AZ Alkmaar vs Heracles Prediction 15 March 2026
🔊 Can AZ Alkmaar snap their losing streak in the Eredivisie when they face the league's bottom side, Heracles? AZ have suffered two consecutive defeats, yet they remain unbeaten at home since late January. Heracles, languishing at the foot of the table, struggle both defensively and offensively. However, they are motivated to improve their standings and avoid relegation, especially after facing AZ, a team they rarely lose to by a large margin. What outcome can we expect in Alkmaar this time? Our editorial team provides an insightful prediction on the odds for each side.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 14 September 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 1:2. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Heracles Almelo):
- ball possession percentage: 52% vs 48%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 9;
- fouls: 11 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 5;
- shots on target: 6 vs 8.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams AZ Alkmaar and Heracles Almelo:
- played 38 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 28, for the away team - 8, draws - 2;
- number of goals - 88 against 44;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.47, in the 2nd half - 2;
- average total goals in the match - 3.47.
Head-to-head statistics AZ Alkmaar - Heracles
AZ Alkmaar Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the UEFA Europa Conference League tournament (home team - AZ Alkmaar, away team - Sparta Prague). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:1.
Here's the game statistics (AZ Alkmaar vs Sparta Prague):
- ball possession: 56% vs 44%;
- corner kicks: 8 vs 2;
- fouls: 11 vs 15;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- shots on target: 7 vs 3.
AZ Alkmaar are delivering strong performances in knockout tournaments like the Conference League and the KNVB Cup, yet they find themselves on a two-game losing streak in the Eredivisie. This recent dip in league form has slightly affected their attacking stats, with the team averaging 1.7 goals per match. On the defensive end, Alkmaar concede significantly less across all competitions, allowing just 1.1 goals on average. Their home form is particularly impressive, as they have secured four consecutive victories and remain unbeaten in their last six home games.
Match Results: AZ Alkmaar
Heracles Almelo Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Eredivisie tournament (home team - Heracles Almelo, away - Utrecht). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:0.
Here are the match stats (Heracles Almelo vs Utrecht):
- ball possession: 47% vs 53%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 12;
- fouls: 13 vs 17;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 3 vs 3.
Heracles Almelo are going through a tough period, with just one win and eight losses in their last ten matches, reflecting their dismal form. They concede over two goals per match while averaging a mere 0.8 goals per game. Sitting at the bottom of the table, the team desperately needs points to fight for Eredivisie survival, but their current form doesn't inspire confidence. Moreover, their away performance is equally concerning, having suffered six consecutive defeats on the road.
Match Results: Heracles Almelo
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 38;
- home team wins - 28, away team wins - 8, draws - 2.
Statistics: AZ Alkmaar vs Heracles Almelo
- matches played in the tournament: 26 vs 26;
- wins: 11 vs 5;
- win percentage: 42% vs 19%;
- losses: 9 vs 18;
- draws: 6 vs 3.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 6 vs 1;
- losses: 3 vs 8;
- draws: 1 vs 1.
- Heracles Almelo won with a +1.5 handicap in last 7 games against AZ Alkmaar (Eredivisie).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 2.32, the guests - 1.16;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.47;
- both teams scored: overall - 22; at the home team's field - 12.
Statistics: AZ Alkmaar vs Heracles Almelo
- average total in the tournament: 3.27 vs 3.73;
- average total goals scored: 1.65 vs 1.23;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.85 vs 0.58;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.81 vs 0.65;
- AZ Alkmaar: average total at home in the tournament - 2.08;
- Heracles Almelo: average total away in the tournament - 0.85;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.7 (home - 2.33) vs 0.8 (away - 1).
- AZ Alkmaar have scored over 1.5 goals in 17 of last 19 home games against Heracles Almelo.
- AZ Alkmaar have scored over 1.5 goals in 14 of last 16 home games against Heracles Almelo (Eredivisie).
Prediction on corners
AZ Alkmaar: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.46; at home field - 5.5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.2; at home field - 5.17.
Heracles Almelo: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.31, away - 4.38;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4; away - 4.2.
- Heracles Almelo have taken under 3.5 corners in last 5 away games against AZ Alkmaar.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 38;
- both teams scored all-time - 22 times;
- on the home team’s field - 12 times.
Statistics: AZ Alkmaar vs Heracles Almelo
- number of matches played in the tournament: 26 vs 26;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 19 vs 14;
- number of BTTS matches for AZ Alkmaar at home - 11 (92%);
- number of BTTS matches for Heracles Almelo away - 7 (54%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 7 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for AZ Alkmaar at home - 5 (83%);
- BTTS matches for Heracles Almelo away - 3 (60%).
- AZ Alkmaar have scored and conceded in 14 of last 15 home games (Eredivisie).
- AZ Alkmaar have scored and conceded in 7 of last 8 home games.
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (26/235, 11.1%);
- AZ Alkmaar at home most often finish matches: 1:1 , 2:2 , 4:1 (2/12, 16.7%);
- Heracles Almelo away most often play: 4:0 (3/13, 23.1%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
2:1 - 10.05% (odds 7.7)
2:0 - 9.3% (odds 7.5)
1:1 - 8.6% (odds 8.4)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
AZ Alkmaar, currently sitting 6th in the Eredivisie, are eager to get back to winning ways after suffering two consecutive league defeats. Heracles Almelo are struggling with scoring, particularly on the road. Despite their low position in the table, they continue to fight for every point and could pose a challenge to AZ even on their home turf, as they haven't lost by more than one goal in their last seven head-to-head encounters. Considering AZ Alkmaar's recent dip in form, we suggest betting on Heracles with a +1.5 handicap.No comments
Betting Tips: AZ Alkmaar - Heracles Almelo
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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