Groningen vs Utrecht Prediction 14 February 2026

    🔊 Can Groningen break their losing streak in the Eredivisie? The "Northerners" have suffered defeats in three consecutive rounds, dropping from the top five to 8th place in the standings. Utrecht sit even lower (10th place) and have shown similar form, albeit over a longer period, with only two wins in their last 10 matches. However, the "Reds" approach the upcoming game with a positive mindset after halting their poor away run against 4th-placed NEC Nijmegen. Will that victory boost the visitors' confidence in Groningen? Let's delve into our editorial's prediction.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official encounter between the teams took place on 14 September 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 0:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Utrecht):

    • ball possession percentage: 45% vs 55%;
    • corner kicks: 3 vs 4;
    • fouls: 9 vs 16;
    • yellow cards: 0 vs 4;
    • shots on target: 3 vs 6.

    📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Groningen and Utrecht:

    • played 45 matches;
    • number of wins for the home team - 11, for the away team - 23, draws - 11;
    • number of goals - 50 against 62;
    • average total in the 1st half - 1.04, in the 2nd half - 1.44;
    • average total goals in the match - 2.49.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    24%
    11 Wins
    24%
    11 Draws
    52%
    24 Wins
    Total games
    46
    Total Goals Avg
    2.5
    Both teams scored
    46%
    1.11
    Total average
    1.39
    1.72
    Yellow cards
    1.61
    Last matches
    14.02.26
    Eredivisie
    Groningen
    Groningen
    Utrecht
    Utrecht
    0.84
    2.19
    2
    8
    12
    6
    0
    1
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    2
    0.84
    2.19
    2
    8
    12
    6
    0
    1
    14.09.25
    Eredivisie
    Utrecht
    Utrecht
    Groningen
    Groningen
    1.29
    1.57
    3
    4
    9
    16
    0
    4
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    1.29
    1.57
    3
    4
    9
    16
    0
    4
    13.04.25
    Eredivisie
    Utrecht
    Utrecht
    Groningen
    Groningen
    1.62
    1.1
    2
    3
    6
    8
    1
    2
    3
    1
    3
    1
    0
    0
    1.62
    1.1
    2
    3
    6
    8
    1
    2
    20.10.24
    Eredivisie
    Groningen
    Groningen
    Utrecht
    Utrecht
    -
    -
    4
    5
    10
    12
    2
    4
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    4
    5
    10
    12
    2
    4
    07.04.23
    Eredivisie
    Groningen
    Groningen
    Utrecht
    Utrecht
    -
    -
    2
    7
    12
    9
    4
    1
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    -
    -
    2
    7
    12
    9
    4
    1
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    Groningen Team Overview

    The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Eredivisie tournament (home team - Groningen, away team - PSV). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:2.

    Here's the game statistics (Groningen vs PSV):

    • ball possession: 37% vs 63%;
    • corner kicks: 6 vs 11;
    • fouls: 8 vs 9;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 4 vs 5.

    Groningen are currently on a three-game losing streak in the Eredivisie. Despite this, they average 1.32 goals scored per match while conceding 1.27, and they rank in the top three for defensive reliability in the league. In their most recent head-to-head against Utrecht, the "Green-Whites" secured a 1-0 victory, which could boost their confidence at home. However, it's worth noting that Groningen rarely trouble the "Reds" more than once on home turf; in their last seven encounters, the "Northerners" have not exceeded a total of 1.5 goals.

    Match Results: Groningen

    Last matches
    21.05.26
    Eredivisie
    Ajax Amsterdam
    Ajax Amsterdam
    Groningen
    Groningen
    1.66
    0.19
    4
    0
    13
    17
    1
    4
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1.66
    0.19
    4
    0
    13
    17
    1
    4
    L
    17.05.26
    Eredivisie
    Heracles Almelo
    Heracles Almelo
    Groningen
    Groningen
    0.9
    1.73
    9
    5
    8
    5
    1
    1
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0.9
    1.73
    9
    5
    8
    5
    1
    1
    W
    10.05.26
    Eredivisie
    Groningen
    Groningen
    NEC Nijmegen
    NEC Nijmegen
    1.61
    1.28
    5
    6
    16
    12
    2
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    1.61
    1.28
    5
    6
    16
    12
    2
    1
    W
    02.05.26
    Eredivisie
    Groningen
    Groningen
    Excelsior
    Excelsior
    0.81
    2.43
    5
    8
    5
    10
    0
    0
    2
    3
    1
    1
    1
    2
    0.81
    2.43
    5
    8
    5
    10
    0
    0
    L
    25.04.26
    Eredivisie
    Feyenoord Rotterdam
    Feyenoord Rotterdam
    Groningen
    Groningen
    1.83
    0.92
    3
    3
    10
    15
    0
    2
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1.83
    0.92
    3
    3
    10
    15
    0
    2
    L
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    Utrecht Team Overview

    The away team played their last official match on as part of the Eredivisie tournament (home team - NEC Nijmegen, away - Utrecht). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:3.

