Modena vs Spezia Prediction
📢 What to expect from the clash between Modena and Spezia in Serie B's 30th round? Modena sit in 6th place, showing decent form with two wins in their last five matches. However, they've failed to secure a home victory in 8 of their last 9 games, which might affect their confidence. Spezia are fighting for survival, occupying the 18th spot, yet they have been consistent on the road.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 13 December 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 0:2. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Spezia Calcio):
- ball possession percentage: 57% vs 43%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 9;
- fouls: 13 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 5;
- shots on target: 5 vs 1.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Modena and Spezia Calcio:
- played 7 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 2, for the away team - 2, draws - 3;
- number of goals - 5 against 4;
- average total in the 1st half - 0.57, in the 2nd half - 0.71;
- average total goals in the match - 1.29.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Modena Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Serie B tournament (home team - Modena, away team - Cesena). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:0.
Here's the game statistics (Modena vs Cesena):
- ball possession: 54% vs 46%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 1;
- fouls: 8 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 0;
- shots on target: 4 vs 1.
Modena currently hold a strong sixth position and boast one of the league's best defensive lines, conceding an average of just 0.83 goals per game. Over their last ten matches, the team has secured four victories, drawn three times, and suffered three defeats. However, their recent form has been mixed, with two wins followed by two losses and a draw in their last five outings. The team plays cautiously, often maintaining possession and favoring positional attacks.
Match Results: Modena
Spezia Calcio Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Serie B tournament (home team - Spezia Calcio, away - Monza). The match concluded with a scoreline of 4:2.
Here are the match stats (Spezia Calcio vs Monza):
- ball possession: 51% vs 49%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 2;
- fouls: 15 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
- shots on target: 5 vs 5.
Spezia find themselves in the relegation zone, sitting in 18th place, and are striving to escape this predicament through consistent offensive play. They average one goal per game while conceding slightly more at 1.34 goals per match. In their last ten outings, they have secured three wins, three draws, and suffered four defeats, indicating some progress compared to the start of the season. The team's style revolves around a quick transition from defense to attack.
Match Results: Spezia Calcio
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 7;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 0; for visitors away - 0; number of draws - 3;
- Average first-half total: 0.57;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.29, while the visitors net 0.29.
First-Half Stats: Modena (home) vs Spezia Calcio (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 15 vs 14;
- wins: 5 (33.33%) vs 2 (14.29%);
- losses: 3 (20%) vs 3 (21.43%);
- draws: 7 (46.67%) vs 9 (64.29%);
- Average goals scored: 0.73 vs 0.93;
- Average goals conceded: 0.33 vs 0.5.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 4 vs 1;
- losses: 1 vs 3;
- draws: 5 vs 6;
- Average first-half total: 1.1 (scored - 0.8, conceded - 0.3) vs 1.4 (scored - 0.6, conceded - 0.8).
- Spezia Calcio conceded in the 1st half in last 5 games (Serie B).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 7;
- home team wins - 2, away team wins - 2, draws - 3.
Statistics: Modena vs Spezia Calcio
- matches played in the tournament: 29 vs 29;
- wins: 12 vs 7;
- win percentage: 41% vs 24%;
- losses: 9 vs 14;
- draws: 8 vs 8.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 4 vs 3;
- losses: 3 vs 4;
- draws: 3 vs 3.
- Spezia Calcio won with a +1.5 handicap in 6 of last 7 games against Modena.
- Spezia Calcio won with a +1.5 handicap in 12 of last 13 games (Serie B).
- Spezia Calcio won with a +1.5 handicap in last 8 away games (Serie B).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 0.71, the guests - 0.57;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 1.29;
- both teams scored: overall - 2; at the home team's field - 1.
Statistics: Modena vs Spezia Calcio
- average total in the tournament: 2.1 vs 2.34;
- average total goals scored: 1.28 vs 1;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.55 vs 0.48;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.72 vs 0.52;
- Modena: average total at home in the tournament - 1.33;
- Spezia Calcio: average total away in the tournament - 1.07;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.1 (home - 0.8) vs 1.1 (away - 1).
- Under 2.5 goals scored in last 7 Modena games against Spezia Calcio.
- Under 2.5 goals scored in last 6 Modena games against Spezia Calcio (Serie B).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 7;
- both teams scored all-time - 2 times;
- on the home team’s field - 1 times.
Statistics: Modena vs Spezia Calcio
- number of matches played in the tournament: 29 vs 29;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 13 vs 15;
- number of BTTS matches for Modena at home - 8 (53%);
- number of BTTS matches for Spezia Calcio away - 7 (50%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 4;
- BTTS matches for Modena at home - 2 (40%);
- BTTS matches for Spezia Calcio away - 2 (40%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (45/290, 15.5%);
- Modena at home most often finish matches: 1:2 (5/15, 33.3%);
- Spezia Calcio away most often play: 1:0 (3/14, 21.4%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:0 - 14.73% (odds 5.8)
1:1 - 12.09% (odds 6)
2:0 - 10.48% (odds 6.8)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Modena are considered the favorites for the upcoming match, but the visitors are equally in need of points as they fight for survival. Spezia will likely aim to play with caution and focus on a tight defense, hoping at least for a draw. Additionally, head-to-head encounters between these teams rarely feature a high number of goals - their last seven matches have ended with no more than two goals scored. In this context, betting on the under 2.5 goals seems like a well-founded choice.
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Betting Tips: Modena - Spezia Calcio
in 8 of last 9 home games (Serie B).
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Other predictions
