Atlanta United vs Philadelphia Union Prediction 14 March 2026

    🔊 Last season, these odds would have been surprising, but not anymore. We're looking at an MLS clash between Atlanta United and Philadelphia Union. Here's our prediction for the event. We need to make a well-founded bet on it, and that's exactly what we'll do. Plus, we're anticipating an exciting game of football.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official match between the teams took place on 17 May 2025 and ended with a 0-1 scoreline. Here's the comparative stats from that encounter (Atlanta United were the hosts):

    • possession percentage: 65% vs 35%;
    • corner kicks: 4 vs 6;
    • fouls: 9 vs 10;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 2 vs 6.

    📊 Statistical preview of the official head-to-head encounters between Atlanta United and Philadelphia Union:

    • 19 matches played;
    • home wins - 5, away wins - 7, draws - 7;
    • goals scored - 25 against 28;
    • average first-half total - 0.89, second-half - 1.89;
    • average total goals per match - 2.79.

    Head-to-head statistics Atlanta United - Philadelphia Union

    30%
    6 Wins
    35%
    7 Draws
    35%
    7 Wins
    Total games
    20
    Total Goals Avg
    2.85
    Both teams scored
    55%
    1.4
    Total average
    1.45
    5.65
    Corner
    4
    1.55
    Yellow cards
    2.65
    10.5
    Fouls
    12.75
    Last matches
    14.03.26
    MLS
    Atlanta United
    Atlanta United
    Philadelphia Union
    Philadelphia Union
    2.04
    2.5
    4
    6
    15
    12
    4
    0
    3
    1
    1
    0
    2
    1
    2.04
    2.5
    4
    6
    15
    12
    4
    0
    17.05.25
    MLS
    Atlanta United
    Atlanta United
    Philadelphia Union
    Philadelphia Union
    1.06
    1.8
    4
    6
    9
    10
    2
    3
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    1.06
    1.8
    4
    6
    9
    10
    2
    3
    19.04.25
    MLS
    Philadelphia Union
    Philadelphia Union
    1
    Atlanta United
    Atlanta United
    1.19
    0.89
    4
    3
    11
    6
    3
    2
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    1.19
    0.89
    4
    3
    11
    6
    3
    2
    28.09.24
    MLS
    Philadelphia Union
    Philadelphia Union
    Atlanta United
    Atlanta United
    -
    -
    8
    9
    6
    8
    2
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    8
    9
    6
    8
    2
    1
    14.04.24
    MLS
    Atlanta United
    Atlanta United
    Philadelphia Union
    Philadelphia Union
    -
    -
    7
    5
    9
    8
    2
    6
    2
    2
    0
    0
    2
    2
    -
    -
    7
    5
    9
    8
    2
    6
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Atlanta United Team Overview

    The team's last official match took place on in the MLS, with Atlanta United hosting Real Salt Lake. The game concluded with a 2-3 scoreline.

    Here are the match statistics (Atlanta United vs Real Salt Lake):

    • possession percentage: 62% vs 38%;
    • corner kicks: 4 vs 2;
    • fouls: 12 vs 4;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 5 vs 4.

    The team is struggling at the start of the new season. It appears that management hasn't learned from the failures of 2025. They've already suffered three losses in their opening three matches. The defense is a disaster. It seems Atlanta can only achieve something if their opponents allow it. There's also the lingering question of why Alexey Miranchuk is given so little time on the pitch, especially considering United's attack is severely limited in options. There's still time to correct these mistakes, although the situation looks quite bleak.

