Spezia vs Modena Prediction

    📢 What can we expect from the clash between Spezia and Modena in the 16th round of Serie B? Spezia are fighting for survival in Serie B, currently sitting in 17th place, and they find themselves in a tough spot after a string of poor performances. Meanwhile, Modena, positioned sixth, are looking to solidify their spot in the playoff zone. The teams showcase different playing styles: Spezia rely on their defense, while Modena favor a more attacking approach. Both squads are at full strength and ready for the showdown, making this upcoming encounter particularly intriguing.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official encounter between the teams took place on 15 February 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 1:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Modena):

    • ball possession percentage: 48% vs 52%;
    • corner kicks: 4 vs 4;
    • fouls: 17 vs 22;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 6;
    • shots on target: 3 vs 3.

    📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Spezia Calcio and Modena:

    • played 6 matches;
    • number of wins for the home team - 2, for the away team - 1, draws - 3;
    • number of goals - 4 against 3;
    • average total in the 1st half - 0.5, in the 2nd half - 0.67;
    • average total goals in the match - 1.17.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    25%
    2 Wins
    38%
    3 Draws
    38%
    3 Wins
    Total games
    8
    Total Goals Avg
    1.5
    Both teams scored
    25%
    0.5
    Total average
    1
    2.75
    Yellow cards
    2.63
    Last matches
    13.03.26
    Serie B
    Modena
    Modena
    Spezia Calcio
    Spezia Calcio
    -
    -
    3
    3
    12
    18
    0
    2
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    3
    3
    12
    18
    0
    2
    13.12.25
    SEB
    Spezia Calcio
    Spezia Calcio
    1
    Modena
    Modena
    0.69
    3.26
    3
    9
    13
    16
    2
    5
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0.69
    3.26
    3
    9
    13
    16
    2
    5
    15.02.25
    SEB
    Modena
    Modena
    1
    Spezia Calcio
    Spezia Calcio
    0.72
    1.76
    4
    4
    17
    22
    3
    6
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0.72
    1.76
    4
    4
    17
    22
    3
    6
    02.11.24
    SEB
    Spezia Calcio
    Spezia Calcio
    Modena
    Modena
    -
    -
    6
    4
    20
    17
    4
    4
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    6
    4
    20
    17
    4
    4
    25.02.24
    SEB
    Modena
    Modena
    Spezia Calcio
    Spezia Calcio
    1
    -
    -
    11
    0
    17
    12
    4
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    11
    0
    17
    12
    4
    3
    Empty
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    Spezia Calcio Team Overview

    The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Serie B tournament (home team - Virtus Entella, away team - Spezia Calcio). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:1.

    Here's the game statistics (Spezia Calcio vs Virtus Entella):

    • ball possession: 52% vs 48%;
    • corner kicks: 6 vs 5;
    • fouls: 18 vs 19;
    • yellow cards: 4 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 3 vs 3.

    Spezia are struggling and currently sit in the relegation zone. Their recent form has been inconsistent, with victories interspersed with losses and draws (WDLWD). Their win rate is low, just 20% over the last ten matches, but they continue to fight for every point. The "Little Eagles" aim to control possession and play defensively, but they frequently concede due to deficiencies in their defensive coordination.

    Match Results: Spezia Calcio

    Last matches
    08.05.26
    Serie B
    Pescara Calcio
    Pescara Calcio
    Spezia Calcio
    Spezia Calcio
    0.69
    1.31
    3
    1
    11
    20
    1
    3
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0.69
    1.31
    3
    1
    11
    20
    1
    3
    D
    01.05.26
    Serie B
    Spezia Calcio
    Spezia Calcio
    1
    Venezia
    Venezia
    0.76
    2.61
    6
    6
    23
    16
    3
    2
    2
    2
    0
    1
    2
    1
    0.76
    2.61
    6
    6
    23
    16
    3
    2
    D
    25.04.26
    Serie B
    US Catanzaro
    US Catanzaro
    Spezia Calcio
    Spezia Calcio
    -
    -
    9
    2
    10
    20
    1
    3
    4
    2
    1
    1
    3
    1
    -
    -
    9
    2
    10
    20
    1
    3
    L
    18.04.26
    Serie B
    Spezia Calcio
    Spezia Calcio
    Sudtirol
    Sudtirol
    1
    -
    -
    3
    3
    16
    13
    0
    1
    6
    1
    3
    1
    3
    0
    -
    -
    3
    3
    16
    13
    0
    1
    W
    12.04.26
    Serie B
    Spezia Calcio
    Spezia Calcio
    Mantova
    Mantova
    -
    -
    6
    0
    18
    11
    2
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    -
    -
    6
    0
    18
    11
    2
    3
    L
    Empty
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    Modena Team Overview

    The away team played their last official match on as part of the Serie B tournament (home team - Modena, away - US Catanzaro). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:2.

