Heerenveen vs Zwolle Prediction 15 February 2026
🔊 In the 23rd round of the Eredivisie, Heerenveen and Zwolle are set to clash in a battle for a top-ten spot. The home side sits in 9th place, showing consistent performances but struggling defensively. Meanwhile, the visitors from Zwolle are in 13th position, trailing Heerenveen by just two points. Which club will edge closer to the European competition zone after their head-to-head encounter? We'll assess the odds for both sides in our editorial's prediction.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 28 November 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 2:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - PEC Zwolle):
- ball possession percentage: 43% vs 57%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 9;
- fouls: 11 vs 19;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
- shots on target: 4 vs 7.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Heerenveen and PEC Zwolle:
- played 28 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 11, for the away team - 9, draws - 8;
- number of goals - 40 against 36;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.29, in the 2nd half - 1.43;
- average total goals in the match - 2.71.
Head-to-head statistics Heerenveen - Zwolle

Heerenveen Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Eredivisie tournament (home team - Go Ahead Eagles, away team - Heerenveen). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:3.
Here's the game statistics (Heerenveen vs Go Ahead Eagles):
- ball possession: 54% vs 46%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 8;
- fouls: 14 vs 8;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
- shots on target: 10 vs 6.
Heerenveen are sitting ninth in the league standings, thanks to their relatively decent form: the team has claimed five victories over their last 10 matches, although they have suffered two defeats in their most recent four Eredivisie fixtures. Their average goal tally during this stretch is 1.9 scored and 1.8 conceded, indicating a balance between attack and defense. The last head-to-head away against Zwolle ended in a 2-1 defeat, making this home fixture a great opportunity for revenge.
Match Results: Heerenveen

PEC Zwolle Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Eredivisie tournament (home team - PEC Zwolle, away - Volendam). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:2.
Here are the match stats (PEC Zwolle vs Volendam):
- ball possession: 58% vs 42%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 5;
- fouls: 18 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 0;
- shots on target: 4 vs 7.
Zwolle are striving to climb up from the lower reaches of the Eredivisie table, currently sitting in 13th place. Over their last 10 matches, the "Blues" have posted results not significantly worse than their upcoming opponents: four wins, five losses, and one draw. During this stretch, they've averaged 1.6 goals scored while conceding 1.9 per game. It's worth noting that Zwolle rarely suffer heavy defeats; a margin of two or more goals has been in play for seven consecutive league rounds.
Match Results: PEC Zwolle
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 28;
- home team wins - 11, away team wins - 9, draws - 8.
Statistics: Heerenveen vs PEC Zwolle
- matches played in the tournament: 22 vs 22;
- wins: 7 vs 7;
- win percentage: 32% vs 32%;
- losses: 8 vs 10;
- draws: 7 vs 5.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 5 vs 4;
- losses: 3 vs 5;
- draws: 2 vs 1.
- PEC Zwolle won with a +1.5 handicap in last 7 games (Eredivisie).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.43, the guests - 1.29;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.71;
- both teams scored: overall - 17; at the home team's field - 6.
Statistics: Heerenveen vs PEC Zwolle
- average total in the tournament: 3.27 vs 3.45;
- average total goals scored: 1.59 vs 1.41;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.64 vs 0.77;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.95 vs 0.64;
- Heerenveen: average total at home in the tournament - 1.64;
- PEC Zwolle: average total away in the tournament - 1.45;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.9 (home - 1.5) vs 1.6 (away - 1).
- Heerenveen have scored under 2.5 goals in 17 of last 18 games against PEC Zwolle (Eredivisie).
- Heerenveen have scored under 2.5 goals in last 9 home games against PEC Zwolle (Eredivisie).
Prediction on corners
Heerenveen: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.77; at home field - 6;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.9; at home field - 6.
PEC Zwolle: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.77, away - 2.09;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.5; away - 3.25.
- PEC Zwolle have taken over 2.5 corners in 6 of last 7 games against Heerenveen (Eredivisie).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 28;
- both teams scored all-time - 17 times;
- on the home team’s field - 6 times.
Statistics: Heerenveen vs PEC Zwolle
- number of matches played in the tournament: 22 vs 22;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 15 vs 15;
- number of BTTS matches for Heerenveen at home - 9 (82%);
- number of BTTS matches for PEC Zwolle away - 10 (91%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 9;
- BTTS matches for Heerenveen at home - 3 (75%);
- BTTS matches for PEC Zwolle away - 4 (100%).
- PEC Zwolle have scored and conceded in last 11 away games.
- PEC Zwolle have scored and conceded in 10 of last 11 games.
- PEC Zwolle have scored and conceded in 9 of last 10 games (Eredivisie).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 2:2 (25/199, 12.6%);
- Heerenveen at home most often finish matches: 0:2 , 1:1 , 2:2 (2/11, 18.2%);
- PEC Zwolle away most often play: 2:1 , 2:2 (3/11, 27.3%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
2:1 - 10.13% (odds 7.5)
1:1 - 8.67% (odds 8.5)
2:0 - 7.06% (odds 8.5)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
The outcome of the upcoming clash between Heerenveen and Zwolle will hinge on the attacking prowess of both sides. Heerenveen, showcasing a better balance between offense and defense, have a decent chance, especially on their home turf. However, Zwolle should not be underestimated: in 17 of their last 18 head-to-head encounters, the visitors have not conceded more than two goals, and they rarely suffer heavy defeats in the current league campaign. Given these circumstances, a bet on Heerenveen's total under 2.5 seems like a reasonable choice.
