helped nullify the attacking threat of our opponents. We've taken a significant step towards achieving a historic quarter-final berth in a European competition. However, our focus is now solely on the upcoming clash with Levante. We must not lose sight of our objectives in the domestic league."
❌ Rayo Vallecano's Diego Mendez remains sidelined with a leg injury.
Levante UD
🎤 Ahead of their clash with Rayo Vallecano, Levante's head coach Luis Castro addressed the press: “If you give them an inch, they will hurt you. You have to stay focused throughout the game because they're one of those teams that might seem like they're not causing you problems, and then suddenly they create a chance. They have players who can change the game with just one or two opportunities.” Additionally, Luis Castro predicted a “very tough” match, where Levante will need to fight to the fullest to secure victory. "We need to deliver our best performance if we want to walk away with three points," he emphasized.
❌ Among the unavailable players for Levante's upcoming match are Carlos Alvarez (leg injury), Roger Brugui (knee injury), Dela (suspension), Unai Elgezabal (knee injury), Pablo Martinez (knee injury), and Jon Ander Olasagasti (suspension).
⚽ Goal Prediction
Interestingly, both clubs are struggling with scoring this season: the Bees average 1 goal, while the Frogs are at 1.1. In 3 of Rayo Vallecano's last 4 matches, no more than two goals were scored. A similar trend is observed in 4 of Levante's previous 5 games. Thus, a reasonable prediction for this matchup would be to bet on under 2.5 total goals.
🚩 Corner Prediction
Notably, in 4 of Rayo Vallecano's last 5 matches, there were no more than 10 corner kicks. This trend is also evident in 5 of the last 7 head-to-head encounters between the Bees and the Frogs. Neither club is known for high possession play, so we don't anticipate a significant number of corners. The editor's choice is under 10.5 total corners.
Editor's Prediction
Levante are struggling with their away form, managing just one win in their last six matches on the road. It's also crucial to note that the "Frogs" have secured only one victory against the "Bees" in their previous six head-to-head encounters. Meanwhile, Iñigo Perez's squad are in excellent form and perform effectively at Campo de Vallecas. We predict a final score of 1-0, with the key bet being a Rayo Vallecano win.