    Here are the match stats (Modena vs US Catanzaro):

    • ball possession: 44% vs 56%;
    • corner kicks: 8 vs 2;
    • fouls: 15 vs 7;
    • yellow cards: 0 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 6 vs 3.

    Modena sit in sixth place in the league standings, thanks to their consistent performances. The team showcases a balanced style of play with a focus on attack, averaging 1.47 goals per match while conceding around 0.73 goals. However, their recent form has been disappointing for fans, with only one win in their last five matches. Historically, Modena have struggled to find the net against Spezia.

    Match Results: Modena

    Last matches
    12.05.26
    Serie B
    Modena
    Modena
    Juve Stabia
    Juve Stabia
    -
    -
    2
    4
    18
    13
    3
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    2
    4
    18
    13
    3
    1
    L
    08.05.26
    Serie B
    Avellino
    Avellino
    Modena
    Modena
    1.37
    0.13
    6
    0
    16
    15
    1
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1.37
    0.13
    6
    0
    16
    15
    1
    1
    L
    01.05.26
    Serie B
    Modena
    Modena
    1
    Reggiana
    Reggiana
    0.56
    1.74
    2
    4
    16
    21
    2
    3
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0.56
    1.74
    2
    4
    16
    21
    2
    3
    W
    24.04.26
    Serie B
    Monza
    Monza
    Modena
    Modena
    -
    -
    5
    4
    8
    20
    1
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    5
    4
    8
    20
    1
    2
    L
    18.04.26
    Serie B
    Modena
    Modena
    Frosinone Calcio
    Frosinone Calcio
    -
    -
    2
    6
    16
    16
    3
    4
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    -
    -
    2
    6
    16
    16
    3
    4
    L
    Empty
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    Prediction for the 1st half

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 6;
    • First-half wins at home for hosts - 1; for visitors away - 0; number of draws - 2;
    • Average first-half total: 0.5;
    • Today's home team scores on average 0.33, while the visitors net 0.17.

    First-Half Stats: Spezia Calcio (home) vs Modena (away)

    • matches played in the tournament: 8 vs 7;
    • wins: 1 (12.5%) vs 1 (14.29%);
    • losses: 4 (50%) vs 4 (57.14%);
    • draws: 3 (37.5%) vs 2 (28.57%);
    • Average goals scored: 1.25 vs 1;
    • Average goals conceded: 0.88 vs 0.71.

    Last 10 Matches (Overall):

    • wins: 2 vs 2;
    • losses: 2 vs 4;
    • draws: 6 vs 4;
    • Average first-half total: 1 (scored - 0.5, conceded - 0.5) vs 0.8 (scored - 0.3, conceded - 0.5).
    Trends
    • Spezia Calcio have drawn in the 1st half in last 5 games (Serie B).
    👉Prediction: 1st Half Draw(odds: 1.94)

    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 6;
    • home team wins - 2, away team wins - 1, draws - 3.

    Statistics: Spezia Calcio vs Modena

    • matches played in the tournament: 15 vs 15;
    • wins: 3 vs 7;
    • win percentage: 20% vs 47%;
    • losses: 7 vs 3;
    • draws: 5 vs 5.

    Last 10 matches:

    • wins: 3 vs 3;
    • losses: 4 vs 3;
    • draws: 3 vs 4.
    Trends
    • Spezia Calcio have not won in 9 of last 10 home games.
    • Spezia Calcio have not won in 8 of last 9 home games (Serie B).
    👉Prediction: Modena will not lose(odds: 1.32)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 0.67, the guests - 0.5;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 1.17;
    • both teams scored: overall - 2; at the home team's field - 1.

