Melgar vs Moquegua Prediction 15 February 2026
🔊 The upcoming clash between Melgar and Moquegua promises to be thrilling. The hosts are in excellent form, while the visitors have had a rough start to the tournament. In their last head-to-head, Melgar secured a convincing 2-0 victory. Three points are crucial for both teams-it's an opportunity for the hosts to solidify their standing and for the visitors to improve their position in the league table.
Head-to-Head
⚠ These opponents have yet to face each other in official matches.
Head-to-head statistics Melgar - Moquegua

FBC Melgar Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Primera Division, with Sporting Cristal hosting Melgar. The game concluded with a 1-2 scoreline.
Here are the match statistics (Melgar vs Sporting Cristal):
- possession: 35% vs 65%;
- corners: 5 vs 9;
- fouls: 8 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
- shots on target: 3 vs 5.
Melgar are showcasing impressive form. The team have won in the opening rounds, much to the delight of their fans. Melgar effectively utilize ball control and a solid defense as their main strengths. The "Red and Blacks" aim to solidify their position at the top of the league table while delivering entertaining football. How will they fare over the long haul? We’ll find out soon enough.
Match Results: FBC Melgar

Moquegua Team Overview
The last official match for the current visitors took place on in the Primera Division (home team - Moquegua, visitors - UTC de Cajamarca). The match ended with a scoreline of 2-3.
Here's the game statistics (Moquegua vs UTC de Cajamarca):
- possession percentage: 33% vs 67%;
- corner kicks: 1 vs 7;
- fouls: 12 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
- shots on target: 2 vs 8.
Moquegua unfortunately display inconsistent results this season. The team have lost their opening two matches, highlighting issues in both defense and attack. They aim to play on the counterattack but frequently make defensive errors. Moquegua need to enhance their game discipline and attacking efficiency to prevent further decline in the tournament standings. There's still time to rectify these mistakes; it's crucial they do so.
Match Results: Moquegua
Prediction for the 1st half
First Half Statistics: FBC Melgar (Home) vs Moquegua (Away)
- Number of matches played in the tournament: 1 vs 1;
- Number of wins: 1 (100%) vs 0 (0%);
- Number of losses: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
- Number of draws: 0 (0%) vs 1 (100%);
- Average total goals scored: 1 vs 0;
- Average total goals conceded: 0 vs 0.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 4 vs 1;
- Number of losses: 1 vs 2;
- Number of draws: 5 vs 7;
- Average first half total: 1 (scored - 0.8, conceded - 0.2) vs 1.4 (scored - 0.6, conceded - 0.8).
- Moquegua have drawn in the 1st half in 7 of last 8 games.
Prediction on the outcome
Statistics: FBC Melgar vs Moquegua
- matches played in the tournament: 2 vs 2;
- wins: 2 vs 0;
- win percentage: 100% vs 0%;
- losses: 0 vs 2;
- draws: 0 vs 0.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 6 vs 5;
- losses: 1 vs 3;
- draws: 3 vs 2.
- Moquegua won with a +2.5 handicap in 23 of last 24 away games.
- Moquegua won with a +2.5 handicap in last 14 games.
Prediction on the over/under
Statistics: FBC Melgar vs Moquegua
- average total in the tournament: 2.5 vs 3;
- average total goals scored: 2 vs 1;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.5 vs 0.5;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1.5 vs 0.5;
- FBC Melgar: average total at home in the tournament - 2;
- Moquegua: average total away in the tournament - 0;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.9 (home - 2.8) vs 1.4 (away - 0.6).
- Under 3.5 goals scored in 15 of last 16 FBC Melgar home games.
- Under 3.5 goals scored in 13 of last 14 FBC Melgar home games (Primera Division).
- Under 3.5 goals scored in 8 of last 9 FBC Melgar games (Primera Division).
Prediction on BTTS
Statistics: FBC Melgar vs Moquegua
- number of matches played in the tournament: 2 vs 2;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 1 vs 1;
- number of BTS matches for FBC Melgar at home - 0 (0%);
- number of BTS matches for Moquegua away - 0 (0%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 7;
- BTTS matches for FBC Melgar at home - 2 (40%);
- BTTS matches for Moquegua away - 2 (40%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:0 (4/18, 22.2%), 1:1 (4/18, 22.2%);
- FBC Melgar at home most often finish matches: 2:0 (1/1, 100%);
- Moquegua away most often play: 1:0 (1/1, 100%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:0 - 18.58% (odds 7)
2:0 - 17.01% (odds 5.5)
3:0 - 11.92% (odds 6.5)
- FBC Melgar won 2:0 in 3 of last 4 home games (Primera Division).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Given the current form and statistics, Melgar appear to be the favorites in this matchup. The "Red and Blacks" play confidently at home and showcase a solid defense. Meanwhile, Moquegua are struggling both offensively and defensively. The visitors have lost both of their opening matches and continue to strive for improvement in their game. Considering the visitors' trend and the hosts' desire to control possession, betting on under 2.5 goals seems like a well-founded choice.