Spezia vs Modena Prediction
📢 What can we expect from the clash between Spezia and Modena in the 16th round of Serie B? Spezia are fighting for survival in Serie B, currently sitting in 17th place, and they find themselves in a tough spot after a string of poor performances. Meanwhile, Modena, positioned sixth, are looking to solidify their spot in the playoff zone. The teams showcase different playing styles: Spezia rely on their defense, while Modena favor a more attacking approach. Both squads are at full strength and ready for the showdown, making this upcoming encounter particularly intriguing.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 15 February 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 1:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Modena):
- ball possession percentage: 48% vs 52%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 4;
- fouls: 17 vs 22;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 6;
- shots on target: 3 vs 3.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Spezia Calcio and Modena:
- played 6 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 2, for the away team - 1, draws - 3;
- number of goals - 4 against 3;
- average total in the 1st half - 0.5, in the 2nd half - 0.67;
- average total goals in the match - 1.17.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

Spezia Calcio Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Serie B tournament (home team - Virtus Entella, away team - Spezia Calcio). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:1.
Here's the game statistics (Spezia Calcio vs Virtus Entella):
- ball possession: 52% vs 48%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 5;
- fouls: 18 vs 19;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 3;
- shots on target: 3 vs 3.
Spezia are struggling and currently sit in the relegation zone. Their recent form has been inconsistent, with victories interspersed with losses and draws (WDLWD). Their win rate is low, just 20% over the last ten matches, but they continue to fight for every point. The "Little Eagles" aim to control possession and play defensively, but they frequently concede due to deficiencies in their defensive coordination.
Match Results: Spezia Calcio

Modena Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Serie B tournament (home team - Modena, away - US Catanzaro). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:2.
Here are the match stats (Modena vs US Catanzaro):
- ball possession: 44% vs 56%;
- corner kicks: 8 vs 2;
- fouls: 15 vs 7;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 2;
- shots on target: 6 vs 3.
Modena sit in sixth place in the league standings, thanks to their consistent performances. The team showcases a balanced style of play with a focus on attack, averaging 1.47 goals per match while conceding around 0.73 goals. However, their recent form has been disappointing for fans, with only one win in their last five matches. Historically, Modena have struggled to find the net against Spezia.
Match Results: Modena
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 6;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 1; for visitors away - 0; number of draws - 2;
- Average first-half total: 0.5;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.33, while the visitors net 0.17.
First-Half Stats: Spezia Calcio (home) vs Modena (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 8 vs 7;
- wins: 1 (12.5%) vs 1 (14.29%);
- losses: 4 (50%) vs 4 (57.14%);
- draws: 3 (37.5%) vs 2 (28.57%);
- Average goals scored: 1.25 vs 1;
- Average goals conceded: 0.88 vs 0.71.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 2 vs 2;
- losses: 2 vs 4;
- draws: 6 vs 4;
- Average first-half total: 1 (scored - 0.5, conceded - 0.5) vs 0.8 (scored - 0.3, conceded - 0.5).
- Spezia Calcio have drawn in the 1st half in last 5 games (Serie B).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 6;
- home team wins - 2, away team wins - 1, draws - 3.
Statistics: Spezia Calcio vs Modena
- matches played in the tournament: 15 vs 15;
- wins: 3 vs 7;
- win percentage: 20% vs 47%;
- losses: 7 vs 3;
- draws: 5 vs 5.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 3 vs 3;
- losses: 4 vs 3;
- draws: 3 vs 4.
- Spezia Calcio have not won in 9 of last 10 home games.
- Spezia Calcio have not won in 8 of last 9 home games (Serie B).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 0.67, the guests - 0.5;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 1.17;
- both teams scored: overall - 2; at the home team's field - 1.
Statistics: Spezia Calcio vs Modena
- average total in the tournament: 2.27 vs 2.2;
- average total goals scored: 0.93 vs 1.47;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.4 vs 0.4;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.53 vs 1.07;
- Spezia Calcio: average total at home in the tournament - 0.75;
- Modena: average total away in the tournament - 1.14;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.2 (home - 1) vs 1.1 (away - 0.6).
- Modena have scored under 1.5 goals in last 6 games against Spezia Calcio.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 6;
- both teams scored all-time - 2 times;
- on the home team’s field - 1 times.
Statistics: Spezia Calcio vs Modena
- number of matches played in the tournament: 15 vs 15;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 8 vs 7;
- number of BTTS matches for Spezia Calcio at home - 5 (63%);
- number of BTTS matches for Modena away - 3 (43%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 4;
- BTTS matches for Spezia Calcio at home - 4 (80%);
- BTTS matches for Modena away - 2 (40%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (28/150, 18.7%);
- Spezia Calcio at home most often finish matches: 1:1 , 1:2 (2/8, 25%);
- Modena away most often play: 1:0 (2/7, 28.6%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
0:1 - 13.55% (odds 6.3)
1:1 - 13.52% (odds 5.65)
0:0 - 12.13% (odds 6.75)
Editor's Prediction
Modena enter the match as favorites, but their recent form has dipped, with inconsistent performances in attack. Spezia haven't been convincing either, setting the stage for a tense encounter. The head-to-head history adds to this anticipation: the last six meetings between these sides have seen no more than two goals, with matches played at a cautious, methodical pace. Considering these factors, betting on under 2.5 goals seems the most reasonable prediction.