    Statistics: Spezia Calcio vs Modena

    • average total in the tournament: 2.27 vs 2.2;
    • average total goals scored: 0.93 vs 1.47;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.4 vs 0.4;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 0.53 vs 1.07;
    • Spezia Calcio: average total at home in the tournament -  0.75;
    • Modena: average total away in the tournament - 1.14;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 1.2 (home - 1) vs 1.1 (away - 0.6).
    Trends
    • Modena have scored under 1.5 goals in last 6 games against Spezia Calcio.
    👉Prediction: Modena Total goals Under (1.5)(odds: 1.52)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 6;
    • both teams scored all-time - 2 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 1 times.

    Statistics: Spezia Calcio vs Modena

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 15 vs 15;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 8 vs 7;
    • number of BTTS matches for Spezia Calcio at home - 5 (63%);
    • number of BTTS matches for Modena away - 3 (43%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 4;
    • BTTS matches for Spezia Calcio at home - 4 (80%);
    • BTTS matches for Modena away - 2 (40%).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (No)(odds: 1.77)

    Correct score prediction

    Statistics of frequent results (current season):

    • most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (28/150, 18.7%);
    • Spezia Calcio at home most often finish matches: 1:1 , 1:2 (2/8, 25%);
    • Modena away most often play: 1:0 (2/7, 28.6%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:

    0:1 - 13.55% (odds 6.3)
    1:1 - 13.52% (odds 5.65)
    0:0 - 12.13% (odds 6.75)

    👉Prediction: Correct Score (0:1)(odds: 6.3)

    Editor's Prediction

    Modena enter the match as favorites, but their recent form has dipped, with inconsistent performances in attack. Spezia haven't been convincing either, setting the stage for a tense encounter. The head-to-head history adds to this anticipation: the last six meetings between these sides have seen no more than two goals, with matches played at a cautious, methodical pace. Considering these factors, betting on under 2.5 goals seems the most reasonable prediction.

    Our choice
    Total goals Under (2.5) at odds of -167*
    Everygame
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (11 December 2025, 13:57)

    Betting Tips: Spezia Calcio - Modena

    Spezia Calcio have drawn in the 1st half
    spezia-calcioin last 5 games (Serie B).
    1st Half Draw
    Bovada
    +102
    Spezia Calcio have not won
    spezia-calcioin 9 of last 10 home games.
    spezia-calcioin 8 of last 9 home games (Serie B).
    Modena will not lose
    Everygame
    -357
    Spezia Calcio have scored under 1.5 goals
    spezia-calciofc-modenain last 6 games against Modena.
    spezia-calciofc-modenain last 5 games against Modena (Serie B).
    spezia-calcioin 14 of last 15 games (Serie B).
    spezia-calcioin 10 of last 11 games.
    spezia-calcioin last 9 home games.
    spezia-calcioin last 8 home games (Serie B).
    Spezia Calcio Total goals Under (1.5)
    Everygame
    -357
    Over 1.5 goals scored
    spezia-calcioin 13 of last 15 Spezia Calcio home games.
    spezia-calcioin 12 of last 14 Spezia Calcio home games (Serie B).
    in 12 of last 13 Mario Perri games.
    in 10 of last 11 Mario Perri games (in the Serie B).
    Total goals Over (1.5)
    Everygame
    -250
    View more facts

    Spezia - Modena Table position

    Serie B 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    5.
    US Catanzaro
    US Catanzaro
    381514962-5159
    6.
    Modena
    Modena
    3815101349-3655
    7.
    Juve Stabia
    Juve Stabia
    381118944-4551
    18.
    Reggiana
    Reggiana
    389101936-5637
    19.
    Spezia Calcio
    Spezia Calcio
    388111943-5935
    20.
    Pescara Calcio
    Pescara Calcio
    387141751-6635

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    2 - Wins
    3 - Draws
    5 - Loses
    Wins - 3
    Draws - 2
    Loses - 5
    10 matches
    Scored - 18
    Conceded - 22
    -4
    -1
    12 - Scored
    13 - Conceded
    2
    Wins
    3
    3
    Draws
    2
    5
    Loses
    5
    Goal difference
    18
    Scored
    12
    22
    Conceded
    13
    4
    Match goals average
    2.5
    1.8
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.2
    2.2
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.3
    8
    Both teams scored
    6
    50'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    75'
    View all stats