    Here are the match stats (Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen):

    • ball possession: 24% vs 76%;
    • corner kicks: 0 vs 5;
    • fouls: 16 vs 6;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 5 vs 7.

    Utrecht have shown a tendency for high-scoring exchanges in their away matches, with this pattern evident in eight consecutive Eredivisie rounds. Although the "Reds" have struggled for form, securing just two wins in their last ten games, they remain a dangerous opponent due to their aggressive play focused on quick counterattacks. The visitors boast a higher scoring rate than the hosts, averaging around 1.5 goals per match, while both teams have nearly identical defensive records-Utrecht conceding 29 goals compared to Groningen's 28 over 22 rounds.

    Match Results: Utrecht

    Last matches
    24.05.26
    Eredivisie
    Ajax Amsterdam
    Ajax Amsterdam
    Utrecht
    Utrecht
    1.26
    0.84
    7
    3
    9
    15
    0
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1
    1
    4
    3
    1.26
    0.84
    7
    3
    9
    15
    0
    1
    L
    21.05.26
    Eredivisie
    Utrecht
    Utrecht
    Heerenveen
    Heerenveen
    2.07
    1.29
    9
    6
    11
    6
    0
    1
    3
    2
    0
    0
    3
    2
    2.07
    1.29
    9
    6
    11
    6
    0
    1
    W
    17.05.26
    Eredivisie
    Utrecht
    Utrecht
    Fortuna Sittard
    Fortuna Sittard
    2.36
    0.68
    2
    5
    8
    8
    0
    1
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    2.36
    0.68
    2
    5
    8
    8
    0
    1
    W
    10.05.26
    Eredivisie
    Ajax Amsterdam
    Ajax Amsterdam
    Utrecht
    Utrecht
    1.32
    1.69
    4
    7
    9
    9
    2
    2
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    2
    1.32
    1.69
    4
    7
    9
    9
    2
    2
    W
    02.05.26
    Eredivisie
    Utrecht
    Utrecht
    NAC Breda
    NAC Breda
    1
    3.03
    0.47
    8
    4
    12
    13
    0
    2
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    3.03
    0.47
    8
    4
    12
    13
    0
    2
    W
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    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 45;
    • home team wins - 11, away team wins - 23, draws - 11.

    Statistics: Groningen vs Utrecht

    • matches played in the tournament: 22 vs 22;
    • wins: 9 vs 7;
    • win percentage: 41% vs 32%;
    • losses: 9 vs 9;
    • draws: 4 vs 6.

    Last 10 matches:

    • wins: 3 vs 2;
    • losses: 4 vs 7;
    • draws: 3 vs 1.
    👉Prediction: Utrecht Handicap (+1)(odds: 1.38)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 1.11, the guests - 1.38;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.49;
    • both teams scored: overall - 20; at the home team's field - 7.

    Statistics: Groningen vs Utrecht

    • average total in the tournament: 2.59 vs 2.82;
    • average total goals scored: 1.32 vs 1.5;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.59 vs 0.59;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 0.73 vs 0.91;
    • Groningen: average total at home in the tournament -  1.45;
    • Utrecht: average total away in the tournament - 1.36;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 1.2 (home - 1.4) vs 1.1 (away - 1.8).
    Trends
    • Groningen have scored under 1.5 goals in last 7 home games against Utrecht.
    • Groningen have scored under 1.5 goals in last 6 home games against Utrecht (Eredivisie).
    • Groningen have scored under 1.5 goals in last 5 games against Utrecht (Eredivisie).
    👉Prediction: Groningen Total goals Under (1.5)(odds: 1.73)

    Prediction on corners

    Groningen: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6.59; at home field - 8.09;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 8.7; at home field - 11.2.

    Utrecht: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5, away - 4.82;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.8; away - 5.8.
    Trends
    • Groningen have taken under 6.5 corners in last 7 home games against Utrecht.
    👉Prediction: Corners - Groningen Total Under (6.5)(odds: 1.56)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 45;
    • both teams scored all-time - 20 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 7 times.