    Match Results: Atlanta United

    Last matches
    25.07.26
    mls
    New-England Revolution
    New-England Revolution
    Atlanta United
    Atlanta United
    2.15
    0.99
    4
    6
    7
    16
    2
    2
    4
    1
    2
    0
    2
    1
    2.15
    0.99
    4
    6
    7
    16
    2
    2
    L
    23.07.26
    mls
    Charlotte
    Charlotte
    Atlanta United
    Atlanta United
    2.9
    1.63
    6
    3
    3
    9
    1
    3
    2
    2
    2
    0
    0
    2
    2.9
    1.63
    6
    3
    3
    9
    1
    3
    D
    18.07.26
    mls
    Nashville
    Nashville
    Atlanta United
    Atlanta United
    0.66
    1.3
    4
    2
    10
    13
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0.66
    1.3
    4
    2
    10
    13
    1
    1
    L
    24.05.26
    MLS
    Columbus Crew
    Columbus Crew
    Atlanta United
    Atlanta United
    1.42
    1.43
    2
    3
    9
    13
    3
    4
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    1.42
    1.43
    2
    3
    9
    13
    3
    4
    L
    19.05.26
    US Open Cup
    Orlando City
    Orlando City
    Atlanta United
    Atlanta United
    -
    -
    6
    1
    5
    14
    1
    5
    4
    1
    4
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    6
    1
    5
    14
    1
    5
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Philadelphia Union Team Overview

    The visitors played their last official match on in the CONCACAF Champions League (Philadelphia Union hosted América). The match concluded with a 0-1 scoreline.

    Here's the game statistics (Philadelphia Union vs América):

    • possession: 52% vs 48%;
    • corner kicks: 5 vs 0;
    • fouls: 17 vs 14;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 1 vs 3.

    Here's an intriguing situation. Philadelphia, despite all their losses, were highly rated at the start of the season but have begun with three defeats. The departure of Tai Baribo has clearly impacted their attacking capabilities. In their latest match, the team lost to San Jose and played well below their usual standards. They had chances to approach the goal, but their final pass was dreadful. Meanwhile, their opponents scored in the second half and had little trouble maintaining their lead. Something needs to change, or they'll find themselves having to make up a significant points deficit.

    Match Results: Philadelphia Union

    Last matches
    25.07.26
    mls
    Philadelphia Union
    Philadelphia Union
    Seattle Sounders
    Seattle Sounders
    1.47
    0.66
    6
    1
    11
    11
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1.47
    0.66
    6
    1
    11
    11
    0
    1
    W
    22.07.26
    mls
    Philadelphia Union
    Philadelphia Union
    NY Red Bulls
    NY Red Bulls
    3.21
    0.88
    8
    6
    13
    10
    0
    3
    3
    1
    1
    1
    2
    0
    3.21
    0.88
    8
    6
    13
    10
    0
    3
    W
    24.05.26
    MLS
    Inter Miami
    Inter Miami
    Philadelphia Union
    Philadelphia Union
    4.15
    3.41
    4
    2
    18
    16
    6
    3
    6
    4
    4
    4
    2
    0
    4.15
    3.41
    4
    2
    18
    16
    6
    3
    L
    16.05.26
    MLS
    Philadelphia Union
    Philadelphia Union
    Columbus Crew
    Columbus Crew
    0.87
    0.32
    4
    4
    14
    12
    3
    1
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    0.87
    0.32
    4
    4
    14
    12
    3
    1
    D
    13.05.26
    MLS
    Orlando City
    Orlando City
    Philadelphia Union
    Philadelphia Union
    2.08
    1.63
    2
    11
    9
    12
    1
    3
    4
    3
    2
    0
    2
    3
    2.08
    1.63
    2
    11
    9
    12
    1
    3
    L
    Empty
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    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 19;
    • home team wins - 5, away team wins - 7, draws - 7.

    Statistics: Atlanta United vs Philadelphia Union

    • matches played in the tournament: 3 vs 3;
    • wins: 0 vs 0;
    • win percentage: 0% vs 0%;
    • losses: 3 vs 3;
    • draws: 0 vs 0.

