Heracles vs Breda Prediction 14 February 2026
🔊 The upcoming Eredivisie clash between Heracles Almelo and NAC Breda promises to be a true battle for survival. Both teams are languishing at the bottom of the league table, tied on points. Heracles edge ahead of Breda only due to superior goal-scoring, despite the "Pearl of the South" boasting a goal difference twice as good. Can the "Rats" find the back of the net against a club with the league's worst defense? We'll assess their chances and other match scenarios in our editorial team's prediction.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 29 October 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 1:4. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - NAC Breda):
- ball possession percentage: 73% vs 27%;
- corner kicks: 11 vs 0;
- fouls: 7 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 7 vs 6.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Heracles Almelo and NAC Breda:
- played 31 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 18, for the away team - 9, draws - 4;
- number of goals - 64 against 40;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.48, in the 2nd half - 1.87;
- average total goals in the match - 3.35.
Head-to-head statistics Heracles - Breda

Heracles Almelo Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Eredivisie tournament (home team - NEC Nijmegen, away team - Heracles Almelo). The match concluded with a scoreline of 4:1.
Here's the game statistics (Heracles Almelo vs NEC Nijmegen):
- ball possession: 31% vs 69%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 3;
- fouls: 18 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 0;
- shots on target: 2 vs 6.
Heracles are navigating a challenging Eredivisie campaign. In their last five matches, they've secured just one win alongside four defeats. The Black and Whites average 1.41 goals per game, but their defense is a concern, conceding over two goals nearly every match. Currently second from bottom, Heracles are eager to stave off relegation. Their last head-to-head against Breda was an away game that ended in a commanding 4-1 victory.
Match Results: Heracles Almelo

NAC Breda Team Overview
NAC Breda sit at the bottom of the table, battling alongside their upcoming opponent to retain their place in the Dutch top flight. The team is struggling with form, failing to secure a win in their last 11 matches. During this stretch, the "Rats" have managed to earn just four points through draws. They are also facing challenges in front of goal, averaging only 0.8 goals per game. However, their defense shows more resilience compared to that of Heracles, conceding an average of 1.64 goals.
Match Results: NAC Breda
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 31;
- home team wins - 18, away team wins - 9, draws - 4.
Statistics: Heracles Almelo vs NAC Breda
- matches played in the tournament: 22 vs 22;
- wins: 5 vs 3;
- win percentage: 23% vs 14%;
- losses: 15 vs 12;
- draws: 2 vs 7.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 2 vs 0;
- losses: 7 vs 6;
- draws: 1 vs 4.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 2.06, the guests - 1.29;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.35;
- both teams scored: overall - 22; at the home team's field - 8.
Statistics: Heracles Almelo vs NAC Breda
- average total in the tournament: 4 vs 2.68;
- average total goals scored: 1.41 vs 1.05;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.68 vs 0.45;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.73 vs 0.59;
- Heracles Almelo: average total at home in the tournament - 2;
- NAC Breda: average total away in the tournament - 0.9;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.5 (home - 1.4) vs 0.8 (away - 0.5).
- NAC Breda have scored under 1.5 goals in 12 of last 13 away games against Heracles Almelo.
Prediction on corners
Heracles Almelo: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.36; at home field - 4.4;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.6; at home field - 5.2.
NAC Breda: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.41, away - 5.4;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.6; away - 7.
- Heracles Almelo have taken under 4.5 corners in last 5 games against NAC Breda.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 31;
- both teams scored all-time - 22 times;
- on the home team’s field - 8 times.
Statistics: Heracles Almelo vs NAC Breda
- number of matches played in the tournament: 22 vs 22;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 13 vs 12;
- number of BTTS matches for Heracles Almelo at home - 6 (60%);
- number of BTTS matches for NAC Breda away - 5 (50%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 7 vs 4;
- BTTS matches for Heracles Almelo at home - 3 (60%);
- BTTS matches for NAC Breda away - 1 (25%).
- Heracles Almelo have scored and conceded in 15 of last 17 games against NAC Breda (Eredivisie).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 2:2 (25/198, 12.6%);
- Heracles Almelo at home most often finish matches: 0:2 , 0:3 , 0:7 , 1:1 , 1:2 , 1:4 , 2:1 , 3:0 , 4:2 , 8:2 (1/10, 10%);
- NAC Breda away most often play: 1:0 , 2:1 , 2:2 (2/10, 20%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 12.62% (odds 6.5)
1:2 - 8.18% (odds 9.5)
2:1 - 7.75% (odds 9)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
The upcoming clash between Heracles Almelo and NAC Breda promises to be intense, given the current standings of the teams. Heracles have been inconsistent, securing just one win in their last five matches, though their attack can pose a threat to any opponent. Meanwhile, the "Rats" are still searching for form, having failed to secure a victory in their last 11 games. It's worth noting that Breda rarely scores more than one goal in away fixtures against Heracles. Considering this and the average scoring struggles of the "Pearl of the South" during their rough patch, opting for NAC Breda total under 1.5 seems a reasonable choice.