Albion vs Penarol Prediction 14 March 2026
🔥 The upcoming clash between Albion and Peñarol promises to be intriguing given their current form and tournament motivation. Albion sit in 11th place, compelling them to fight for every point to steer clear of the relegation zone. Meanwhile, Peñarol, positioned 5th, aim to solidify their spot in the upper part of the table and extend their successful run. Read the prediction for their showdown below.
Head-to-Head
📊The teams have faced off in three official matches. The stats are as follows:
- Goals: 2 to 6;
- Average total in the 1st half - 1, in the 2nd - 1.67;
- Average total goals per match - 2.67.
Head-to-head statistics Albion - Penarol
Albion Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place in the Primera tournament, with Progreso as the home side and Albion as the visitors. The game ended in a 2-2 draw.
Here are the match statistics (Albion vs Progreso):
- possession: 49% vs 51%;
- corners: 5 vs 4;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 3;
- shots on target: 8 vs 5.
Albion find themselves in a challenging situation, having secured just one victory in their last five matches (form: WDLDD). This raises doubts about their consistency on the pitch. However, over their last ten games, they have averaged 1.4 goals per match, indicating a decent attacking potential. Defensively, the situation is less promising, as they concede around 1.4 goals per game, which could be problematic against a strong opponent like Peñarol.
Match Results: Albion
Penarol Montevideo Team Overview
The visitors recently played their last official match in the Primera tournament, with the hosts being Peñarol and the visitors Danubio. The match ended in a 1-1 draw.
Here are the match statistics (Peñarol vs Danubio):
- possession percentage: 47% vs 53%;
- corner kicks: 10 vs 3;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
- shots on target: 5 vs 1.
Peñarol are displaying confident form with three wins in their last five matches (form: WDWDL). This run helps them maintain a strong league position and keeps their hopes alive for qualifying for international tournaments. Their average scoring rate is impressive at 1.6 goals per match, while a solid defense, conceding just one goal in the last five games, highlights their balanced tactics.
Match Results: Penarol Montevideo
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 3;
- home team wins - 0, away team wins - 2, draws - 1.
Statistics: Albion vs Penarol Montevideo
- matches played in the tournament: 5 vs 5;
- wins: 1 vs 3;
- win percentage: 20% vs 60%;
- losses: 2 vs 1;
- draws: 2 vs 1.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 3 vs 6;
- losses: 4 vs 3;
- draws: 3 vs 1.
- Albion won with a +1.5 handicap in 12 of last 13 home games.
- Albion won with a +1.5 handicap in 7 of last 8 games.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 0.67, the guests - 2;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.67;
- both teams scored: overall - 2; at the home team's field - 1.
Statistics: Albion vs Penarol Montevideo
- average total in the tournament: 2.8 vs 2.6;
- average total goals scored: 1.4 vs 1.6;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.4 vs 0.6;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1 vs 1;
- Albion: average total at home in the tournament - 1.67;
- Penarol Montevideo: average total away in the tournament - 1;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.4 (home - 1.8) vs 1.1 (away - 0.67).
- Over 1.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 Albion games.
- Over 1.5 goals scored in 13 of last 15 Penarol Montevideo games (Primera Division).
Prediction on corners
H2H
- average Over/Under corners in H2H matches - 9.33 (2 - for home team and 7.33 - for away team);
- average Over/Under corners at home team's field - 10 (6 - for home team and 4 - for away team).
Albion: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5; at home field - 4.67;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.4; at home field - 3.8.
Penarol Montevideo: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.2, away - 2;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.3; away - 3.33.
- Under 10.5 corners in last 10 Albion games.
- Under 10.5 corners in 9 of last 10 Albion home games.
- Under 10.5 corners in last 5 Albion games (Primera Division).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 3;
- both teams scored all-time - 2 times;
- on the home team’s field - 1 times.
Statistics: Albion vs Penarol Montevideo
- number of matches played in the tournament: 5 vs 5;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 3 vs 4;
- number of BTTS matches for Albion at home - 2 (67%);
- number of BTTS matches for Penarol Montevideo away - 0 (0%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for Albion at home - 3 (60%);
- BTTS matches for Penarol Montevideo away - 1 (33%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 0:1 (8/39, 20.5%);
- Albion at home most often finish matches: 1:2 , 1:3 , 3:0 (1/3, 33.3%);
- Penarol Montevideo away most often play: 0:1 (1/1, 100%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
0:1 - 13.6% (odds 5.5)
1:1 - 11.54% (odds 7.5)
0:2 - 10.04% (odds 6.5)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Against high-profile opponents, Albion are likely to adopt a defensive strategy, aiming to close down all open spaces in their half. Peñarol boast a quality lineup but often play conservatively, settling for a narrow lead. Recent head-to-head stats point to low-scoring games with a focus on physical battles, limiting the creation of clear goal-scoring opportunities. Considering the hosts' defensive priorities and the visitors' pragmatic approach, betting on under 2.5 goals in this match seems like a reasonable prediction.
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Betting Tips: Albion - Penarol Montevideo
in 8 of last 9 games.
in 6 of last 7 Albion games.in 13 of last 15 Penarol Montevideo games (Primera Division).in 9 of last 10 games (Primera Division).
Comparison of Teams Stats
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