Chapecoense vs Gremio Prediction 16 March 2026
🔊 In the upcoming clash between Chapecoense and Gremio, the spotlight is on both teams' current form. Chapecoense boast a solid unbeaten run at home, showcasing their reliability on their own turf. Meanwhile, Gremio have been displaying confident performances in recent matches, particularly impressing with their attacking prowess. An intriguing contest is anticipated, where every moment could prove decisive.
Head-to-Head
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Chapecoense and Grêmio:
- 16 matches played;
- home team wins - 4, away team wins - 8, draws - 4;
- goals scored - 19 against 27;
- average total goals in the first half - 1.44, in the second half - 1.44;
- average total goals per match - 2.88.
Head-to-head statistics Chapecoense - Gremio

Chapecoense Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Serie A tournament (home team - São Paulo, away team - Chapecoense). The match concluded with a 2-0 victory.
Here are the game statistics (Chapecoense vs São Paulo):
- possession: 37% vs 63%;
- corners: 6 vs 11;
- fouls: 12 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 0;
- shots on target: 1 vs 7.
🟢 Chapecoense have been inconsistent lately, alternating between victories and defeats. However, they remain unbeaten at home for nine consecutive matches, showcasing their strength on their own turf. The team currently sits 12th in the standings and is eager to climb higher. Their attack is aggressive, yet their defense occasionally falters, as evidenced by an average of two goals conceded per match.
Match Results: Chapecoense

Gremio Team Overview
The last official match for the current visitors took place on in the Serie A tournament (home team - Gremio, away team - Bragantino). The match ended in a 1-1 draw.
The game statistics are as follows (Gremio vs Bragantino):
- possession percentage: 39% vs 61%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 6;
- fouls: 13 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 4;
- shots on target: 6 vs 8.
🔵 Grêmio are in fine form, with three wins and two draws in their last five matches underscoring their momentum. Currently sitting ninth in the standings, the team are eager to climb closer to the top. Grêmio's strength lies in their attacking prowess, boasting an average of over 1.5 goals per game. However, their defense needs attention due to frequent concessions.
Match Results: Gremio
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-head Matches:
- Played - 16;
- First half wins for home team - 0; away team - 5; draws - 3;
- Average total in the first half: 1.44;
- Today's home side averages 0.38 goals, while the visitors average 1.06.
First Half Statistics: Chapecoense (home) vs Grêmio (away)
- Played in tournament: 2 vs 2;
- Wins: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
- Losses: 0 (0%) vs 1 (50%);
- Draws: 2 (100%) vs 1 (50%);
- Average goals scored: 2 vs 0.5;
- Average goals conceded: 1 vs 0.5.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Wins: 2 vs 4;
- Losses: 2 vs 3;
- Draws: 6 vs 3;
- Average first half total: 1 (scored - 0.5, conceded - 0.5) vs 1 (scored - 0.6, conceded - 0.4).
- Chapecoense have lost the first half at home in their last 4 head-to-head matches against this team (Serie A).
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Played - 16;
- Home wins - 4, Away wins - 8, Draws - 4.
Statistics: Chapecoense vs Gremio
- Matches in the tournament: 4 vs 5;
- Wins: 1 vs 2;
- Win percentage: 25% vs 40%;
- Losses: 1 vs 2;
- Draws: 2 vs 1.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 4 vs 5;
- Losses: 3 vs 1;
- Draws: 3 vs 4.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches (Average Total):
- Home team - 1.19, Away team - 1.69;
- In head-to-head matches - 2.88;
- Both teams scored: overall - 8 times; at home - 5 times.
Average Total Goals Statistics: Chapecoense vs Gremio
- In the tournament: 4 vs 3.6;
- Goals scored: 2 vs 1.8;
- First half: 0.5 vs 0.4;
- Second half: 1.5 vs 1.4;
- Chapecoense: at home in the tournament - 3.5;
- Gremio: away in the tournament - 0.5;
- Last 10 matches: 1.5 (home - 2.2) vs 1.6 (away - 0.67).
- Chapecoense score less than 1.5 goals in 8 of the last 9 head-to-head encounters.
- Chapecoense score less than 1.5 goals in 6 of the last 7 head-to-head meetings (Serie A).
Corners Prediction
Chapecoense: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 3.25; at home - 3.5;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 5.6; at home - 6.2.
Gremio: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 4.6, away - 4.5;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 3.7; away - 2.67.
- Chapecoense take fewer than 5.5 corners in 6 of the last 7 head-to-head encounters.
- Chapecoense take fewer than 5.5 corners in five consecutive head-to-head matches (Serie A).
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Played - 16;
- Both teams scored overall - 8 times;
- At home - 5 times.
Statistics: Chapecoense vs Gremio
- Played in the tournament: 4 vs 5;
- Matches this season where both teams scored (BTTS): 3 vs 4;
- Chapecoense: BTTS at home - 2 (100%);
- Gremio: BTTS away - 1 (50%).
Last 10 Matches:
- BTTS matches: 5 vs 7;
- Chapecoense: BTTS at home - 2 (40%);
- Gremio: BTTS away - 2 (67%).
Exact Score Prediction
Most Frequent Results (Current Season):
- The most common score in the tournament: 1-1 (9/46, 19.6%);
- Chapecoense at home most often finish matches: 3-3, 4-2 (1/2, 50%);
- Gremio away most often play: 2-0, 2-1 (1/2, 50%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top three outcomes:
1-1 - 9.82% (odds of 6)
2-1 - 7.67% (odds of 10)
2-2 - 7.32% (odds of 13)