Hoffenheim vs Freiburg Prediction 14 February 2026
🔊 Have Hoffenheim bounced back from their thrashing in Munich? We'll find out on Saturday in the Baden-Württemberg derby as Freiburg visit the PreZero Arena. The hosts are eager to recover quickly and secure their eighth consecutive home victory. Julian Schuster's side won't be an easy challenge, but they've struggled on the road this season. Moreover, they had a tough German Cup match on Tuesday, while Christian Ilzer's squad have been preparing comfortably for this 22nd round clash.
Head-to-Head
📊 In the first round at Europa-Park, Freiburg shared the spoils with Hoffenheim, extending their unbeaten run in this derby to eight Bundesliga matches (nine across all competitions).
Head-to-head statistics Hoffenheim - Freiburg
Hoffenheim Team Overview
🔵 In last round's marquee match, things went awry for Hoffenheim after Kevin Akpoguma received a controversial red card just 17 minutes into their clash with Bayern Munich (1-5). The Blue and Whites conceded first from the penalty spot, yet managed to equalize despite being a man down, with Andrej Kramaric netting his ninth goal of the league campaign. Another penalty was awarded against Hoffenheim, leaving them trailing 1-3 at halftime. In the second half, Luis Diaz scored twice more, completing his hat-trick and ending Ilzer's team's seven-match unbeaten streak (6 wins, 1 draw).
⚪ Nevertheless, the club from Sinsheim held onto third place, widening the gap to Dortmund to six points while narrowing the distance to Leipzig to three. Hoffenheim lost their first three home games of the season but have since won all seven. Securing an eighth home victory this Saturday would set a new club record for most home wins in a single Bundesliga season.
Match Results: Hoffenheim
Freiburg Team Overview
🔴 Jan-Niklas Beste scored the decisive goal as Freiburg secured a 1-0 victory over Werder Bremen, despite Johan Manzambi's red card in the 52nd minute. The "Brazilians of Breisgau," currently seventh in the league standings, have been formidable at home this season with six wins, three draws, and just one loss. However, their away form has been less impressive, with only two victories (three draws and six defeats).
⚪ Their struggles on the road were evident once again in Tuesday's match: in the DFB-Pokal quarterfinals, Julian Schuster's squad traveled to the capital to face Hertha BSC from the 2. Bundesliga. After a goalless draw in regulation time at the Olympiastadion, the teams exchanged goals in extra time. Yuito Suzuki broke the deadlock in the 96th minute. In the penalty shootout (5-4), reserve goalkeeper Florian Müller emerged as the hero, leading the "Brazilians of Breisgau" into the semifinals.
Match Results: Freiburg
Latest news
Hoffenheim
🎙️ Christian Ilzer's Reaction After the Match Against Bayern: "It was clearly a wrong decision [referring to Akpoguma's sending off]. It wasn't a foul at all. 75,000 people came to the stadium to watch a top-tier match. I feel a bit sorry for them that the game turned into a contest with a man down. Before the match, I said: if my team shows what they're capable of and believes in themselves, I'll be satisfied. And I am satisfied. I saw a team playing at the highest level in all aspects we can control. I'm proud of my team. We're leaving with our heads held high. Vincent is an outstanding coach. The fact that he approached me right after the match to explain everything speaks volumes about his character. He brings people together, which is why he's so successful. I separate the result from the quality of play. I'm convinced this defeat will propel us forward tremendously."
❌ In addition to the long-term absences of Machida, Hložek, and Campbell, the match in Munich also missed Wouter Burger, Bernardo, Robin Granach, and Tim Lemperle. Burger will return after a two-match suspension. The availability of the other players remains uncertain.
Freiburg
🎙️ Julian Schuster's reaction after his team's advance to the cup semifinals: "I've got goosebumps again. A penalty shootout like that can be incredibly tough for a coach. There's a sense of powerlessness, and you feel the pressure. It wasn't easy. Very emotional. You can't control everything. Over 5,000 of our fans are here. I know many of them personally. It reflects the essence of this remarkable club. I'm happy the team can repay them in kind. When you're in the semifinals, there are no other goals needed. We've never won a title before. That speaks for itself."
❌ The German Sports Court has suspended Johan Manzambi for three matches. Lukas Kübler and Philipp Lienhart remain long-term absentees due to injury. Daniel-Kofi Kyereh is also still unable to return to action.
🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards
Florian Exner will officiate the match at the PreZero Arena. In his last 10 games, this referee has averaged 5.1 yellow cards per match. Hoffenheim players typically receive two cautions per game, while Freiburg players average 1.4. We opt for Hoffenheim's individual total over 1.5 yellow cards-a bet that has hit in five consecutive matches.
⚽ Goal Prediction
Despite Freiburg's struggles on the road and Hoffenheim's strength at the PreZero Arena, we trust the stats and go with the bet both teams to score (yes)-this has occurred in 11 of the last 12 head-to-head encounters.
🚩 Corner Prediction
Christian Ilzer advocates attacking play, making Hoffenheim one of the leaders in average corners per match with 5. Freiburg trails slightly with 4.4. Our pick: Hoffenheim's individual total under 6.5 corners-a bet that has succeeded in 8 of the last 9 matches for the "blue-whites".
Editorial Prediction
On one hand, Freiburg boast an unbeaten streak against Hoffenheim, having gone nine matches without defeat (six wins and three draws). On the other hand, Hoffenheim's performances this season, including a seven-match home winning streak, are noteworthy. In this derby, we lean towards the latter and predict a Hoffenheim victory, as the "Brazilians of Breisgau" had a physically and emotionally draining match in Berlin on Tuesday. Additionally, Schuster's team hasn't been particularly successful on the road this season. The predicted score is 2-1.
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Betting Tips: Hoffenheim - Freiburg
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