    Last 10 matches:

    • wins: 1 vs 4;
    • losses: 7 vs 6;
    • draws: 2 vs 0.
    👉Prediction: Philadelphia Union Handicap (+1)(odds: 1.22)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • the home team scores on average - 1.32, the guests - 1.47;
    • average over/under goals in head-to-head matches - 2.79;
    • both teams scored: overall - 10; at the home team's field - 4.
    Trends
    • Atlanta United have scored under 1.5 goals in 7 of last 8 games (MLS).
    👉Prediction: Atlanta United Total goals Under (1,5)(odds: 1.57)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 19;
    • both teams scored all-time - 10 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 4 times.

    Statistics: Atlanta United vs Philadelphia Union

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 3 vs 3;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 1 vs 1;
    • number of BTTS matches for Atlanta United at home - 1 (100%);
    • number of BTTS matches for Philadelphia Union away - 0 (0%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 2;
    • BTTS matches for Atlanta United at home - 4 (100%);
    • BTTS matches for Philadelphia Union away - 0 (0%).
    Trends
    • Atlanta United have scored and conceded in 10 of last 11 home games.
    • Atlanta United have scored and conceded in 9 of last 10 home games (MLS).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (Yes)(odds: 1.61)

    Correct score prediction

    Statistics of frequent results (current season):

    • most common score in the tournament: 1:0 (6/44, 13.6%);
    • Atlanta United at home most often finish matches: 2:3 (1/1, 100%);
    • Philadelphia Union away most often play: 1:0 (1/1, 100%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:

    1:1 - 12.42% (odds 6.5)
    2:1 - 8.02% (odds 9)
    1:2 - 7.78% (odds 9.5)

    Trends
    • Philadelphia Union lost 0:1 in 3 of last 4 games (MLS).
    👉Prediction: Correct Score (1:0)(odds: 9)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Based on an analysis of current trends and team form, the most reasonable bet is both teams to score. Atlanta United consistently show their ability to both score and concede in home matches, a trend that has persisted since last year. On the other hand, Philadelphia are also aggressive in attack and maintain good scoring records even in defeats. While neither club is in peak form, their attacking capabilities remain significant. Therefore, betting on both teams finding the back of the net seems like a well-founded prediction.

    Our choice
    Both Teams To Score (Yes) at odds of -154*
    MyBookie
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (12 March 2026, 07:59)

    Betting Tips: Atlanta United - Philadelphia Union

    Philadelphia Union have drawn in the 2nd half:
    philadelphia-unionin 7 of last 8 games (MLS).
    2nd Half Draw
    MyBookie
    +165
    Atlanta United have lost the 2nd half:
    atlanta-united-fcin 6 of last 7 games (MLS).
    2nd Half Philadelphia Union Win
    Everygame
    +195
    Atlanta United have lost:
    atlanta-united-fcin 6 of last 7 games (MLS).
    Philadelphia Union Win
    MyBookie
    +395
    Atlanta United have not lost:
    atlanta-united-fcphiladelphia-unionin 8 of last 9 home games against Philadelphia Union (MLS).
    Atlanta United will not lose
    Everygame
    -233
    View more facts

    Atlanta United - Philadelphia Union Table position

    Stage 1 Group A
    gWDLGDPForm
    10.
    Orlando City
    Orlando City
    1762928-4420
    11.
    Columbus Crew
    Columbus Crew
    1754824-2619
    12.
    Toronto
    Toronto
    1737723-3116
    13.
    Montreal Impact
    Montreal Impact
    17431022-3315
    14.
    Philadelphia Union
    Philadelphia Union
    17341022-3113
    15.
    Atlanta United
    Atlanta United
    17331117-3012

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    3 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    5 - Loses
    Wins - 2
    Draws - 4
    Loses - 4
    10 matches
    Scored - 13
    Conceded - 18
    -5
    -3
    16 - Scored
    19 - Conceded
    3
    Wins
    2
    2
    Draws
    4
    5
    Loses
    4
    Goal difference
    13
    Scored
    16
    18
    Conceded
    19
    3.1
    Match goals average
    3.5
    1.3
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.6
    1.8
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.9
    7
    Both teams scored
    6
    69'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    56'
    View all stats