Burnley vs Bournemouth Prediction 14 March 2026
🔊 Burnley are stuck in the relegation zone, and it would take a miracle to save them, while Bournemouth comfortably sit mid-table, having long secured their safety from relegation. However, the Cherries have suddenly forgotten how to score: three consecutive Premier League matches have ended in draws with just one goal. On Saturday at Turf Moor, teams with contrasting motivations but similar attacking issues will face off. What will come of this? Let's delve into the matter.
Head-to-Head
📊 In the last five head-to-head encounters across all competitions, the advantage leans towards the visitors: Bournemouth have claimed three victories, while Burnley have managed one win, with one match ending in a draw. Notably, in their last two trips to Turf Moor, the Cherries not only secured wins but also kept clean sheets. However, the first leg of this season's clash ended in a 1-1 draw.
Head-to-head statistics Burnley - Bournemouth
Burnley Team Overview
Scott Parker's team currently sits second to last in the table, with just 19 points from 29 matches. They are nine points adrift of the safety of 17th place, making their task of staying in the Premier League nearly impossible. The Clarets have managed only four wins all season, the second-worst record in the league. Burnley's defense is the weakest in the championship, having conceded 58 goals.
Their last match was on March 3 against Everton, where they were defeated by the Toffees 2-0, managing just five shots throughout the game. The Clarets are on a two-game losing streak but rarely go down without a fight. A draw away at Chelsea (1-1) and a high-scoring clash with Brentford (3-4) are testament to their battling spirit.
Match Results: Burnley
Bournemouth Team Overview
The "Cherries" sit comfortably in ninth place with 40 points. They are on an impressive nine-match unbeaten streak, one of the best in the league. However, their last three games ended in draws, with Bournemouth scoring just once during this stretch. In total, Andoni Iraola's squad has recorded 13 draws this season-more than any other Premier League team.
Their recent match against Brentford ended in a goalless draw. The Cherries outperformed their opponents in all key metrics, creating five clear chances but failing to convert any. Despite this, they boast the sixth-best goal-scoring record in the league with 44 goals, highlighting their significant attacking potential.
Match Results: Bournemouth
Latest news
Burnley
🎙 Scott Parker acknowledged the well-deserved defeat in the last round: "We feel unfulfilled today in many ways. We lacked quality in our ball handling, we couldn't impose our style of play, and we weren't dangerous against a very good opponent. They were clearly better and fully earned this victory."
❌ Josh Cullen, Axel Tuanzebe, Zeki Amdouni, Jordan Beyer, and Connor Roberts are sidelined. Mike Ndahishimiye, Armando Broja, Marcus Edwards, and Zian Flemming have returned to training, but their participation in the upcoming match remains doubtful.
Bournemouth
🎙 Andoni Iraola reflected on the match against Brentford: "I think we played well-it's one of our best performances recently. We controlled an opponent who, as you know, is quite strong. But we didn't win. We had two great chances, but we couldn't convert them. Why? I'm not sure. I'll try to be satisfied with a point, but we have too many draws."
❌ Bournemouth face the same absences as in the previous round. Lewis Cook, Justin Kluivert, Ben Doak, and Julio Soler are still unable to support their teammates. All four are dealing with knee issues.
🟨 Yellow Card Prediction
Peter Bankes, appointed for this match, is one of the strictest referees this season. In 21 Premier League matches, he has handed out 85 yellow cards (averaging 4 per game) and 4 red cards. In his last ten matches, the Englishman has maintained the same average - 4 cautions per game.
Bournemouth consistently play aggressively with high pressing, which results in an average of 2.57 yellow cards per away game. Considering these statistics, the importance of points for the hosts, and Bankes' firm approach, betting on over 3.5 cards seems reasonable.
⚽ Goal Prediction
Burnley have conceded 58 goals, the worst in the league. Bournemouth have scored only once in their last three matches, despite previously finding the net regularly. However, in 6 of their last 7 home games, both teams have scored. Scott Parker's side are desperate for points and will need to take risks at home, leaving their defense exposed. For this reason, betting on both teams to score (yes) appears optimal.
🚩 Corner Prediction
Scott Parker's team averages 3.29 corners per match at home. Bournemouth are less sharp away than at home but still significantly outperform Burnley in this aspect (5.79). However, much will depend on the match scenario, so we won't dive into corner outcomes. Instead, we'll opt for a cautious bet on under 11.5 corners, which has hit in 6 of the last 7 head-to-head encounters between these teams.
Editor's Prediction
Burnley are in a bit of a slump, struggling to cling onto slim hopes of survival. Bournemouth, meanwhile, are safe but have lost their attacking spark. However, it's only a matter of time before the "Cherries" find their rhythm again, and we predict it will happen in the upcoming match, betting on over 2.5 goals. Burnley frequently engage in goal exchanges at home, with the "over" hitting in 6 of their last 7 home matches. As for the outcome, we lean towards a Bournemouth victory, as they have won 2 of their last 3 away games. Predicted scoreline - 1-3.
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Betting Tips: Burnley - Bournemouth
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