Groningen vs Utrecht Prediction 14 February 2026
🔊 Can Groningen break their losing streak in the Eredivisie? The "Northerners" have suffered defeats in three consecutive rounds, dropping from the top five to 8th place in the standings. Utrecht sit even lower (10th place) and have shown similar form, albeit over a longer period, with only two wins in their last 10 matches. However, the "Reds" approach the upcoming game with a positive mindset after halting their poor away run against 4th-placed NEC Nijmegen. Will that victory boost the visitors' confidence in Groningen? Let's delve into our editorial's prediction.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 14 September 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 0:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Utrecht):
- ball possession percentage: 45% vs 55%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 4;
- fouls: 9 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 4;
- shots on target: 3 vs 6.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Groningen and Utrecht:
- played 45 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 11, for the away team - 23, draws - 11;
- number of goals - 50 against 62;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.04, in the 2nd half - 1.44;
- average total goals in the match - 2.49.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

Groningen Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Eredivisie tournament (home team - Groningen, away team - PSV). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:2.
Here's the game statistics (Groningen vs PSV):
- ball possession: 37% vs 63%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 11;
- fouls: 8 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 4 vs 5.
Groningen are currently on a three-game losing streak in the Eredivisie. Despite this, they average 1.32 goals scored per match while conceding 1.27, and they rank in the top three for defensive reliability in the league. In their most recent head-to-head against Utrecht, the "Green-Whites" secured a 1-0 victory, which could boost their confidence at home. However, it's worth noting that Groningen rarely trouble the "Reds" more than once on home turf; in their last seven encounters, the "Northerners" have not exceeded a total of 1.5 goals.
Match Results: Groningen

Utrecht Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Eredivisie tournament (home team - NEC Nijmegen, away - Utrecht). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:3.
Here are the match stats (Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen):
- ball possession: 24% vs 76%;
- corner kicks: 0 vs 5;
- fouls: 16 vs 6;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
- shots on target: 5 vs 7.
Utrecht have shown a tendency for high-scoring exchanges in their away matches, with this pattern evident in eight consecutive Eredivisie rounds. Although the "Reds" have struggled for form, securing just two wins in their last ten games, they remain a dangerous opponent due to their aggressive play focused on quick counterattacks. The visitors boast a higher scoring rate than the hosts, averaging around 1.5 goals per match, while both teams have nearly identical defensive records-Utrecht conceding 29 goals compared to Groningen's 28 over 22 rounds.
Match Results: Utrecht
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 45;
- home team wins - 11, away team wins - 23, draws - 11.
Statistics: Groningen vs Utrecht
- matches played in the tournament: 22 vs 22;
- wins: 9 vs 7;
- win percentage: 41% vs 32%;
- losses: 9 vs 9;
- draws: 4 vs 6.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 3 vs 2;
- losses: 4 vs 7;
- draws: 3 vs 1.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.11, the guests - 1.38;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.49;
- both teams scored: overall - 20; at the home team's field - 7.
Statistics: Groningen vs Utrecht
- average total in the tournament: 2.59 vs 2.82;
- average total goals scored: 1.32 vs 1.5;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.59 vs 0.59;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.73 vs 0.91;
- Groningen: average total at home in the tournament - 1.45;
- Utrecht: average total away in the tournament - 1.36;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.2 (home - 1.4) vs 1.1 (away - 1.8).
- Groningen have scored under 1.5 goals in last 7 home games against Utrecht.
- Groningen have scored under 1.5 goals in last 6 home games against Utrecht (Eredivisie).
- Groningen have scored under 1.5 goals in last 5 games against Utrecht (Eredivisie).
Prediction on corners
Groningen: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6.59; at home field - 8.09;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 8.7; at home field - 11.2.
Utrecht: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5, away - 4.82;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.8; away - 5.8.
- Groningen have taken under 6.5 corners in last 7 home games against Utrecht.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 45;
- both teams scored all-time - 20 times;
- on the home team’s field - 7 times.
Statistics: Groningen vs Utrecht
- number of matches played in the tournament: 22 vs 22;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 10 vs 15;
- number of BTTS matches for Groningen at home - 5 (45%);
- number of BTTS matches for Utrecht away - 9 (82%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 6;
- BTTS matches for Groningen at home - 3 (60%);
- BTTS matches for Utrecht away - 4 (80%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 2:2 (25/198, 12.6%);
- Groningen at home most often finish matches: 1:2 (2/11, 18.2%);
- Utrecht away most often play: 1:1 (3/11, 27.3%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 12.09% (odds 6.5)
1:0 - 9.76% (odds 7)
2:1 - 9.63% (odds 8.5)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Both teams struggle with consistency in their results, yet they each have their strengths. Groningen showcases a solid defense at home, but their recent scoring form has been lackluster. Meanwhile, Utrecht thrives on counter-attacks and tends to engage in high-scoring exchanges on the road. Historically, the visitors have been a tough opponent for the "Northerners": in their last 10 head-to-head encounters, the hosts have managed just one win and scored more than once only once. With this in mind, our pick is: Groningen total under 1.5.