    Statistics: Groningen vs Utrecht

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 22 vs 22;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 10 vs 15;
    • number of BTTS matches for Groningen at home - 5 (45%);
    • number of BTTS matches for Utrecht away - 9 (82%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 6;
    • BTTS matches for Groningen at home - 3 (60%);
    • BTTS matches for Utrecht away - 4 (80%).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (Yes)(odds: 1.79)

    Correct score prediction

    Statistics of frequent results (current season):

    • most common score in the tournament: 2:2 (25/198, 12.6%);
    • Groningen at home most often finish matches: 1:2 (2/11, 18.2%);
    • Utrecht away most often play: 1:1 (3/11, 27.3%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:

    1:1 - 12.09% (odds 6.5)
    1:0 - 9.76% (odds 7)
    2:1 - 9.63% (odds 8.5)

    👉Prediction: Correct Score (1:1)(odds: 6.5)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Both teams struggle with consistency in their results, yet they each have their strengths. Groningen showcases a solid defense at home, but their recent scoring form has been lackluster. Meanwhile, Utrecht thrives on counter-attacks and tends to engage in high-scoring exchanges on the road. Historically, the visitors have been a tough opponent for the "Northerners": in their last 10 head-to-head encounters, the hosts have managed just one win and scored more than once only once. With this in mind, our pick is: Groningen total under 1.5.

    Our choice
    Groningen Total goals Under (1.5) at odds of -143*
    Everygame
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (12 February 2026, 20:24)

    Betting Tips: Groningen - Utrecht

    Utrecht have not won
    fc-utrechtin 9 of last 10 games (Eredivisie).
    fc-utrechtin 8 of last 9 games.
    Groningen will not lose
    Everygame
    -455
    Groningen have not won
    fc-groningen-1fc-utrechtin 9 of last 10 home games against Utrecht (Eredivisie).
    fc-groningen-1fc-utrechtin last 7 home games against Utrecht.
    fc-groningen-1in 7 of last 8 home games (Eredivisie).
    Utrecht will not lose
    Everygame
    -116
    Under 3.5 goals scored
    fc-groningen-1fc-utrechtin last 8 Groningen home games against Utrecht.
    fc-groningen-1fc-utrechtin last 7 Groningen home games against Utrecht (Eredivisie).
    fc-groningen-1in 17 of last 18 Groningen games (Eredivisie).
    fc-groningen-1in last 9 Groningen games.
    fc-groningen-1in 8 of last 9 Groningen home games (Eredivisie).
    fc-utrechtin 7 of last 8 Utrecht games (Eredivisie).
    Total goals Under (3.5)
    Everygame
    -357
    Over 1.5 goals scored
    fc-groningen-1in 15 of last 16 Groningen games.
    fc-groningen-1in 14 of last 15 Groningen games (Eredivisie).
    fc-groningen-1in 6 of last 7 Groningen home games (Eredivisie).
    fc-utrechtin 16 of last 18 Utrecht games.
    fc-utrechtin last 12 Utrecht away games.
    fc-utrechtin last 8 Utrecht away games (Eredivisie).
    in 11 of last 12 Serdar Gozubuyuk games.
    in 6 of last 7 Serdar Gozubuyuk games (in the Eredivisie).
    Total goals Over (1.5)
    Everygame
    -303
    View more facts

    Groningen - Utrecht Table position

    Eredivisie 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    5.
    Ajax Amsterdam
    Ajax Amsterdam
    341414662-4156
    6.
    Utrecht
    Utrecht
    341581155-4253
    7.
    AZ Alkmaar
    AZ Alkmaar
    3414101058-5152
    8.
    Heerenveen
    Heerenveen
    341491157-5351
    9.
    Groningen
    Groningen
    341461449-4548
    10.
    Sparta
    Sparta
    341271540-6243

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    5 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    3 - Loses
    Wins - 7
    Draws - 0
    Loses - 3
    10 matches
    Scored - 16
    Conceded - 12
    +4
    +7
    21 - Scored
    14 - Conceded
    5
    Wins
    7
    2
    Draws
    0
    3
    Loses
    3
    Goal difference
    16
    Scored
    21
    12
    Conceded
    14
    2.8
    Match goals average
    3.5
    1.6
    Goals scored per match on average
    2.1
    1.2
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.4
    6
    Both teams scored
    5
    56'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    44'
    View all stats